PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 99-88
24-16 22-24 25-27 28-21
Position#1
Record39-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#23
Record16-32
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game83.3
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
05 Apr 2026
NAGA99
NAGO88
04 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NAGO83
10 Dec 2023
NAGA72
NAGO67
09 Dec 2023
NAGA71
NAGO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Nagasaki
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.0
86.4▼ 1.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.8
76.2▼ 2.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
61%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.4
24.0▲ 2.6
🔥 Form · Nagoya Fighting Eagles
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.1
77.6▼ 2.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.9
84.6▲ 2.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
51%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.9
18.6▼ 0.3
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H04/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
20-22
28-18
11-12
21-19
18-18
34-19
26-15
19-31
164.0Avg total
82.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)91.278.6169.8+12.681%
Season at home (24)91.478.3169.8+13.188%
Season away (24)91.078.8169.8+12.275%
Last 10 (10)82.881.2164.0+1.670%
Last 5 (5)86.476.2162.6+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.679.9170.5+10.875%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H15/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H07/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H08/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A11/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
H14/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H15/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H28/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H29/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A01/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A04/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-21
21-27
21-21
26-24
18-25
31-26
16-20
13-23
16-23
12-21
28-24
27-23
13-25
17-13
15-15
17-27
19-20
21-13
16-13
14-14
22-16
15-30
23-22
21-27
16-18
22-14
19-25
14-26
22-17
23-15
20-19
20-18
18-24
19-19
17-22
18-18
19-34
15-26
31-19
163.4Avg total
77.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)80.283.3163.5-3.133%
Season at home (25)79.984.2164.1-4.428%
Season away (23)80.682.3162.8-1.739%
Last 10 (10)77.785.7163.4-8.010%
Last 5 (5)77.684.6162.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.581.4159.8-2.938%
vs Similar (15)81.984.2166.1-2.327%
vs Weaker (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
NagasakiNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/04
B League
85.8Avg total
43.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.586.5+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.840.388.1+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.140.784.8+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.685.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.886.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.540.587.1+6.068%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H07/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H08/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H14/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H28/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H29/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A01/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A04/04
B League
81.0Avg total
36.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.580.8-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.842.481.2-3.625%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.480.4-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)36.944.181.0-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.541.879.3-4.223%-
vs Similar (15)40.340.780.9-0.440%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.9
58.3%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.6
31.7%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
73.1%15.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.1
52.6%
53.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.5
28.1%
33.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
73.1%12.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWWLWLLW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LLWLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#23
+0.7
Net rating
-9.1
94.4
Offensive rating
86.0
93.7
Defensive rating
95.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.7%
3-point %
28.1%
75.8%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 86.0Defence93.7 · 95.1Shooting53.1% · 48.4%3-point %31.7% · 28.1%Ball care16.1% · 18.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
2
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles97-83
01/04/26AOsaka80-71
29/03/26HSendai88-75
28/03/26HSendai99-94
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26ANagasaki83-97
01/04/26AKyoto74-83
29/03/26HShimane79-77
28/03/26HShimane78-84
15/03/26HBrave Thunders74-82
14/03/26HBrave Thunders79-85 OT
11/03/26ADiamond Dolphins72-76
08/03/26HNeoPhoenix69-91
07/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-95
15/02/26HYokohama78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeLLWWW88%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game91.291.491.0
Allowed / game78.678.378.8
Point differential+12.6+13.1+12.2
Avg total169.8169.8169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLLLW28%
AwayWLLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482523
Win %33%28%39%
Points / game80.279.980.6
Allowed / game83.384.282.3
Point differential-3.1-4.4-1.7
Avg total163.5164.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%16%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)33% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4839981%91.278.6+12.6
2 Diamond Dolphins49381178%84.072.6+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex49371276%86.280.6+5.7
4 Ryukyu49341569%81.674.9+6.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa49341569%83.677.4+6.1
6 Gunma49331667%82.473.2+9.2
7 Chiba49331667%82.876.5+6.3
8 Alvark49321765%80.677.7+2.9
9 Hokkaido49311863%88.185.9+2.2
10 NeoPhoenix49292059%85.082.3+2.7
11 Sendai49292059%81.179.3+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.49282157%87.083.7+3.4
13 Saga49252451%81.982.2-0.4
14 Shimane49232647%80.380.6-0.2
15 Yokohama49202941%79.082.2-3.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya49202941%77.180.9-3.8
17 Osaka49193039%80.182.8-2.7
18 Shiga49193039%80.784.6-3.9
19 Koshigaya Alphas49173235%74.381.8-7.4
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles48163233%80.283.3-3.1
21 Altiri Chiba49163333%79.084.0-5.0
22 Kyoto49163333%72.580.4-7.8
23 Ibaraki Robots49153431%76.180.9-4.8
24 Brave Thunders49143529%75.883.1-7.3
25 Toyama49113822%80.589.8-9.3
26 Akita4984116%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2422252899
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1624272188
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.