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Kyoto vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 80-90
15-23 21-20 24-27 20-20
Position#20
Record12-29
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#1
Record33-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kyoto v Nagasaki
04 Oct 2026
KYOT90
NAGA65
03 Oct 2026
KYOT84
NAGA76
11 Mar 2026
KYOT80
NAGA90
23 Mar 2025
KYOT63
NAGA84
22 Mar 2025
KYOT88
NAGA68
06 May 2024
KYOT102
NAGA105
05 May 2024
KYOT65
NAGA82
10 Apr 2024
KYOT82
NAGA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
84avg 70
H25/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-106
79
106
-27
63avg 70
A28/01
B League
Shimane
#14
L
64-65
64
65
-1
52avg 70
H31/01
B League
Shimane
#14
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 70
H01/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
80-91
80
91
-11
67avg 70
H07/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 70
H08/02
B League
Osaka
#17
W
71-64
71
64
+7
76avg 70
A14/02
B League
Osaka
#17
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 70
A15/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
67-65
67
65
+2
61avg 70
A07/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
58avg 70
A08/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
20-18
19-24
15-9
19-25
19-30
19-30
22-21
6-24
22-14
20-16
16-11
22-24
15-21
23-22
12-18
17-22
12-23
18-26
33-20
19-23
23-22
15-18
8-19
23-12
15-12
16-25
17-15
20-16
34-23
15-13
24-27
11-28
20-16
15-12
21-9
15-24
12-26
17-22
24-20
154.1Avg total
74.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)71.380.5151.8-9.229%
Season at home (21)73.278.0151.2-4.938%
Season away (20)69.383.0152.3-13.820%
Last 10 (10)74.180.0154.1-5.940%
Last 5 (5)72.876.4149.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.481.2149.7-12.826%
vs Similar (7)76.777.3154.0-0.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
77avg 81
A25/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
73avg 81
A28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
H31/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 81
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 81
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
105-75
105
75
+30
111avg 81
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 81
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 81
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 81
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 81
H08/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-23
27-26
20-20
19-23
14-25
19-10
20-14
13-19
26-14
22-22
23-16
28-10
23-24
23-18
24-22
19-24
15-22
18-11
22-32
21-16
23-21
29-19
32-19
22-19
19-18
26-24
30-19
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
168.2Avg total
85.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)92.078.4170.5+13.680%
Season at home (21)91.077.5168.5+13.486%
Season away (20)93.279.3172.6+13.975%
Last 10 (10)85.582.7168.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)85.482.2167.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.680.3172.9+12.375%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
KyotoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A28/01
B League
Shimane
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H31/01
B League
Shimane
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H08/02
B League
Osaka
#17
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A14/02
B League
Osaka
#17
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A15/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A08/03
B League
79.5Avg total
37.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.742.377.9-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.338.674.9-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.145.981.0-10.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.379.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.243.378.5-8.126%-
vs Similar (7)37.338.976.1-1.643%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
82.8Avg total
39.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.741.588.2+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.540.988.4+6.571%-
Last 30 away (13)45.642.387.9+3.354%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.982.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.884.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.341.688.9+5.764%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.1
50.4%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.1
30.6%
33.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.313.6
67.0%
73.1%13.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.0
57.8%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.4
32.5%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.3
73.0%
73.1%14.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
LWWWLLLLLW
Nagasaki
LLWWWLWWLL
#20
League position
#1
-6.5
Net rating
+3.2
87.7
Offensive rating
97.8
94.2
Defensive rating
94.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.6%
3-point %
32.5%
73.7%
Assist %
68.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 97.8Defence94.2 · 94.6Shooting48.5% · 53.5%3-point %30.6% · 32.5%Ball care17.0% · 13.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kyoto   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kyoto wins
4
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Nagasaki v Kyoto91-73
27/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto66-79
26/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto71-87
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
06/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki65-82
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AGunma68-92
07/03/26AGunma67-65
15/02/26AOsaka93-79
14/02/26AOsaka71-64
08/02/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
07/02/26HAltiri Chiba80-91
01/02/26HShimane72-85
31/01/26HShimane64-65
28/01/26AHiroshima D.79-106
25/01/26HYokohama82-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
14/02/26AGunma97-80
07/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex105-75
06/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex74-89
01/02/26HHiroshima D.98-74
31/01/26HHiroshima D.84-71
28/01/26ASeaHorses Mikawa85-87 OT
25/01/26ANeoPhoenix87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL29%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLWWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %29%38%20%
Points / game71.373.269.3
Allowed / game80.578.083.0
Point differential-9.2-4.9-13.8
Avg total151.8151.2152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWWWLL86%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game92.091.093.2
Allowed / game78.477.579.3
Point differential+13.6+13.4+13.8
Avg total170.5168.5172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4133880%92.078.4+13.6
2 Diamond Dolphins4132978%83.472.6+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex41311076%85.379.6+5.7
4 Chiba41291271%82.776.0+6.7
5 Alvark41291271%80.976.7+4.2
6 Hokkaido41291271%88.584.9+3.6
7 Ryukyu41281368%81.574.7+6.8
8 SeaHorses Mikawa41281368%84.578.0+6.4
9 Gunma41251661%82.374.6+7.7
10 Hiroshima D.41251661%86.482.7+3.7
11 Sendai41241759%80.679.1+1.4
12 NeoPhoenix41221954%83.782.1+1.6
13 Shimane41212051%81.480.5+0.9
14 Saga41212051%81.682.0-0.4
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya41172441%76.580.9-4.5
16 Osaka41152637%79.782.2-2.5
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41152637%80.883.3-2.5
18 Yokohama41152637%78.682.5-4.0
19 Koshigaya Alphas41152637%73.380.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba41142734%79.583.7-4.1
21 Shiga41142734%80.285.9-5.7
22 Ibaraki Robots41122929%74.980.0-5.1
23 Kyoto41122929%71.380.5-9.2
24 Toyama41103124%81.690.0-8.4
25 Brave Thunders41103124%75.584.0-8.5
26 Akita4173417%73.885.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto1521242080
Nagasaki2320272090
← all games of the day
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