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Nagasaki vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 68-103
17-22 16-29 16-28 19-24
Position#17
Record14-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#3
Record28-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game77.3
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix
24 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NEOP103
28 Jan 2024
NAGA68
NEOP103
27 Jan 2024
NAGA75
NEOP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 74
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 74
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 74
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
57avg 74
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 74
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 74
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 74
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-19
18-26
31-26
23-22
18-24
12-23
19-21
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
10-28
15-16
22-27
21-15
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
160.4Avg total
76.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.583.3164.8-1.844%
Season at home (17)77.981.3159.2-3.441%
Season away (15)85.585.5171.0-0.147%
Last 10 (10)76.484.0160.4-7.610%
Last 5 (5)78.481.8160.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.984.5162.4-6.633%
vs Similar (11)79.683.5163.2-3.936%
vs Weaker (7)88.080.6168.6+7.457%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
83-53
83
53
+30
79avg 84
H23/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
96-55
96
55
+41
87avg 84
H24/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 84
A30/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 84
A31/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 84
A06/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
66avg 84
A07/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
95-83
95
83
+12
95avg 84
H17/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 84
H20/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 84
H21/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
98-75
98
75
+23
98avg 84
A27/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
17-8
12-13
23-16
31-10
25-13
16-12
24-20
18-29
20-21
24-13
28-18
25-15
26-31
19-31
26-17
23-21
27-27
22-12
20-19
15-21
18-14
24-19
23-20
29-15
26-31
20-22
20-15
21-20
27-17
15-15
16-14
27-13
31-16
21-14
11-19
27-18
24-25
29-18
18-14
162.1Avg total
89.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)90.477.3167.8+13.188%
Season at home (16)93.175.3168.4+17.894%
Season away (16)87.879.3167.1+8.581%
Last 10 (10)89.972.2162.1+17.7100%
Last 5 (5)88.472.0160.4+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.077.4169.4+14.693%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
NagasakiNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
82.7Avg total
40.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.783.6+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.180.0-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)44.942.387.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.082.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.842.280.0-4.533%-
vs Similar (11)43.741.685.4+2.164%-
vs Weaker (7)46.340.987.1+5.471%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H24/12
B League
Chiba
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A30/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A31/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A06/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H21/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A27/01
B League
86.9Avg total
48.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.840.688.4+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.638.689.2+12.088%-
Last 30 away (14)44.642.887.4+1.871%-
Last 10 (10)48.838.186.9+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.087.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.241.089.1+7.279%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
50.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.7
28.5%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
72.0%12.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.0
52.2%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.5
38.1%
33.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.114.6
63.2%
72.0%14.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLWLLLLL
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#3
-9.3
Net rating
+23.1
100.6
Offensive rating
115.1
109.9
Defensive rating
92.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.5%
3-point %
38.1%
66.9%
Assist %
69.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 115.1Defence109.9 · 92.0Shooting48.8% · 54.4%3-point %28.5% · 38.1%Ball care17.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 100%
■ Nagasaki   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81
07/01/24HShinshu92-64
06/01/24HShinshu73-79
31/12/23HHiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
24/12/23AOsaka72-90
23/12/23AOsaka95-97
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ANagasaki98-75
21/01/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles90-62
20/01/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles79-66
17/01/24HToyama95-83
07/01/24ADiamond Dolphins80-74
06/01/24ADiamond Dolphins92-79
31/12/23AChiba96-94
30/12/23AChiba90-81
24/12/23HShinshu96-55
23/12/23HShinshu83-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLLWLL41%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %44%41%47%
Points / game81.577.985.5
Allowed / game83.381.385.5
Point differential-1.8-3.4-0.1
Avg total164.8159.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%6%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %88%94%81%
Points / game90.493.187.8
Allowed / game77.375.379.3
Point differential+13.1+17.8+8.5
Avg total167.8168.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3228488%82.066.3+15.7
2 NeoPhoenix3228488%90.477.3+13.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%78.268.5+9.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa32211166%82.976.8+6.0
5 Ryukyu32211166%79.476.4+3.0
6 Shimane32201262%84.777.9+6.8
7 Chiba33201361%85.882.9+2.8
8 Diamond Dolphins32191359%81.379.2+2.1
9 Brave Thunders33191458%79.977.2+2.7
10 Saga32181456%76.274.3+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%77.675.7+1.9
12 Hiroshima D.32171553%78.373.2+5.1
13 Akita33161748%73.174.7-1.6
14 Gunma32151747%77.881.7-3.9
15 Sendai32141844%79.580.5-1.0
16 Nagasaki32141844%81.583.3-1.8
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%71.174.8-3.7
18 Yokohama32141844%76.982.4-5.5
19 Osaka32131941%77.782.2-4.6
20 Kyoto32102231%78.084.3-6.3
21 Hokkaido3292328%74.280.7-6.5
22 Shinshu3262619%71.884.0-12.2
23 Toyama3342912%74.285.3-11.2
24 Ibaraki Robots323299%73.986.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1716161968
NeoPhoenix22292824103
← all games of the day
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