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Nagasaki vs NeoPhoenix Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record9-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game81.6
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix
24 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NEOP103
28 Jan 2024
NAGA68
NEOP103
27 Jan 2024
NAGA75
NEOP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 74
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 74
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 74
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 74
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 74
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
97-61
97
61
+36
98avg 80
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 80
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 80
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 80
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 80
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 80
A31/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 80
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A08/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
110-96
110
96
+14
no box
A11/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
23-14
29-15
18-10
26-19
25-20
20-31
22-19
20-17
21-23
14-16
28-25
26-22
14-30
20-10
15-15
22-21
25-16
27-28
17-24
28-22
18-19
18-20
16-25
24-23
24-25
29-15
19-23
16-20
17-23
14-23
20-22
34-28
27-16
19-31
30-21
18-15
25-20
25-17
18-17
170.0Avg total
87.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.481.6169.0+5.875%
Season at homeno games
Season away (12)87.481.6169.0+5.875%
Last 10 (10)87.882.2170.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)87.885.0172.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.783.3170.0+3.367%
vs Similar (13)89.685.8175.4+3.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.981.2171.1+8.782%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
NagasakiNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A01/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A11/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/11
B League
87.5Avg total
46.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.387.9+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.644.286.9-1.650%-
Last 30 away (22)45.343.088.3+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.587.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.843.883.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (13)44.543.487.8+1.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.442.990.3+4.582%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.2
57.1%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
73.8%15.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
NeoPhoenix
WWLWLWLWWW
#21
League position
#7
+2.1
Net rating
+9.2
93.2
Offensive rating
100.0
91.1
Defensive rating
90.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
33.8%
65.8%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 100.0Defence91.1 · 90.8Shooting54.0% · 54.3%3-point %35.8% · 33.8%Ball care15.9% · 13.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
6
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix97-103
25/01/26NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-87
24/01/26NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki70-95
12/11/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki80-86
06/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki79-76
05/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-65
28/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAltiri Chiba86-69
11/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido110-96
08/11/26AAlvark67-88
01/11/26ARyukyu96-86
31/10/26ARyukyu80-86
24/10/26AKobe91-89
19/10/26AHiroshima D.75-77
10/10/26AShinshu83-81
04/10/26ASaga93-89
03/10/26ASaga97-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
Home--
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12-12
Win %75%-75%
Points / game87.4-87.4
Allowed / game81.6-81.6
Point differential+5.8-+5.8
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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