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Nagasaki vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 75-98
18-27 25-24 18-29 14-18
Position#17
Record14-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#3
Record27-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game77.4
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix
24 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NEOP103
28 Jan 2024
NAGA68
NEOP103
27 Jan 2024
NAGA75
NEOP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
67avg 75
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 75
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 75
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
57avg 75
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 75
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 75
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 75
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 75
A21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
24-16
10-24
29-17
26-26
20-19
18-26
31-26
23-22
18-24
12-23
19-21
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
10-28
15-16
22-27
21-15
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
158.1Avg total
76.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.782.8164.5-1.145%
Season at home (16)78.180.2158.4-2.144%
Season away (15)85.585.5171.0-0.147%
Last 10 (10)76.581.6158.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)78.078.0156.0+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.183.5162.6-4.442%
vs Similar (11)79.683.5163.2-3.936%
vs Weaker (7)88.080.6168.6+7.457%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
76avg 84
A20/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
83-53
83
53
+30
79avg 84
H23/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
96-55
96
55
+41
87avg 84
H24/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 84
A30/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 84
A31/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 84
A06/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
66avg 84
A07/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
95-83
95
83
+12
95avg 84
H17/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 84
H20/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 84
H21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-37
25-20
16-18
31-16
17-8
12-13
23-16
31-10
25-13
16-12
24-20
18-29
20-21
24-13
28-18
25-15
26-31
19-31
26-17
23-21
27-27
22-12
20-19
15-21
18-14
24-19
23-20
29-15
26-31
20-22
20-15
21-20
27-17
15-15
16-14
27-13
31-16
21-14
11-19
162.9Avg total
88.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.277.4167.6+12.887%
Season at home (16)93.175.3168.4+17.894%
Season away (15)87.179.6166.7+7.580%
Last 10 (10)88.874.1162.9+14.790%
Last 5 (5)87.272.8160.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.077.7168.7+13.389%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
NagasakiNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
80.3Avg total
40.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.483.3+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.040.479.4-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)44.942.387.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.280.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.282.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.841.479.2-3.642%-
vs Similar (11)43.741.685.4+2.164%-
vs Weaker (7)46.340.987.1+5.471%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A20/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H24/12
B League
Chiba
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A30/12
B League
Chiba
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A31/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A06/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H21/01
B League
87.7Avg total
48.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.687.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.638.689.2+12.088%-
Last 30 away (14)43.142.986.0+0.364%-
Last 10 (10)48.339.487.7+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.087.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.541.088.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
72.0%12.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
50.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.5
36.5%
33.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.012.7
60.5%
72.0%12.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLWLLLLLW
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWWWWWL
#17
League position
#3
-6.6
Net rating
+19.4
101.3
Offensive rating
114.3
107.9
Defensive rating
94.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.6%
3-point %
36.5%
68.3%
Assist %
69.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 114.3Defence107.9 · 94.9Shooting49.2% · 53.7%3-point %28.6% · 36.5%Ball care18.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.1% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Nagasaki   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
0
NeoPhoenix wins
No previous meetings.
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81
07/01/24HShinshu92-64
06/01/24HShinshu73-79
31/12/23HHiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
24/12/23AOsaka72-90
23/12/23AOsaka95-97
20/12/23ARyukyu76-74
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles90-62
20/01/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles79-66
17/01/24HToyama95-83
07/01/24ADiamond Dolphins80-74
06/01/24ADiamond Dolphins92-79
31/12/23AChiba96-94
30/12/23AChiba90-81
24/12/23HShinshu96-55
23/12/23HShinshu83-53
20/12/23ASeaHorses Mikawa87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%44%47%
Points / game81.778.185.5
Allowed / game82.880.285.5
Point differential-1.1-2.1-0.1
Avg total164.5158.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%6%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %87%94%80%
Points / game90.293.187.1
Allowed / game77.475.379.6
Point differential+12.8+17.8+7.5
Avg total167.6168.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%75%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3127487%82.166.3+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix3127487%90.277.4+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%78.268.5+9.8
4 Ryukyu31211068%79.275.8+3.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa32211166%82.976.8+6.0
6 Shimane32201262%84.777.9+6.8
7 Diamond Dolphins32191359%81.379.2+2.1
8 Chiba31181358%85.483.0+2.4
9 Brave Thunders32181456%79.977.5+2.3
10 Saga32181456%76.274.3+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%77.675.7+1.9
12 Hiroshima D.32171553%78.373.2+5.1
13 Akita32161650%73.274.5-1.3
14 Gunma32151747%77.881.7-3.9
15 Nagasaki31141745%81.782.8-1.1
16 Sendai32141844%79.580.5-1.0
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%71.174.8-3.7
18 Yokohama32141844%76.982.4-5.5
19 Osaka31131842%78.082.4-4.5
20 Kyoto3192229%77.584.3-6.8
21 Hokkaido3292328%74.280.7-6.5
22 Shinshu3262619%71.884.0-12.2
23 Toyama3142713%73.684.9-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots323299%73.986.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1825181475
NeoPhoenix2724291898
← all games of the day
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