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Nagasaki vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 75-81
17-15 24-21 10-19 24-26
Position#17
Record14-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
Position#21
Record8-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 75
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 75
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 75
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
67avg 75
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 75
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 75
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
57avg 75
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 75
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
15-20
20-27
34-27
15-20
13-17
24-16
10-24
29-17
26-26
20-19
18-26
31-26
23-22
18-24
12-23
19-21
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
10-28
15-16
22-27
21-15
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
155.9Avg total
75.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.482.9165.2-0.550%
Season at home (15)78.380.2158.5-1.947%
Season away (13)87.185.9173.0+1.254%
Last 10 (10)75.880.1155.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)73.879.6153.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.083.4163.4-3.446%
vs Similar (9)80.783.7164.3-3.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.280.5170.7+9.767%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
75-106
75
106
-31
72avg 70
H10/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
64avg 70
H16/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
84avg 70
H17/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
64avg 70
A20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
86-69
86
69
+17
85avg 70
A23/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 70
A24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 70
A29/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
101-109
101
109
-8
88avg 70
A30/12
B League
Chiba
#9
L
83-99
83
99
-16
80avg 70
H06/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 70
H07/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-36
21-27
10-25
24-18
19-19
15-25
17-21
20-20
20-32
19-19
24-20
23-12
17-25
13-29
14-17
26-19
28-17
17-20
22-9
19-23
19-12
14-20
11-24
20-21
21-22
20-17
21-18
26-14
31-23
21-30
25-27
24-29
18-23
19-27
27-23
19-26
19-22
25-15
19-16
13-30
167.2Avg total
80.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.284.1161.3-6.929%
Season at home (16)76.183.7159.8-7.631%
Season away (12)78.784.7163.3-6.025%
Last 10 (10)80.087.2167.2-7.230%
Last 5 (5)82.487.8170.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.586.3160.8-11.818%
vs Similar (9)80.379.3159.7+1.044%
vs Weaker (4)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
77.8Avg total
37.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.341.583.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.640.780.3-1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)45.542.588.0+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.177.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.841.380.1-2.546%-
vs Similar (9)44.241.886.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.241.788.8+5.567%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H10/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H16/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A23/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A29/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A30/12
B League
Chiba
#9
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/01
B League
Chiba
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/01
B League
85.6Avg total
39.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.782.8-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.443.782.1-5.233%-
Last 30 away (12)40.043.883.8-3.842%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.085.6-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.345.883.1-8.524%-
vs Similar (9)41.039.780.7+1.356%-
vs Weaker (4)42.244.286.5-2.050%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
33.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.4%
72.0%12.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.4
52.4%
50.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.4
35.3%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.010.4
69.3%
72.0%10.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLLLLWLLW
Kyoto
LLLWLWLWLL
#17
League position
#21
-4.7
Net rating
-9.4
101.7
Offensive rating
109.4
106.4
Defensive rating
118.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.7%
3-point %
35.3%
66.9%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 109.4Defence106.4 · 118.7Shooting48.7% · 52.7%3-point %31.7% · 35.3%Ball care18.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.4% · 32.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
0
Kyoto wins
No previous meetings.
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HShinshu92-64
06/01/24HShinshu73-79
31/12/23HHiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
24/12/23AOsaka72-90
23/12/23AOsaka95-97
20/12/23ARyukyu76-74
17/12/23HAlvark84-94
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HChiba76-83
06/01/24HChiba83-99
30/12/23AIbaraki Robots101-109
29/12/23AIbaraki Robots88-71
24/12/23AHokkaido64-77
23/12/23AHokkaido86-69
20/12/23ADiamond Dolphins70-90
17/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex86-83
16/12/23HUtsunomiya Brex71-85
10/12/23HShimane75-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeLLLLW47%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%47%54%
Points / game82.478.387.1
Allowed / game82.980.285.9
Point differential-0.5-1.9+1.2
Avg total165.2158.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%7%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLWLL31%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %29%31%25%
Points / game77.276.178.7
Allowed / game84.183.784.7
Point differential-6.9-7.6-6.0
Avg total161.3159.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2824486%81.666.5+15.1
2 NeoPhoenix2824486%90.478.1+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex2822679%78.168.0+10.1
4 Ryukyu2820871%80.276.2+4.0
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2819968%82.775.9+6.8
6 Shimane28171161%84.578.1+6.4
7 Brave Thunders28171161%80.077.5+2.5
8 Diamond Dolphins28161257%80.678.6+2.0
9 Hiroshima D.28151354%78.573.8+4.6
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya28151354%78.276.1+2.1
11 Saga28151354%75.974.6+1.2
12 Chiba28151354%84.183.5+0.6
13 Akita28141450%72.773.0-0.2
14 Nagasaki28141450%82.482.9-0.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles28141450%72.474.5-2.1
16 Sendai28121643%79.480.1-0.8
17 Osaka28121643%77.081.4-4.3
18 Gunma28121643%75.981.0-5.1
19 Yokohama28121643%75.281.3-6.0
20 Hokkaido2882029%73.480.3-6.9
21 Kyoto2882029%77.284.1-6.9
22 Shinshu2852318%72.484.5-12.1
23 Toyama2842414%73.785.1-11.4
24 Ibaraki Robots282267%74.786.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1724102475
Kyoto1521192681
← all games of the day
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