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Nagasaki vs NeoPhoenix Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record6-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game79.1
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix
24 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
NAGA v NEOP
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NEOP103
28 Jan 2024
NAGA68
NEOP103
27 Jan 2024
NAGA75
NEOP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#15
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
160.3Avg total
81.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.279.5155.8-3.346%
Season at home (7)76.777.0153.7-0.357%
Season away (6)75.782.5158.2-6.833%
Last 10 (10)81.478.9160.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)89.677.2166.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.082.4157.4-7.440%
vs Similar (4)75.283.5158.8-8.225%
vs Weaker (20)86.075.5161.5+10.680%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A26/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A27/09
B League
Saga
#25
W
97-61
97
61
+36
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-19
17-14
18-24
21-24
24-13
24-16
20-13
17-20
15-22
29-21
32-16
22-21
27-17
25-21
16-23
20-22
23-16
21-16
17-21
27-22
23-14
29-15
18-10
26-19
25-20
20-31
22-19
20-17
21-23
14-16
28-25
26-22
14-30
20-10
15-15
22-21
25-16
27-28
17-24
164.0Avg total
86.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.179.1166.3+8.086%
Season at homeno games
Season away (7)87.179.1166.3+8.086%
Last 10 (10)86.577.5164.0+9.080%
Last 5 (5)87.879.4167.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.081.5169.5+6.567%
vs Similar (12)91.887.6179.3+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.380.8171.1+9.692%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
NagasakiNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
81.0Avg total
42.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.938.679.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)41.639.581.2+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.981.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.284.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.637.874.4-1.260%-
vs Similar (4)39.242.081.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (20)42.638.481.0+4.260%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A26/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A27/09
B League
Saga
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
B League
83.3Avg total
43.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.288.3+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.443.387.7+1.160%-
Last 30 away (20)45.443.288.6+2.265%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.783.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.045.386.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (12)44.644.088.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.641.489.0+6.292%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
53.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
32.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
73.7%10.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.6
57.8%
53.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.414.7
79.9%
73.7%14.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWLWLLLWW
NeoPhoenix
WLWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#3
-2.7
Net rating
+11.2
89.5
Offensive rating
99.5
92.2
Defensive rating
88.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
33.7%
65.4%
Assist %
64.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 99.5Defence92.2 · 88.3Shooting51.9% · 54.6%3-point %34.8% · 33.7%Ball care16.0% · 14.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Nagasaki   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
6
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix97-103
25/01/26NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-87
24/01/26NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki70-95
12/11/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki80-86
06/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki79-76
05/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-65
28/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AKobe91-89
19/10/26AHiroshima D.75-77
10/10/26AShinshu83-81
04/10/26ASaga93-89
03/10/26ASaga97-61
27/09/26AIbaraki Robots81-75
25/09/26AIbaraki Robots90-82
03/05/26HDiamond Dolphins93-79
02/05/26HDiamond Dolphins89-66
26/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game76.276.775.7
Allowed / game79.577.082.5
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.8
Avg total155.8153.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
Home--
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games7-7
Win %86%-86%
Points / game87.1-87.1
Allowed / game79.1-79.1
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total166.3-166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%-14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
13 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
14 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
15 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
16 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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