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Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 68-86
10-28 15-16 22-27 21-15
Position#17
Record13-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#6
Record12-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game74.3
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 76
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 76
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 76
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 76
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 76
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 76
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
67avg 76
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 76
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 76
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 76
H30/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
15-20
20-27
34-27
15-20
13-17
24-16
10-24
29-17
26-26
20-19
18-26
31-26
23-22
18-24
12-23
19-21
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
160.1Avg total
77.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.083.6166.6-0.752%
Season at home (12)78.581.2159.7-2.750%
Season away (13)87.185.9173.0+1.254%
Last 10 (10)77.982.2160.1-4.340%
Last 5 (5)78.286.8165.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.083.2164.2-2.250%
vs Similar (9)80.783.7164.3-3.044%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
W
76-61
76
61
+15
71avg 71
A03/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 71
H06/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
62avg 71
H09/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 71
H10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
63avg 71
A16/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 71
A17/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
80-56
80
56
+24
75avg 71
H20/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 71
H23/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 71
H24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 71
A30/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-16
20-12
22-13
28-23
21-18
21-18
13-11
26-18
22-26
16-22
13-18
26-25
18-27
19-25
20-26
17-21
20-21
20-23
16-15
21-20
18-8
15-26
17-22
16-18
25-9
19-17
20-12
25-11
16-25
8-14
11-19
17-24
19-21
16-17
26-21
21-13
22-18
13-12
23-21
150.6Avg total
76.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.974.3152.2+3.648%
Season at home (11)78.373.6151.9+4.655%
Season away (14)77.674.8152.4+2.943%
Last 10 (10)76.074.6150.6+1.440%
Last 5 (5)73.669.6143.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.283.6159.8-7.333%
vs Similar (7)73.678.4152.0-4.914%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.269.1149.4+11.171%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H17/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
79.5Avg total
38.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)42.541.884.4+0.756%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.341.180.4-1.842%-
Last 30 away (13)45.542.588.0+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.079.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.941.181.0-1.250%-
vs Similar (9)44.241.886.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/12
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H09/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H20/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/12
B League
79.4Avg total
41.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.877.4+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.237.178.2+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.376.8+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.279.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.473.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.442.879.2-6.333%-
vs Similar (7)39.138.477.6+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.934.276.1+7.771%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.3
73.4%
72.0%11.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.7
54.2%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.111.2
74.2%
72.0%11.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLWLLWLWW
Hiroshima D.
WLLWLLLLWW
#17
League position
#6
-5.7
Net rating
+2.6
102.2
Offensive rating
107.2
107.9
Defensive rating
104.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.4%
3-point %
27.8%
64.9%
Assist %
50.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 107.2Defence107.9 · 104.6Shooting50.7% · 49.0%3-point %32.4% · 27.8%Ball care18.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 36.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.64-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
24/12/23AOsaka72-90
23/12/23AOsaka95-97
20/12/23ARyukyu76-74
17/12/23HAlvark84-94
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ANagasaki79-64
24/12/23HSeaHorses Mikawa78-83
23/12/23HSeaHorses Mikawa60-69
20/12/23HOsaka80-56
17/12/23ARyukyu71-76
16/12/23ARyukyu73-80
10/12/23HNeoPhoenix83-103
09/12/23HNeoPhoenix77-84
06/12/23HKyoto83-70
03/12/23AAlvark76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game83.078.587.1
Allowed / game83.681.285.9
Point differential-0.7-2.7+1.2
Avg total166.6159.7173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %48%55%43%
Points / game77.978.377.6
Allowed / game74.373.674.8
Point differential+3.6+4.6+2.9
Avg total152.2151.9152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2622485%80.565.7+14.8
2 NeoPhoenix2521484%90.677.6+12.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex2620677%77.368.1+9.2
4 Ryukyu2519676%80.876.7+4.0
5 Brave Thunders2617965%80.276.0+4.2
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2516964%81.876.1+5.8
7 Shimane26161062%84.177.4+6.7
8 Diamond Dolphins26161062%81.078.1+2.9
9 Akita26141254%72.872.3+0.5
10 Chiba25131252%83.183.3-0.2
11 Nagasaki25131252%83.083.6-0.7
12 Saga26131350%76.275.7+0.5
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles26131350%72.974.7-1.8
14 Hiroshima D.25121348%77.974.3+3.6
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya25121348%77.477.4-0.1
16 Osaka26121446%77.880.7-3.0
17 Sendai25111444%80.680.8-0.1
18 Gunma25111444%75.780.0-4.3
19 Yokohama25111444%74.780.9-6.2
20 Hokkaido2681831%73.980.1-6.2
21 Kyoto2681831%77.083.6-6.5
22 Shinshu2642215%72.584.7-12.2
23 Toyama2632312%73.085.2-12.1
24 Ibaraki Robots262248%74.686.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1015222168
Hiroshima D.2816271586
← all games of the day
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