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Nagoya Fighting Eagles vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:35
Final 74-50
12-17 20-12 24-14 18-7
Position#11
Record19-21
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#23
Record6-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game84.0
JapanB League· Biwajima Sports Center (Nagoya)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagoya Fighting Eagles v Shinshu
03 Mar 2024
NAGO74
SHIN50
02 Mar 2024
NAGO94
SHIN83
20 Nov 2022
NAGO78
SHIN60
19 Nov 2022
NAGO75
SHIN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 65
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 65
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 65
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 65
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
65avg 65
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 65
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 65
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
100avg 65
A10/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 65
A11/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 65
H02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
16-31
14-21
19-11
13-14
17-20
13-12
19-21
19-14
19-15
24-16
18-22
22-20
21-19
16-13
20-21
11-20
28-22
23-16
18-23
16-24
23-20
15-20
15-17
18-23
25-25
21-24
25-23
29-24
24-20
19-20
22-8
30-24
18-24
14-13
18-12
21-22
32-22
16-14
25-25
157.1Avg total
78.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)73.575.5149.0-1.948%
Season at home (21)72.774.7147.3-2.048%
Season away (19)74.576.3150.8-1.847%
Last 10 (10)78.978.2157.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.280.8166.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
vs Similar (21)73.773.4147.1+0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.076.2151.2-1.250%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
56avg 64
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 64
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
56-90
56
90
-34
45avg 64
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 64
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 64
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 64
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 64
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 64
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 64
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
75avg 64
A02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
21-19
16-22
14-28
21-22
18-14
20-21
20-16
16-24
18-20
11-21
11-25
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
14-15
18-23
20-14
16-27
22-28
18-20
15-24
19-24
22-21
22-32
14-16
25-25
151.3Avg total
68.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)71.084.0155.1-13.015%
Season at home (21)70.382.4152.7-12.119%
Season away (19)71.985.8157.7-13.911%
Last 10 (10)68.682.7151.3-14.110%
Last 5 (5)70.084.6154.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.484.1151.5-16.64%
vs Similar (5)73.082.0155.0-9.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
Nagoya Fighting EaglesShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A10/02
B League
Saga
#15
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A11/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H02/03
B League
84.5Avg total
41.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.577.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.237.175.4+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.179.0-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.084.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.692.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.448.085.4-10.60%-
vs Similar (21)38.036.374.3+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.038.281.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A02/03
B League
77.9Avg total
36.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.743.879.5-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.642.578.1-6.914%-
Last 30 away (16)35.944.980.8-9.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.977.9-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.280.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.244.579.7-9.312%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.278.6-1.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.2
50.4%
50.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
72.0%11.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
50.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws11.87.9
66.9%
72.0%7.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WWWLLLWWLL
Shinshu
LLLLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#23
+0.1
Net rating
-20.5
106.3
Offensive rating
96.2
106.2
Defensive rating
116.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.8%
3-point %
30.6%
60.8%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 96.2Defence106.2 · 116.7Shooting50.5% · 48.8%3-point %33.8% · 30.6%Ball care16.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
1
Shinshu wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HShinshu94-83
11/02/24ASaga80-73
10/02/24ASaga94-72
07/02/24HNeoPhoenix89-95
04/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex69-81
03/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex80-81
31/01/24ABrave Thunders79-73
28/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya80-67
27/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya62-67
21/01/24ANeoPhoenix62-90
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-94
11/02/24HHiroshima D.74-96
10/02/24HHiroshima D.68-79
07/02/24HSaga58-74
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
28/01/24AHokkaido56-90
27/01/24AHokkaido79-73
21/01/24HAlvark63-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeLLWLW48%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %48%48%47%
Points / game73.572.774.5
Allowed / game75.574.776.3
Point differential-1.9-2.0-1.8
Avg total149.0147.3150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %15%19%11%
Points / game71.070.371.9
Allowed / game84.082.485.8
Point differential-13.0-12.1-13.9
Avg total155.1152.7157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4134783%90.278.5+11.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4134783%79.168.1+11.0
3 Alvark4133880%81.969.1+12.8
4 Ryukyu41291271%81.677.0+4.6
5 Diamond Dolphins41281368%82.378.1+4.2
6 Chiba41271466%85.781.7+4.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane41231856%83.378.7+4.7
9 Gunma41231856%79.080.2-1.2
10 Brave Thunders40221855%80.577.1+3.4
11 Hiroshima D.41212051%78.774.3+4.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya41212051%75.574.6+1.0
13 Akita41212051%74.074.5-0.5
14 Saga40202050%74.974.8+0.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40192148%73.575.5-1.9
16 Sendai41182344%78.979.7-0.8
17 Yokohama40172342%76.782.2-5.5
18 Nagasaki41162539%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Kyoto41132832%77.684.3-6.7
21 Hokkaido40122830%74.580.5-5.9
22 Ibaraki Robots4173417%73.785.1-11.4
23 Shinshu4063415%71.084.0-13.0
24 Toyama4143710%74.085.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1220241874
Shinshu171214750
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