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Saga vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 73-80
24-30 24-18 13-14 12-18
Position#15
Record19-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#11
Record17-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game75.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
29 Dec 2024
SAGA74
NAGO79
28 Dec 2024
SAGA61
NAGO68
11 Feb 2024
SAGA73
NAGO80
10 Feb 2024
SAGA72
NAGO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 66
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 66
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 66
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 66
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 66
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 66
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 66
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 66
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 66
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
72-94
72
94
-22
58avg 66
H10/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
24-29
20-24
20-19
8-22
148.8Avg total
71.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)74.875.2150.1-0.450%
Season at home (21)74.076.4150.4-2.448%
Season away (17)75.873.8149.6+2.053%
Last 10 (10)71.976.9148.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)68.281.2149.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.876.2149.1-3.446%
vs Weaker (10)82.764.3147.0+18.4100%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
58-71
58
71
-13
49avg 64
H17/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
54avg 64
A20/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 64
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 64
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 64
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 64
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
65avg 64
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 64
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 64
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
100avg 64
A10/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
10-19
19-21
13-17
20-21
17-27
15-15
14-16
13-27
16-31
14-21
19-11
13-14
17-20
13-12
19-21
19-14
19-15
24-16
18-22
22-20
21-19
16-13
20-21
11-20
28-22
23-16
18-23
16-24
23-20
15-20
15-17
18-23
25-25
21-24
25-23
29-24
24-20
19-20
22-8
151.5Avg total
73.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)72.875.3148.1-2.545%
Season at home (20)71.674.2145.8-2.745%
Season away (18)74.276.5150.7-2.344%
Last 10 (10)73.977.6151.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)82.280.4162.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)74.173.4147.5+0.757%
vs Weaker (4)67.573.0140.5-5.525%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
SagaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
B League
77.0Avg total
39.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.277.0+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)41.037.278.2+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.877.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.276.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.436.574.9+1.854%-
vs Weaker (10)44.333.277.5+11.190%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H17/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A10/02
B League
79.6Avg total
37.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.175.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.073.8-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.478.1-0.757%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.979.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.486.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.448.085.4-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.935.973.7+2.062%-
vs Weaker (4)37.237.875.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.5
50.3%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.08.7
62.1%
72.0%8.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.5
49.2%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.1
29.6%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws14.910.4
69.8%
72.0%10.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWLLLLLWWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLLLWWLLLL
#15
League position
#11
-6.7
Net rating
-5.7
100.9
Offensive rating
100.3
107.6
Defensive rating
105.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.9%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.9%
3-point %
29.6%
59.9%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 100.3Defence107.6 · 105.9Shooting51.8% · 47.4%3-point %35.9% · 29.6%Ball care17.1% · 17.9%Off. rebounds20.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
1
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASaga94-72
07/02/24HNeoPhoenix89-95
04/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex69-81
03/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex80-81
31/01/24ABrave Thunders79-73
28/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya80-67
27/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya62-67
21/01/24ANeoPhoenix62-90
20/01/24ANeoPhoenix66-79
17/01/24HSeaHorses Mikawa58-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLLLL48%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %50%48%53%
Points / game74.874.075.8
Allowed / game75.276.473.8
Point differential-0.4-2.4+2.0
Avg total150.1150.4149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%19%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeLLLWL45%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %45%45%44%
Points / game72.871.674.2
Allowed / game75.374.276.5
Point differential-2.5-2.6-2.3
Avg total148.1145.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3934587%90.377.3+13.0
2 Alvark3932782%81.868.4+13.4
3 Utsunomiya Brex3932782%79.468.1+11.3
4 Ryukyu38261268%80.576.5+4.0
5 Diamond Dolphins39261367%82.478.6+3.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa39251464%82.276.7+5.5
7 Chiba39251464%85.781.8+3.8
8 Shimane39221756%83.378.4+5.0
9 Hiroshima D.39211854%78.773.7+5.0
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya39211854%75.974.5+1.3
11 Akita39211854%74.374.2+0.1
12 Gunma39211854%78.680.6-2.1
13 Brave Thunders38201853%80.177.5+2.6
14 Saga38191950%74.875.2-0.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles38172145%72.875.3-2.5
16 Sendai39172244%78.980.0-1.1
17 Yokohama39172244%76.982.2-5.3
18 Nagasaki39162341%81.685.1-3.5
19 Osaka39142536%77.782.9-5.2
20 Hokkaido38122632%75.280.5-5.3
21 Kyoto39122731%77.784.6-6.8
22 Shinshu3963315%70.783.8-13.0
23 Ibaraki Robots3853313%72.784.8-12.1
24 Toyama3943510%73.485.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2424131273
Nagoya Fighting Eagles3018141880
← all games of the day
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