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Saga vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 72-94
24-29 20-24 20-19 8-22
Position#15
Record19-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#11
Record16-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
29 Dec 2024
SAGA74
NAGO79
28 Dec 2024
SAGA61
NAGO68
11 Feb 2024
SAGA73
NAGO80
10 Feb 2024
SAGA72
NAGO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 66
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 66
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 66
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 66
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 66
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 66
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 66
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 66
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 66
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
74-58
74
58
+16
74avg 66
A07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
30-11
16-14
11-13
17-20
144.4Avg total
71.3Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)74.974.7149.6+0.251%
Season at home (20)74.175.5149.6-1.450%
Season away (17)75.873.8149.6+2.053%
Last 10 (10)71.373.1144.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)66.277.6143.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.573.5147.0-0.154%
vs Weaker (10)82.764.3147.0+18.4100%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
65-88
65
88
-23
53avg 63
H07/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
58-71
58
71
-13
49avg 63
H17/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
54avg 63
A20/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 63
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 63
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 63
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 63
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
65avg 63
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 63
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 63
H07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-20
18-30
16-16
16-14
10-19
19-21
13-17
20-21
17-27
15-15
14-16
13-27
16-31
14-21
19-11
13-14
17-20
13-12
19-21
19-14
19-15
24-16
18-22
22-20
21-19
16-13
20-21
11-20
28-22
23-16
18-23
16-24
23-20
15-20
15-17
18-23
25-25
21-24
25-23
150.2Avg total
71.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)72.275.4147.6-3.243%
Season at home (20)71.674.2145.8-2.745%
Season away (17)73.076.8149.8-3.841%
Last 10 (10)71.079.2150.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)79.479.4158.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)72.973.8146.7-0.952%
vs Weaker (4)67.573.0140.5-5.525%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
SagaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/02
B League
73.6Avg total
38.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.176.8+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.437.375.7+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.077.9+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.073.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.035.173.1+2.962%-
vs Weaker (10)44.333.277.5+11.190%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H07/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H17/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H07/02
B League
77.2Avg total
35.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.275.3-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.073.8-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.439.676.9-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.777.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.480.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.448.085.4-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.036.072.9+1.057%-
vs Weaker (4)37.237.875.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.4
50.3%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.0
36.1%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.98.7
62.6%
72.0%8.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.4
48.1%
50.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.5
27.9%
33.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.19.7
68.8%
72.0%9.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLLLLLWWWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LLLWWLLLLL
#15
League position
#11
-2.7
Net rating
-11.4
100.4
Offensive rating
97.4
103.1
Defensive rating
108.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
45.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.1%
3-point %
27.9%
59.5%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 97.4Defence103.1 · 108.8Shooting51.9% · 45.9%3-point %36.1% · 27.9%Ball care17.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds20.5% · 31.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Saga   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
0
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
No previous meetings.
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AShinshu74-58
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HNeoPhoenix89-95
04/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex69-81
03/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex80-81
31/01/24ABrave Thunders79-73
28/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya80-67
27/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya62-67
21/01/24ANeoPhoenix62-90
20/01/24ANeoPhoenix66-79
17/01/24HSeaHorses Mikawa58-71
07/01/24HRyukyu65-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW51%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %51%50%53%
Points / game74.974.175.8
Allowed / game74.775.573.8
Point differential+0.2-1.4+2.0
Avg total149.6149.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLLWL45%
AwayLLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %43%45%41%
Points / game72.271.673.0
Allowed / game75.474.276.8
Point differential-3.2-2.6-3.8
Avg total147.6145.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3834489%90.776.8+13.9
2 Alvark3831782%81.568.3+13.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex3831782%78.967.9+11.0
4 Ryukyu37251268%80.276.3+3.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa38251366%82.776.8+5.8
6 Chiba38251366%85.781.6+4.1
7 Diamond Dolphins38251366%82.278.5+3.7
8 Shimane38211755%83.878.8+4.9
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya38211755%76.374.8+1.5
10 Brave Thunders37201754%80.177.3+2.8
11 Hiroshima D.38201853%78.273.7+4.6
12 Akita38201853%74.374.4-0.1
13 Gunma38201853%78.380.7-2.3
14 Saga37191851%74.974.7+0.2
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles37162143%72.275.4-3.2
16 Sendai38162242%78.780.3-1.6
17 Nagasaki38162242%81.784.8-3.1
18 Yokohama38162242%76.682.2-5.6
19 Osaka38142437%77.782.8-5.1
20 Hokkaido37122532%74.980.1-5.2
21 Kyoto38122632%77.684.5-6.8
22 Shinshu3863216%70.783.4-12.8
23 Ibaraki Robots3743311%72.484.9-12.5
24 Toyama3843411%73.685.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga242020872
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2924192294
← all games of the day
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