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NC State vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 84-85
34-37 50-48
Position#128
Record19-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game75.7
NC State
USA
vs
Stanford 🏆
USA
Position#103
Record19-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#236
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H14/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
47-31
49-31
47-47
34-42
50-41
36-24
46-49
36-56
41-62
42-37
34-40
42-26
40-32
19-32
42-58
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
163.4Avg total
80.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.575.7159.2+7.863%
Season at home (18)83.070.2153.2+12.867%
Season away (12)84.384.0168.3+0.358%
Last 10 (10)80.083.4163.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)74.682.8157.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.476.3155.7+3.153%
vs Weaker (13)90.370.5160.8+19.885%
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A14/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H28/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
30-44
33-41
47-47
32-30
32-36
43-39
52-33
34-34
36-30
39-30
24-38
25-39
41-33
32-34
43-33
34-27
61-48
45-37
41-41
149.3Avg total
76.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.172.6148.7+3.563%
Season at home (18)78.472.0150.4+6.467%
Season away (12)72.773.5146.2-0.858%
Last 10 (10)76.472.9149.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)77.072.0149.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.378.7150.0-7.350%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.072.4148.4+3.656%
vs Weaker (8)79.968.5148.4+11.488%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.4+2.4
NC StateStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#236
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
74.3Avg total
37.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.172.7+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.032.271.2+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)38.037.075.0+1.058%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.074.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.071.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.033.568.5+1.553%-
vs Weaker (13)43.632.275.8+11.5100%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/03
NCAA
70.3Avg total
35.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.269.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.732.668.3+3.267%-
Last 30 away (12)34.836.771.5-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.670.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.468.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.839.874.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.133.167.2+1.156%-
vs Weaker (8)38.232.270.5+6.062%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
1
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Stanford v NC State74-73
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT
25/02/26AVirginia61-90
18/02/26HNorth Carolina82-58
14/02/26HMiami (FL)76-77
10/02/26ALouisville77-118
07/02/26HVirginia Tech82-73
04/02/26ASMU Mustangs84-83
31/01/26AWake Forest96-78
28/01/26HSyracuse88-68
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26ANotre Dame86-78
28/02/26HSMU Mustangs95-75
26/02/26HPittsburgh75-67
21/02/26ACalifornia66-72
14/02/26AWake Forest63-68
12/02/26ABoston College70-64
08/02/26HGeorgia Tech95-72
05/02/26HClemson64-66
31/01/26AFlorida State80-88
29/01/26AMiami (FL)70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL63%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%67%58%
Points / game83.583.084.3
Allowed / game75.770.284.0
Point differential+7.8+12.8+0.3
Avg total159.2153.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %10%6%17%
Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%67%58%
Points / game76.178.472.7
Allowed / game72.672.073.5
Point differential+3.5+6.4-0.8
Avg total148.7150.4146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3028293%83.262.5+20.6
2 Virginia3227584%80.069.4+10.6
3 North Carolina3024680%80.470.9+9.6
4 Miami (FL)3124777%82.770.7+12.0
5 Louisville3122971%85.972.5+13.4
6 Clemson3122971%74.566.3+8.2
7 California3021970%77.772.3+5.4
8 NC State30191163%83.575.7+7.8
9 Stanford30191163%76.172.6+3.5
10 SMU Mustangs31191261%85.078.4+6.6
11 Virginia Tech31191261%78.574.2+4.2
12 Florida State31171455%79.977.5+2.4
13 Wake Forest30151550%78.877.0+1.8
14 Syracuse30151550%75.474.0+1.4
15 Notre Dame31131842%74.575.3-0.9
16 Pittsburgh30111937%70.171.3-1.2
17 Boston College31112035%67.470.7-3.3
18 Georgia Tech31112035%73.877.4-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State345084
Stanford374885
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