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NeoPhoenix vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 95-87
26-23 23-17 26-27 20-20
Position#10
Record13-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#1
Record28-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game77.0
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki
02 Apr 2027
NEOP v NAGA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
NEOP95
NAGA87
24 Jan 2026
NEOP70
NAGA95
12 Nov 2025
NEOP80
NAGA86
06 Apr 2025
NEOP79
NAGA76
05 Apr 2025
NEOP95
NAGA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
81avg 78
A13/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
93-79
93
79
+14
93avg 78
A14/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
89avg 78
H20/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 78
H21/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
110-77
110
77
+33
105avg 78
A24/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 78
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
71-91
71
91
-20
69avg 78
A28/12
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 78
H03/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 78
H04/01
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
63avg 78
H24/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
28-30
19-21
16-24
21-25
28-19
27-16
17-19
35-19
20-26
18-33
21-31
12-28
20-19
16-20
21-16
29-22
30-17
25-19
26-19
13-30
19-24
23-20
14-22
17-23
19-25
13-19
22-24
26-18
26-19
17-14
16-19
25-26
26-17
16-15
18-14
18-30
15-24
19-22
18-19
170.3Avg total
83.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.183.0165.1-0.942%
Season at home (17)83.282.5165.8+0.753%
Season away (14)80.783.6164.3-2.929%
Last 10 (10)83.686.7170.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)76.084.8160.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.790.2163.8-16.517%
vs Similar (8)82.088.0170.0-6.012%
vs Weaker (16)84.577.7162.2+6.862%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
107-82
107
82
+25
105avg 81
A13/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
106-84
106
84
+22
104avg 81
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 81
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 81
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 81
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
83avg 81
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
100-85
100
85
+15
100avg 81
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 81
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
94avg 81
A24/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
28-26
23-19
31-14
26-17
33-15
22-22
25-30
24-23
26-17
24-19
28-11
18-20
32-18
18-21
17-12
25-27
27-26
16-22
25-26
22-15
22-23
19-18
23-23
19-19
18-18
19-20
37-20
33-19
21-20
30-22
16-24
25-30
30-21
16-13
20-14
30-18
24-15
22-19
19-18
175.5Avg total
95.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)94.277.0171.2+17.190%
Season at home (17)92.976.4169.4+16.594%
Season away (14)95.677.8173.4+17.986%
Last 10 (10)95.879.7175.5+16.190%
Last 5 (5)93.077.8170.8+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.276.4170.5+17.893%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
NeoPhoenixNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A13/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A14/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H20/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H21/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A24/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A28/12
B League
Akita
#26
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H03/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/01
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H24/01
B League
91.5Avg total
45.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.785.7+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.742.186.8+2.671%-
Last 30 away (13)40.743.684.3-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)45.446.191.5-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.288.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.248.386.5-10.233%-
vs Similar (8)43.245.588.8-2.250%-
vs Weaker (16)44.639.283.9+5.462%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A13/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A24/01
B League
91.8Avg total
50.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.639.588.1+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.240.187.4+7.182%-
Last 30 away (13)50.338.789.0+11.685%-
Last 10 (10)50.841.091.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.688.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)48.639.588.1+9.183%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.2
59.4%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.613.5
68.9%
73.1%13.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.513.7
38.6%
33.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.9
80.7%
73.1%15.9
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
LWWLLWLLWL
Nagasaki
WWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-3.9
Net rating
+20.8
110.7
Offensive rating
118.9
114.5
Defensive rating
98.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
38.6%
64.4%
Assist %
67.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 118.9Defence114.5 · 98.1Shooting55.2% · 56.4%3-point %33.8% · 38.6%Ball care17.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NeoPhoenix wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki70-95
12/11/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki80-86
06/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki79-76
05/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-65
28/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HNagasaki70-95
04/01/26HAkita85-72
03/01/26HAkita85-70
28/12/25AGunma71-91
27/12/25AGunma69-96
24/12/25AToyama110-77
21/12/25HSeaHorses Mikawa69-83
20/12/25HSeaHorses Mikawa94-109
14/12/25AUtsunomiya Brex93-79
13/12/25AUtsunomiya Brex90-95
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ANeoPhoenix95-70
04/01/26HYokohama91-78
03/01/26HYokohama100-85
28/12/25HChiba93-77
27/12/25HChiba86-79
24/12/25AShimane93-101
21/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya85-71
20/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya102-70
14/12/25AShiga106-84
13/12/25AShiga107-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %42%53%29%
Points / game82.183.280.7
Allowed / game83.082.583.6
Point differential-0.9+0.7-2.9
Avg total165.1165.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %90%94%86%
Points / game94.292.995.6
Allowed / game77.076.477.8
Point differential+17.1+16.5+17.9
Avg total171.2169.4173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3128390%94.277.0+17.1
2 Diamond Dolphins3225778%83.471.9+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex3124777%85.177.7+7.4
4 Hokkaido3124777%87.682.4+5.3
5 Chiba3224875%82.274.7+7.6
6 Alvark32211166%80.577.8+2.7
7 Gunma31201165%83.174.6+8.5
8 Ryukyu32201262%81.975.8+6.1
9 SeaHorses Mikawa32201262%83.278.8+4.5
10 Sendai32191359%79.478.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.31171455%85.483.0+2.4
12 Shimane32171553%82.981.4+1.6
13 Saga31161552%80.982.0-1.1
14 NeoPhoenix31131842%82.183.0-0.9
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31131842%81.283.5-2.3
16 Osaka32131941%80.281.6-1.3
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya32131941%77.082.0-5.0
18 Shiga31112035%80.786.9-6.2
19 Koshigaya Alphas31112035%71.979.3-7.4
20 Yokohama32112134%77.782.3-4.7
21 Ibaraki Robots3192229%75.979.7-3.8
22 Altiri Chiba3192229%79.484.9-5.6
23 Toyama3292328%82.490.3-8.0
24 Kyoto3292328%70.880.3-9.6
25 Brave Thunders3282425%76.284.2-7.9
26 Akita3262619%72.584.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix2623262095
Nagasaki2317272087
← all games of the day
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