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NeoPhoenix vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 95-65
23-17 24-18 19-10 29-20
Position#2
Record39-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#16
Record22-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.6
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki
02 Apr 2027
NEOP v NAGA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
NEOP95
NAGA87
24 Jan 2026
NEOP70
NAGA95
12 Nov 2025
NEOP80
NAGA86
06 Apr 2025
NEOP79
NAGA76
05 Apr 2025
NEOP95
NAGA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
105-72
105
72
+33
96avg 86
A01/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 86
A02/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 86
H05/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
85avg 86
H12/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
110-98
110
98
+12
106avg 86
A19/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 86
A22/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
105-89
105
89
+16
105avg 86
A23/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 86
H26/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 86
A29/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 86
A30/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
20-18
25-20
30-15
14-22
29-15
14-12
17-23
30-23
21-28
26-15
18-26
16-28
19-18
19-13
25-20
29-20
32-23
27-32
22-23
26-28
22-25
16-15
22-20
28-22
28-23
28-25
21-19
13-11
21-27
23-18
23-14
15-30
30-29
26-25
23-13
17-25
23-14
17-23
22-25
177.5Avg total
92.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)92.980.1173.0+12.885%
Season at home (25)92.179.5171.6+12.692%
Season away (21)93.980.8174.7+13.176%
Last 10 (10)92.385.2177.5+7.170%
Last 5 (5)88.886.2175.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)95.588.5184.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.980.4173.2+12.589%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
57avg 70
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 70
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 70
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 70
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 70
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 70
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 70
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 70
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 70
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 70
H30/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
14-20
16-24
23-20
23-24
16-28
18-14
32-19
35-25
22-21
15-19
20-21
15-22
22-12
27-17
19-19
22-17
31-25
22-10
13-18
23-25
16-15
17-28
12-20
21-10
21-13
24-15
18-25
26-23
18-20
19-23
14-12
17-27
16-23
11-20
26-13
11-21
22-14
19-13
25-17
158.3Avg total
80.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)76.277.6153.8-1.447%
Season at home (26)74.376.8151.1-2.638%
Season away (21)78.678.5157.0+0.157%
Last 10 (10)80.278.1158.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)75.275.4150.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.578.5157.0+0.050%
vs Similar (11)78.182.0160.1-3.936%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
NeoPhoenixNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A01/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A02/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H05/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A19/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A22/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A23/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A29/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/03
B League
91.1Avg total
46.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.142.390.4+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.640.488.0+7.269%-
Last 30 away (14)48.644.693.2+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.891.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.891.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)52.049.0101.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.841.989.7+6.068%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H01/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
B League
82.6Avg total
41.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.880.6-1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.682.1+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.482.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.739.777.4-2.040%-
vs Similar (11)43.540.584.0+3.164%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.7
55.5%
51.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.1
35.0%
33.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.114.6
63.2%
72.7%14.6
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.4
51.6%
51.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.3
38.0%
33.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
72.7%12.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
LLWWLWWWWW
Nagasaki
WLLWLWWWWL
#2
League position
#16
+8.6
Net rating
+3.3
118.7
Offensive rating
106.0
110.1
Defensive rating
102.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
38.0%
68.0%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 106.0Defence110.1 · 102.7Shooting54.2% · 54.2%3-point %35.0% · 38.0%Ball care13.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds35.8% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AKyoto79-87
29/03/25AKyoto94-97
26/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya80-70
23/03/25AUtsunomiya Brex105-89
22/03/25AUtsunomiya Brex86-88
19/03/25ABrave Thunders110-98
12/03/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87 OT
05/03/25HYokohama95-92
02/03/25AAkita74-72
01/03/25AAkita105-72
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex77-65
29/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex70-83
26/03/25HHiroshima D.77-78
23/03/25AKyoto84-63
22/03/25AKyoto68-88
19/03/25HKoshigaya Alphas88-70
12/03/25AOsaka83-70
05/03/25ASaga92-86
02/03/25HRyukyu89-85
01/03/25HRyukyu74-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL85%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %85%92%76%
Points / game92.992.193.9
Allowed / game80.179.580.8
Point differential+12.8+12.6+13.1
Avg total173.0171.6174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%56%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472621
Win %47%38%57%
Points / game76.274.378.6
Allowed / game77.676.878.5
Point differential-1.4-2.6+0.1
Avg total153.8151.1157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%19%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)31% (13)100% (1)
Overtime %4%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4639785%92.980.1+12.8
2 Utsunomiya Brex4738981%85.576.0+9.5
3 Ryukyu47341372%84.577.2+7.3
4 Alvark47341372%76.771.1+5.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa47321568%82.074.9+7.1
6 Chiba47321568%82.477.4+5.0
7 Gunma47311666%78.172.6+5.5
8 Shimane48301862%80.074.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya47252253%74.471.9+2.5
10 Kyoto47252253%81.579.9+1.6
11 Diamond Dolphins48252352%81.681.3+0.3
12 Osaka47232449%82.482.7-0.3
13 Hiroshima D.48232548%79.682.5-2.9
14 Akita47222547%74.074.9-0.9
15 Nagasaki47222547%76.277.6-1.4
16 Yokohama48222646%76.579.4-2.9
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47212645%77.780.0-2.3
18 Hokkaido47182938%75.579.3-3.7
19 Saga48163233%75.478.8-3.5
20 Koshigaya Alphas47153232%76.681.1-4.5
21 Brave Thunders47143330%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4793819%72.981.1-8.2
23 Sendai4793819%73.583.7-10.2
24 Shiga4774015%77.190.3-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix2324192995
Nagasaki1718102065
← all games of the day
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