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NeoPhoenix vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 79-76
19-19 10-22 27-15 23-20
Position#2
Record40-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#16
Record22-26
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.9
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki
02 Apr 2027
NEOP v NAGA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
NEOP95
NAGA87
24 Jan 2026
NEOP70
NAGA95
12 Nov 2025
NEOP80
NAGA86
06 Apr 2025
NEOP79
NAGA76
05 Apr 2025
NEOP95
NAGA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 86
A02/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 86
H05/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
85avg 86
H12/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
110-98
110
98
+12
106avg 86
A19/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 86
A22/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
105-89
105
89
+16
105avg 86
A23/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 86
H26/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 86
A29/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 86
A30/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
95-65
95
65
+30
100avg 86
H05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
29-15
14-12
17-23
30-23
21-28
26-15
18-26
16-28
19-18
19-13
25-20
29-20
32-23
27-32
22-23
26-28
22-25
16-15
22-20
28-22
28-23
28-25
21-19
13-11
21-27
23-18
23-14
15-30
30-29
26-25
23-13
17-25
23-14
17-23
22-25
23-17
24-18
19-10
29-20
175.8Avg total
91.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)93.079.8172.7+13.285%
Season at home (26)92.278.9171.1+13.392%
Season away (21)93.980.8174.7+13.176%
Last 10 (10)91.384.5175.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)90.681.6172.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)95.588.5184.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)93.179.9173.0+13.389%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 69
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 69
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
79avg 69
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 69
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 69
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
84avg 69
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 69
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 69
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 69
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
47avg 69
A05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-28
18-14
32-19
35-25
22-21
15-19
20-21
15-22
22-12
27-17
19-19
22-17
31-25
22-10
13-18
23-25
16-15
17-28
12-20
21-10
21-13
24-15
18-25
26-23
18-20
19-23
14-12
17-27
16-23
11-20
26-13
11-21
22-14
19-13
25-17
17-23
18-24
10-19
20-29
157.6Avg total
79.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)76.077.9153.9-2.046%
Season at home (26)74.376.8151.1-2.638%
Season away (22)78.079.2157.2-1.355%
Last 10 (10)79.378.3157.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)74.676.8151.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.979.7156.6-2.850%
vs Similar (11)78.182.0160.1-3.936%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
NeoPhoenixNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A02/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H05/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A19/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A22/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A23/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A29/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/04
B League
90.6Avg total
46.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.142.290.3+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.640.187.8+7.569%-
Last 30 away (14)48.644.693.2+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.044.690.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)52.049.0101.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.841.789.5+6.168%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H02/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A05/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H19/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H29/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/04
B League
82.4Avg total
41.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.481.2+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.540.780.3-1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.182.1+2.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.282.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.940.277.1-3.330%-
vs Similar (11)43.540.584.0+3.164%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.8
56.1%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.1
35.0%
33.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.615.4
65.3%
72.7%15.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.1
50.7%
51.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.7
36.9%
33.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.912.0
80.5%
72.7%12.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WLLWWLWWWW
Nagasaki
LWLLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#16
+8.5
Net rating
+1.3
117.4
Offensive rating
104.0
109.0
Defensive rating
102.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.0%
3-point %
36.9%
70.5%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 104.0Defence109.0 · 102.6Shooting54.4% · 52.9%3-point %35.0% · 36.9%Ball care14.5% · 20.5%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-65
28/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HNagasaki95-65
30/03/25AKyoto79-87
29/03/25AKyoto94-97
26/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya80-70
23/03/25AUtsunomiya Brex105-89
22/03/25AUtsunomiya Brex86-88
19/03/25ABrave Thunders110-98
12/03/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87 OT
05/03/25HYokohama95-92
02/03/25AAkita74-72
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ANeoPhoenix65-95
30/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex77-65
29/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex70-83
26/03/25HHiroshima D.77-78
23/03/25AKyoto84-63
22/03/25AKyoto68-88
19/03/25HKoshigaya Alphas88-70
12/03/25AOsaka83-70
05/03/25ASaga92-86
02/03/25HRyukyu89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW85%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472621
Win %85%92%76%
Points / game93.092.293.9
Allowed / game79.878.980.8
Point differential+13.2+13.3+13.1
Avg total172.7171.1174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%58%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482622
Win %46%38%55%
Points / game76.074.378.0
Allowed / game77.976.879.2
Point differential-2.0-2.6-1.3
Avg total153.9151.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%19%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)31% (13)100% (1)
Overtime %4%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4740785%93.079.8+13.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex4839981%85.576.1+9.4
3 Ryukyu49361373%84.476.8+7.7
4 Alvark48351373%76.971.3+5.5
5 SeaHorses Mikawa48321667%81.975.1+6.8
6 Gunma48321667%77.972.5+5.4
7 Chiba48321667%82.477.6+4.8
8 Shimane49311863%80.174.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya49272255%74.571.2+3.3
10 Diamond Dolphins49262353%81.781.3+0.5
11 Kyoto48252352%81.880.3+1.5
12 Osaka48242450%82.782.9-0.2
13 Akita48232548%74.174.7-0.6
14 Hiroshima D.49232647%79.682.7-3.0
15 Nagasaki48222646%76.077.9-2.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles48222646%77.979.9-2.0
17 Yokohama49222745%76.679.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido49183137%75.179.4-4.3
19 Saga49173235%75.578.8-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas48153331%76.481.0-4.6
21 Brave Thunders48143429%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4893919%72.880.9-8.1
23 Sendai4994018%72.783.4-10.7
24 Shiga4874115%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix1910272379
Nagasaki1922152076
← all games of the day
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