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Neptunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.1
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.3/10
Below normal
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#13
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 28· Klaip
Other2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
16 Jan 2027
NEPT v UKME
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NEPT77
UKME70
13 Dec 2025
NEPT92
UKME93
12 Oct 2024
NEPT85
UKME67
24 Feb 2024
NEPT78
UKME75
19 Oct 2023
NEPT72
UKME67
23 Feb 2023
NEPT90
UKME89
14 Jan 2023
NEPT53
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 72
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 72
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 72
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-62
74
62
+12
69avg 72
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
59-57
59
57
+2
42avg 72
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A03/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H05/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A07/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A12/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
21-23
22-20
19-24
27-24
25-24
23-16
15-13
22-17
31-17
14-23
11-20
23-18
15-16
18-16
18-12
13-17
19-19
10-11
17-10
20-9
23-21
21-16
23-18
20-23
13-24
20-18
22-29
19-17
20-22
13-23
31-12
19-12
18-11
18-24
22-24
17-20
20-12
17-12
28-23
150.5Avg total
77.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.474.1152.5+4.271%
Season at home (7)73.075.1148.1-2.157%
Season away (7)83.773.1156.9+10.686%
Last 10 (10)77.772.8150.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)80.874.0154.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.475.6149.0-2.144%
vs Similar (11)80.077.2157.2+2.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.969.4151.3+12.590%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 72
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
62avg 72
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 72
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
no box
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
16-31
20-27
18-21
16-25
14-19
17-17
18-17
25-17
20-32
14-27
19-20
23-18
9-20
21-23
16-21
18-23
12-24
15-29
22-22
25-22
12-14
17-27
17-9
12-23
19-16
25-20
11-20
21-13
23-21
12-26
29-26
32-18
161.9Avg total
73.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.1167.1-9.236%
Season at home (8)77.283.8161.0-6.538%
Season away (6)81.294.0175.2-12.833%
Last 10 (10)73.788.2161.9-14.530%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.289.2167.5-11.021%
vs Similar (6)79.885.8165.7-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Neptunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A03/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H05/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A12/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/11
NKL
75.9Avg total
39.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.478.3+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.238.478.6+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.536.678.1+4.988%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.475.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.437.173.6-0.756%-
vs Similar (11)43.539.482.9+4.273%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.135.477.5+6.790%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/11
NKL
83.1Avg total
34.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.281.9-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.544.180.6-7.622%-
Last 30 away (12)36.946.883.8-9.98%-
Last 10 (10)34.948.283.1-13.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.077.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.245.181.2-8.917%-
vs Similar (6)38.745.784.3-7.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.3
28.3%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
67.1%14.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
67.1%13.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWLWWWWWL
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#13
+1.8
Net rating
-9.0
89.8
Offensive rating
90.1
88.0
Defensive rating
99.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.3%
3-point %
31.8%
60.7%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 90.1Defence88.0 · 99.1Shooting48.0% · 50.1%3-point %28.3% · 31.8%Ball care12.9% · 15.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
03/11/26Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 264-87
19/02/26Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas77-70
13/12/25Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas92-93 OT
11/10/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 270-91
20/02/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 284-77
11/01/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 291-74
12/10/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas85-67
24/02/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas78-75
01/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 279-75
09/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 278-64
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJurbarkas82-67
12/11/26AKedainiai BC77-71
07/11/26AKauno Atletas83-74
05/11/26HSuduva-Mantinga75-94
03/11/26AUkmerges Stekas87-64
29/10/26HPlunges Olimpas59-57
24/10/26ARytas 274-62
22/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-77
17/10/26AMazeikiai90-77
15/10/26HTelsiai72-85
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APlunges Olimpas96-91
12/11/26HRytas 276-69
07/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai58-73
05/11/26AVilkaviskis74-97
03/11/26HNeptunas 264-87
29/10/26AKedainiai BC76-97
24/10/26HMazeikiai74-70
22/10/26ATelsiai70-104
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%57%86%
Points / game78.473.083.7
Allowed / game74.175.173.1
Point differential+4.2-2.1+10.6
Avg total152.5148.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%14%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game78.977.281.2
Allowed / game88.183.894.0
Point differential-9.2-6.5-12.8
Avg total167.1161.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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