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Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-85
16-16 20-17 24-24 12-28
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game80.8
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
78avg 77
H22/09
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#4
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
66-81
66
81
-15
76avg 77
A11/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
76-88
76
88
-12
78avg 77
A18/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
77-102
77
102
-25
no box
A23/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 77
H30/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
14-14
24-12
7-27
12-18
26-13
16-32
27-20
22-21
22-21
15-22
25-20
25-17
10-24
17-18
14-22
23-28
10-26
16-16
21-13
20-23
22-26
13-20
21-19
17-15
16-25
10-21
16-28
25-27
6-22
17-25
29-28
24-15
13-15
18-13
26-22
19-29
14-31
16-18
19-22
160.9Avg total
74.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.283.4160.6-6.220%
Season at home (2)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
Season away (3)74.789.7164.3-15.00%
Last 10 (10)74.686.3160.9-11.710%
Last 5 (5)72.288.8161.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.487.7160.1-15.30%
vs Similar (12)77.779.2156.8-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 76
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
61avg 76
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
92avg 76
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
94avg 76
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 76
H31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
19-23
23-20
19-23
18-32
13-16
24-13
13-16
17-22
17-24
19-13
12-30
33-22
19-24
19-27
26-20
28-15
23-23
16-11
25-16
20-20
22-22
23-26
16-26
25-20
164.9Avg total
81.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.680.8168.4+6.880%
Season at home (3)87.382.7170.0+4.767%
Season away (2)88.078.0166.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.283.7164.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.883.6167.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.487.9161.3-14.57%
vs Similar (10)82.784.3167.0-1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.680.8168.4+6.880%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/09
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A23/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H30/10
LKL
80.0Avg total
36.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.680.8-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.740.278.9-1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)36.046.282.2-10.26%-
Last 10 (10)36.843.280.0-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.680.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.245.781.8-9.522%-
vs Similar (12)38.740.579.2-1.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H31/10
LKL
79.3Avg total
40.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.379.6-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.477.9+1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)39.242.481.6-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.279.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.641.979.5-4.327%-
vs Similar (10)40.539.279.7+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.237.679.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.019.5
44.3%
55.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.0%
34.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.2
70.2%
75.0%14.2
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.4
57.4%
55.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.9
33.6%
34.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
75.0%13.3
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLLLLLLLL
Neptunas
LWWLLLLWWW
#11
League position
#4
-14.6
Net rating
-15.0
94.6
Offensive rating
105.4
109.2
Defensive rating
120.4
44.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
22.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.0%
3-point %
33.6%
49.4%
Assist %
64.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 105.4Defence109.2 · 120.4Shooting44.0% · 54.5%3-point %29.0% · 33.6%Ball care16.0% · 22.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevezis wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
25/03/19Nevezis v Neptunas70-78
10/11/18Nevezis v Neptunas69-83
23/09/18Neptunas v Nevezis100-76
25/04/18Nevezis v Neptunas74-67
04/03/18Neptunas v Nevezis81-64
16/12/17Nevezis v Neptunas74-85
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/21HRytas68-100
27/10/21HJonava81-65
23/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas77-102
21/10/21APrienai59-89
18/10/21AJonava76-88
14/10/21AJonava70-83
11/10/21AAlytaus Dzukija66-81
03/10/21ANeptunas95-97 OT
28/09/21HPrienai81-83
22/09/21HJuventus73-75
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/21HSiauliai86-94
28/10/21APrienai84-70
21/10/21AJonava92-86
16/10/21HRytas81-89
14/10/21HPrienai76-79 OT
10/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-98
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game77.281.074.7
Allowed / game83.474.089.7
Point differential-6.2+7.0-15.0
Avg total160.6155.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game87.687.388.0
Allowed / game80.882.778.0
Point differential+6.8+4.7+10.0
Avg total168.4170.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %40%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus550100%89.283.2+6.0
2 Neptunas54180%87.680.8+6.8
3 Prienai53260%80.477.0+3.4
4 Alytaus Dzukija42250%83.091.0-8.0
5 Jonava52340%78.682.6-4.0
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%82.577.2+5.2
7 Siauliai51420%90.894.6-3.8
8 Nevezis51420%77.283.4-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1620241272
Neptunas1617242885
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