PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-88
23-22 18-28 21-13 21-25
Position#10
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#5
Record4-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Prienai
#5
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
77-102
77
102
-25
no box
A23/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 71
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
67-60
67
60
+7
61avg 71
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
63avg 71
A14/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
53avg 71
H20/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
72avg 71
H06/12
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
81avg 71
A12/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
16-25
10-21
16-28
25-27
6-22
17-25
29-28
24-15
13-15
18-13
26-22
19-29
14-31
16-18
19-22
16-16
20-17
24-24
12-28
19-15
14-22
19-8
15-15
13-26
22-25
21-23
21-17
21-21
15-24
18-20
19-14
26-10
19-26
29-20
9-22
12-22
23-26
24-24
28-22
158.7Avg total
74.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.184.4160.5-8.327%
Season at home (5)77.482.4159.8-5.040%
Season away (6)75.086.0161.0-11.017%
Last 10 (10)74.484.3158.7-9.930%
Last 5 (5)77.480.4157.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.687.7161.3-14.15%
vs Similar (11)78.578.8157.4-0.355%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
94avg 77
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 77
H31/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
79avg 77
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
87-62
87
62
+25
87avg 77
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 77
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 77
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
89-64
89
64
+25
95avg 77
A16/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
19-13
12-30
33-22
19-24
19-27
26-20
28-15
23-23
16-11
25-16
20-20
22-22
23-26
16-26
25-20
16-16
17-20
24-24
28-12
21-17
13-27
15-22
30-22
19-17
24-13
25-16
19-16
15-25
23-25
20-26
18-21
22-12
26-23
24-24
22-28
27-18
20-16
20-19
22-11
166.2Avg total
85.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.383.1161.4-4.836%
Season at home (6)78.085.0163.0-7.033%
Season away (5)78.680.8159.4-2.240%
Last 10 (10)85.380.9166.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)85.079.6164.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.688.9165.5-12.38%
vs Similar (10)86.182.4168.5+3.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.078.1166.1+9.988%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.8+5.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.8+5.8
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A23/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H20/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/12
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A12/12
LKL
78.3Avg total
35.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.143.980.9-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.640.579.2-1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)35.946.482.3-10.56%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.978.3-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.480.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.145.280.3-10.221%-
vs Similar (11)40.541.582.1-1.036%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H31/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/12
LKL
80.0Avg total
40.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.780.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.679.6+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.081.6-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.980.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.680.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.942.282.1-2.233%-
vs Similar (10)41.239.680.8+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.936.178.0+5.862%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.618.5
43.4%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
33.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
73.1%12.6
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.4
60.3%
53.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.6
28.7%
33.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
73.1%12.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLLWLLWLL
Neptunas
WWLWLWLWWL
#10
League position
#5
-12.5
Net rating
-4.1
94.0
Offensive rating
107.5
106.5
Defensive rating
111.6
44.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.8%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.9%
3-point %
28.7%
55.2%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 107.5Defence106.5 · 111.6Shooting44.0% · 53.9%3-point %29.9% · 28.7%Ball care16.4% · 20.8%Off. rebounds26.9% · 31.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevezis wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
25/03/19Nevezis v Neptunas70-78
10/11/18Nevezis v Neptunas69-83
23/09/18Neptunas v Nevezis100-76
25/04/18Nevezis v Neptunas74-67
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21ANeptunas87-94
06/12/21HAlytaus Dzukija83-78
20/11/21HPieno Zvaigzdes73-79
14/11/21ASiauliai77-91
07/11/21ALietkabelis67-60
03/11/21HNeptunas72-85
30/10/21HRytas68-100
27/10/21HJonava81-65
23/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas77-102
21/10/21APrienai59-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21AJonava89-64
12/12/21HNevezis94-87
05/12/21ARytas76-97
15/11/21APrienai87-62
06/11/21HJuventus79-88
03/11/21ANevezis85-72
31/10/21HSiauliai86-94
28/10/21APrienai84-70
21/10/21AJonava92-86
16/10/21HRytas81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game76.177.475.0
Allowed / game84.482.486.0
Point differential-8.3-5.0-11.0
Avg total160.5159.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game78.378.078.6
Allowed / game83.185.080.8
Point differential-4.8-7.0-2.2
Avg total161.4163.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1312192%89.876.5+13.4
2 Rytas1211192%86.673.8+12.8
3 Lietkabelis138562%80.973.7+7.2
4 Juventus138562%85.582.8+2.8
5 Siauliai138562%80.580.2+0.3
6 Alytaus Dzukija125742%76.778.9-2.2
7 Jonava125742%76.478.8-2.4
8 Neptunas114736%78.383.1-4.8
9 Nevezis113827%76.184.4-8.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1221017%75.884.3-8.5
11 Prienai121118%74.888.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2318212183
Neptunas2228132588
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.