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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-80
24-23 24-16 14-19 18-22
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game78.4
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2021-22
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 79
A05/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
88avg 79
H08/12
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
107-97
107
97
+10
102avg 79
A11/12
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
76-81
76
81
-5
64avg 79
A14/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
57avg 79
A22/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
78-77
78
77
+1
no box
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
88-69
88
69
+19
96avg 79
H02/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 79
A08/01
LKL
Boulogne-Levallois
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
88avg 79
H12/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-19
20-28
19-19
20-13
21-24
20-12
26-28
22-29
27-28
23-22
35-18
19-25
21-28
17-19
19-9
15-20
17-13
11-15
17-17
22-22
19-23
20-23
17-9
25-12
25-18
19-24
19-15
15-17
15-22
22-21
21-9
20-19
20-23
24-12
28-21
23-21
24-23
17-20
32-25
161.0Avg total
82.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.778.3161.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)85.475.8161.2+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.078.8155.8-1.850%
vs Similar (5)79.082.4161.4-3.420%
vs Weaker (21)83.473.1156.5+10.371%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 78
H31/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
79avg 78
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
87-62
87
62
+25
87avg 78
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 78
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 78
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
89-64
89
64
+25
95avg 78
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
99avg 78
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-26
16-26
25-20
16-16
17-20
24-24
28-12
21-17
13-27
15-22
30-22
19-17
24-13
25-16
19-16
15-25
23-25
20-26
18-21
22-12
26-23
24-24
22-28
27-18
20-16
20-19
22-11
22-23
28-18
13-21
25-21
24-19
23-21
19-12
13-15
17-15
22-15
21-22
9-21
161.9Avg total
83.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.678.4163.0+6.171%
Season at home (4)82.880.2163.0+2.550%
Season away (3)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.278.7161.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)83.874.8158.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.589.5166.1-13.09%
vs Similar (9)86.680.0166.6+6.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.178.1164.2+8.080%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/12
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A11/12
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A14/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#12
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A22/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H02/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A08/01
LKL
Boulogne-Levallois
#7
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H12/01
Eurocup
81.8Avg total
40.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.979.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.836.280.0+7.792%-
Last 30 away (18)39.239.178.3+0.139%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.781.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.538.876.2-1.250%-
vs Similar (5)40.042.482.4-2.460%-
vs Weaker (21)42.036.778.7+5.262%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H31/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
81.2Avg total
42.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.180.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.837.978.8+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.040.482.4+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.881.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.082.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.742.281.9-2.536%-
vs Similar (9)42.238.780.9+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.436.078.4+6.470%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.8
56.6%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
34.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
74.9%15.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.725.2
61.9%
55.4%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.5
29.7%
34.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
74.9%12.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWWWWLLWWL
Neptunas
LWWWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#4
+7.3
Net rating
+0.4
114.6
Offensive rating
111.8
107.4
Defensive rating
111.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
55.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
29.7%
67.7%
Assist %
64.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 111.8Defence107.4 · 111.4Shooting56.0% · 55.8%3-point %36.8% · 29.7%Ball care19.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 33.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Lietkabelis wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22HBoulogne-Levallois96-89
08/01/22AJuventus92-75
05/01/22ANeptunas73-69
02/01/22HJonava88-69
29/12/21ANevezis78-77
22/12/21ATurk Telekom60-65
14/12/21AMoraBanc Andorra76-81
11/12/21APieno Zvaigzdes107-97
08/12/21HJoventut Badalona87-77
05/12/21AZalgiris Kaunas70-84
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/22HLietkabelis69-73
28/12/21AAlytaus Dzukija79-67
20/12/21ANevezis88-83
16/12/21AJonava89-64
12/12/21HNevezis94-87
05/12/21ARytas76-97
15/11/21APrienai87-62
06/11/21HJuventus79-88
03/11/21ANevezis85-72
31/10/21HSiauliai86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game69.0-69.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game84.682.887.0
Allowed / game78.480.276.0
Point differential+6.1+2.5+11.0
Avg total163.0163.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %29%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas220100%94.580.5+14.0
2 Lietkabelis110100%73.069.0+4.0
3 Juventus76186%87.183.1+4.0
4 Neptunas75271%84.678.4+6.1
5 Prienai84450%79.080.9-1.9
6 Jonava63350%78.581.2-2.7
7 Siauliai94544%91.089.1+1.9
8 Alytaus Dzukija83538%79.887.2-7.5
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%80.778.2+2.5
10 Nevezis61517%76.383.7-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2424141880
Neptunas2316192280
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