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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 64-89
18-27 16-20 19-20 11-22
Position#4
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#5
Record3-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H18/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A25/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A30/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A13/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H20/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H04/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A12/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
26-22
20-13
19-21
24-19
27-19
20-26
15-28
21-27
17-18
25-21
24-27
15-24
15-13
13-18
22-26
20-21
31-28
13-21
22-19
20-17
15-20
22-16
21-21
24-8
13-20
12-33
11-15
23-12
25-21
16-18
29-26
16-23
11-12
18-14
13-20
10-25
23-19
14-15
15-27
157.6Avg total
76.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.577.9155.5-0.445%
Season at home (6)79.772.8152.5+6.867%
Season away (5)75.084.0159.0-9.020%
Last 10 (10)76.381.3157.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)70.276.4146.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.384.1159.4-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.978.2155.1-1.350%
vs Weaker (2)90.576.5167.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#5
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H31/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H12/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
24-13
13-16
17-22
17-24
19-13
12-30
33-22
19-24
19-27
26-20
28-15
23-23
16-11
25-16
20-20
22-22
23-26
16-26
25-20
16-16
17-20
24-24
28-12
21-17
13-27
15-22
30-22
19-17
24-13
25-16
19-16
15-25
23-25
20-26
18-21
22-12
26-23
24-24
22-28
166.4Avg total
84.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.285.0162.2-7.830%
Season at home (6)78.085.0163.0-7.033%
Season away (4)76.085.0161.0-9.025%
Last 10 (10)84.082.4166.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.281.2165.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.688.9165.5-12.38%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.085.9169.9-1.960%
vs Weaker (8)88.078.1166.1+9.988%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H18/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A25/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A30/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H04/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A12/12
LKL
78.7Avg total
39.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)40.040.780.7-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.837.280.0+5.650%-
Last 30 away (9)36.944.681.4-7.722%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.878.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.471.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.944.183.0-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.138.978.0+0.230%-
vs Weaker (2)48.537.586.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H31/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H12/12
LKL
78.5Avg total
39.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.280.4+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.679.6+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)39.342.181.4-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.478.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.942.282.1-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.341.180.4-1.850%-
vs Weaker (8)41.936.178.0+5.862%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.2
47.1%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
33.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.6
68.5%
73.1%12.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.7
58.6%
53.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.4
28.1%
33.8%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
73.1%13.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWLWLLLLW
Neptunas
WLWLWLWWLL
#4
League position
#5
+0.3
Net rating
-10.4
99.9
Offensive rating
104.2
99.6
Defensive rating
114.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.4%
3-point %
28.1%
67.0%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 104.2Defence99.6 · 114.6Shooting47.7% · 52.3%3-point %32.4% · 28.1%Ball care16.8% · 21.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21AAlytaus Dzukija62-86
04/12/21HSiauliai58-69
20/11/21HPrienai93-77
13/11/21ARytas60-76
03/11/21HPrienai78-74
30/10/21AJuventus86-89
27/10/21ANevezis65-81
25/10/21ASiauliai87-93
21/10/21HNeptunas86-92
18/10/21HNevezis88-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HNevezis94-87
05/12/21ARytas76-97
15/11/21APrienai87-62
06/11/21HJuventus79-88
03/11/21ANevezis85-72
31/10/21HSiauliai86-94
28/10/21APrienai84-70
21/10/21AJonava92-86
16/10/21HRytas81-89
14/10/21HPrienai76-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game77.579.775.0
Allowed / game77.972.884.0
Point differential-0.4+6.8-9.0
Avg total155.5152.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game77.278.076.0
Allowed / game85.085.085.0
Point differential-7.8-7.0-9.0
Avg total162.2163.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%90.877.0+13.8
2 Rytas1110191%85.374.3+11.0
3 Juventus128467%86.583.0+3.5
4 Siauliai128467%81.678.5+3.1
5 Lietkabelis138562%80.973.7+7.2
6 Jonava115645%77.577.9-0.4
7 Alytaus Dzukija115645%77.379.0-1.7
8 Neptunas103730%77.285.0-7.8
9 Nevezis113827%76.184.4-8.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1221017%75.884.3-8.5
11 Prienai110110%74.489.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1816191164
Neptunas2720202289
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