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Neptunas vs CBet Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-81
22-19 22-19 23-17 25-26
Position#6
Record9-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#5
Record12-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game88.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Neptunas v CBet
22 Apr 2021
NEP92
CBE81
24 Jan 2021
NEP92
CBE69
11 Apr 2020
NEP v CBE
upcoming
04 Jan 2020
NEP86
CBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CBet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
58-98
58
98
-40
A03/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
68-99
68
99
-31
A21/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H03/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H18/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
11-27
17-16
18-20
17-22
13-24
16-29
12-23
28-10
18-15
13-28
7-19
5-22
18-15
18-18
18-25
18-22
10-27
15-26
25-24
22-23
21-17
24-22
17-21
17-25
25-17
23-23
12-17
16-22
20-26
18-22
23-18
26-25
21-16
18-20
24-30
16-17
15-21
20-26
21-24
158.8Avg total
72.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.085.2162.2-8.130%
Season at home (15)80.485.1165.5-4.747%
Season away (15)73.785.3158.9-11.613%
Last 10 (10)72.286.6158.8-14.410%
Last 5 (5)79.886.4166.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.488.7163.1-14.46%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.580.3160.8+0.254%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBetLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-97
67
97
-30
H27/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A13/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H20/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H01/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H05/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
A11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A16/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H18/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-27
29-12
26-28
19-24
21-24
7-28
20-21
10-28
15-18
28-13
19-7
20-21
26-12
16-17
22-21
25-18
16-16
16-26
14-16
19-17
22-26
16-23
31-16
20-18
33-17
22-19
22-16
17-20
21-14
17-21
20-20
14-25
15-17
23-21
10-27
30-18
16-23
23-27
21-21
162.3Avg total
80.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.388.3172.6-4.040%
Season at home (16)84.284.6168.8-0.356%
Season away (14)84.492.6177.0-8.121%
Last 10 (10)80.182.2162.3-2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.283.6166.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.393.1174.4-11.815%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.684.6171.3+2.059%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
NeptunasCBet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/03
LKL
CBet
#5
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A07/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A21/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/04
LKL
77.8Avg total
36.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.479.9-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.781.7-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.041.178.1-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.577.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.642.580.2-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.540.079.5-0.546%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H27/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A13/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H05/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A16/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/04
LKL
80.5Avg total
39.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.785.3-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.685.4+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.985.3-4.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.080.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.080.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.545.385.8-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.584.9+0.059%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
54.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.9
26.6%
36.6%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.412.7
65.5%
75.2%12.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CBettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CBet: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
54.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.9
39.4%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.711.8
70.7%
75.2%11.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLWLLLLL
CBet
WLLWWLWWLL
#6
League position
#5
-19.7
Net rating
-1.4
94.7
Offensive rating
110.6
114.4
Defensive rating
112.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
22.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.6%
3-point %
39.4%
62.7%
Assist %
60.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 110.6Defence114.4 · 112.0Shooting48.5% · 55.2%3-point %26.6% · 39.4%Ball care22.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ CBet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas wins
2
CBet wins
DateGameScore
07/03/21CBet v Neptunas72-66
24/01/21Neptunas v CBet92-69
10/10/20CBet v Neptunas99-67
01/02/20CBet v Neptunas85-95
04/01/20Neptunas v CBet86-73
02/11/19CBet v Neptunas59-101
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas72-88
14/04/21HJuventus89-91
11/04/21ANevezis-OPTIBET77-88
08/04/21ALietkabelis77-82
03/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET84-83
21/03/21ASiauliai68-99
13/03/21HRytas59-80
07/03/21ACBet66-72
03/03/21AJuventus58-98
28/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-85
CBetlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HSiauliai90-89
16/04/21AZalgiris Kaunas62-90
11/04/21ALietkabelis79-87 OT
05/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET97-70
01/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija88-82
20/03/21HPieno Zvaigzdes71-76
13/03/21ANevezis-OPTIBET84-71
07/03/21HNeptunas72-66
27/02/21HRytas67-97
10/02/21AJuventus91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL47%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %30%47%13%
Points / game77.080.473.7
Allowed / game85.285.185.3
Point differential-8.1-4.7-11.6
Avg total162.2165.5158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)67% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CBet
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayWLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %40%56%21%
Points / game84.384.284.4
Allowed / game88.384.692.6
Point differential-4.0-0.3-8.1
Avg total172.6168.8177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %10%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2926390%90.170.4+19.7
2 Rytas2822679%88.079.4+8.5
3 Lietkabelis30201067%84.779.7+5.0
4 Juventus31201165%87.685.2+2.4
5 CBet30121840%84.388.3-4.0
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes31121939%80.183.1-3.0
7 Siauliai30111937%84.690.1-5.4
8 Alytaus Dzukija30102033%80.384.0-3.7
9 Neptunas3092130%77.085.2-8.1
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3182326%74.984.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2222232592
CBet1919172681
← all games of the day
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