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Neptunas vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-88
35-32 22-15 18-26 22-15
Position#14
Record0-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#20
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game101.3
EuropeEurocupRound 4· Svyturio Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 80
A24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-98
70
98
-28
64avg 80
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-84
96
84
+12
93avg 80
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 80
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 80
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 80
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 80
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 80
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
51avg 80
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 80
A18/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
20-22
21-24
20-21
22-22
13-27
17-27
18-22
26-21
18-18
29-22
23-23
16-23
17-20
17-20
21-21
21-28
24-19
24-23
16-25
22-16
28-27
25-13
17-29
28-19
28-29
22-29
24-30
28-18
19-18
29-16
26-22
10-27
16-24
21-23
22-15
17-21
27-33
20-19
29-24
175.6Avg total
85.5Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.397.0182.3-11.70%
Season at home (1)102.0107.0209.0-5.00%
Season away (2)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)85.590.1175.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)91.690.4182.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.290.5169.8-11.219%
vs Similar (9)92.692.1184.7+0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.082.0174.0+10.080%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
76avg 71
H07/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
54avg 71
H11/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 71
H24/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 71
H28/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
85-100
85
100
-15
68avg 71
H30/09
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#11
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 71
A03/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
75avg 71
A05/10
BBL
Aris
#13
L
76-98
76
98
-22
66avg 71
A08/10
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
68avg 71
H12/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
85-106
85
106
-21
79avg 71
H14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-23
22-24
16-34
21-25
16-21
10-19
17-14
16-25
22-20
27-17
24-32
11-21
26-19
20-22
28-31
26-32
24-21
18-21
17-26
28-22
16-20
17-32
17-28
17-30
18-17
26-26
18-23
14-20
14-25
17-25
31-28
20-25
16-18
23-16
9-27
16-18
29-24
13-29
27-35
174.4Avg total
79.7Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.0101.3183.3-19.30%
Season at home (2)85.0103.0188.0-18.00%
Season away (1)76.098.0174.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)79.794.7174.4-15.00%
Last 5 (5)77.297.6174.8-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.687.0162.6-11.418%
vs Similar (15)82.387.7170.0-5.547%
vs Weaker (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -7.4-7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -7.4-7.4
NeptunasHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A18/10
LKL
86.7Avg total
41.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.484.4-4.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.385.1-1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.345.583.7-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.386.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.491.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.244.481.7-7.238%-
vs Similar (9)41.746.888.4-5.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.239.886.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H11/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/09
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/10
BBL
Aris
#13
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A08/10
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
83.8Avg total
40.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.183.0-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.883.6-0.131%-
Last 30 away (14)37.944.582.4-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.883.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.881.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.144.181.2-7.018%-
vs Similar (15)41.543.484.9-1.933%-
vs Weaker (3)43.037.080.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.4
53.5%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.1
32.4%
34.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
75.2%14.4
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
54.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
34.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.116.7
69.3%
75.2%16.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLWLLWLL
Hamburg
LLLLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#20
-7.2
Net rating
-18.2
110.1
Offensive rating
99.8
117.2
Defensive rating
118.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.8%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.4%
3-point %
29.9%
67.2%
Assist %
63.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 99.8Defence117.2 · 118.0Shooting51.5% · 50.1%3-point %32.4% · 29.9%Ball care16.5% · 20.8%Off. rebounds33.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Hamburg wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ARytas93-97
15/10/25AVenezia69-89
11/10/25HGargzdai102-74
07/10/25HCluj-Napoca102-107
04/10/25ANevezis92-85
30/09/25ASlask Wroclaw85-95
27/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas71-84
20/09/25ALietkabelis96-84
26/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
24/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas75-88
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25HBahcesehir Kol.85-106
12/10/25HBonn68-86
08/10/25AAris76-98
05/10/25ABayern79-96
03/10/25AChemnitz78-102
30/09/25HHapoel Jerusalem85-100
28/09/25HSyntainics MBC85-93
24/09/25HBamberg89-94
11/05/25HUlm64-79
07/05/25HChemnitz88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.3102.077.0
Allowed / game97.0107.092.0
Point differential-11.7-5.0-15.0
Avg total182.3209.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.085.076.0
Allowed / game101.3103.098.0
Point differential-19.3-18.0-22.0
Avg total183.3188.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg330100%77.761.3+16.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%99.083.0+16.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija330100%85.070.7+14.3
4 Ulm330100%99.094.3+4.7
5 Besiktas32167%90.382.0+8.3
6 Manresa32167%81.377.3+4.0
7 Aris32167%80.779.0+1.7
8 Slask Wroclaw32167%83.784.0-0.3
9 Chemnitz31233%86.783.0+3.7
10 Buducnost31233%84.781.7+3.0
11 Venezia31233%81.382.3-1.0
12 Cluj-Napoca31233%96.798.0-1.3
13 Turk Telekom31233%84.085.3-1.3
14 Hapoel Jerusalem31233%92.795.0-2.3
15 Panionios31233%80.385.0-4.7
16 Lietkabelis31233%82.087.7-5.7
17 Trento31233%75.387.3-12.0
18 London Lions31233%73.085.3-12.3
19 Neptunas3030%85.397.0-11.7
20 Hamburg3030%82.0101.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3522182297
Hamburg3215261588
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