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Hamburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 64-79
21-25 16-21 10-19 17-14
Position#13
Record15-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record22-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game80.5
GermanyBBLRound 34· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Hamburg v Ulm
18 Jan 2027
HAM v ULM
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
HAM84
ULM82
11 May 2025
HAM64
ULM79
21 Oct 2023
HAM78
ULM94
07 Jan 2023
HAM65
ULM80
29 Jan 2022
HAM90
ULM91
13 Dec 2020
HAM69
ULM73
15 Mar 2020
HAM v ULM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
67avg 72
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 72
H22/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
96-93
96
93
+3
88avg 72
A29/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 72
H05/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
92-75
92
75
+17
92avg 72
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 72
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
78avg 72
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
93-114
93
114
-21
83avg 72
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 72
A03/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
76avg 72
H07/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
31-23
24-17
9-34
19-12
29-14
21-27
17-20
32-27
15-18
24-31
25-17
18-22
23-22
21-18
26-19
20-18
27-23
23-12
22-22
17-17
13-15
24-10
20-28
25-27
19-27
23-20
11-15
30-28
19-31
27-26
17-29
19-27
18-30
22-21
22-24
29-12
21-23
22-24
16-34
174.6Avg total
85.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.783.6165.3-1.948%
Season at home (15)83.982.4166.3+1.567%
Season away (16)79.684.8164.3-5.231%
Last 10 (10)85.788.9174.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)82.893.6176.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.184.1162.2-6.033%
vs Similar (18)81.684.4165.9-2.856%
vs Weaker (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 81
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 81
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 81
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 81
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
117-87
117
87
+30
122avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
109-94
109
94
+15
106avg 81
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
119-92
119
92
+27
111avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 81
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 81
H08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-13
24-19
19-20
11-10
19-18
17-19
15-23
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
34-8
22-28
26-24
35-27
28-16
29-35
28-24
24-19
19-24
12-20
23-20
18-25
25-24
25-17
37-18
32-33
17-18
21-19
27-19
25-18
27-16
26-21
16-27
23-13
175.6Avg total
92.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.880.5169.4+8.371%
Season at home (16)94.677.6172.1+17.094%
Season away (15)82.783.7166.4-1.147%
Last 10 (10)92.782.9175.6+9.870%
Last 5 (5)96.485.2181.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar (11)92.886.1178.9+6.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.380.2169.5+9.171%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
HamburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/03
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A29/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H05/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A03/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
BBL
88.2Avg total
44.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.682.1-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.782.7-0.627%-
Last 30 away (15)38.043.581.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.188.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.489.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.244.681.8-7.311%-
vs Similar (18)40.142.682.7-2.428%-
vs Weaker (3)43.037.080.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/05
BBL
82.6Avg total
43.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.884.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.141.089.1+7.181%-
Last 30 away (14)37.840.578.3-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.882.6+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.087.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (11)43.443.687.0-0.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.438.281.6+5.176%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.7
56.2%
52.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.4
35.5%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.016.3
67.9%
73.5%16.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.5
56.6%
52.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.4
40.8%
33.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.7
73.8%
73.5%17.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLWWWWWL
Ulm
WWWLWWLWLW
#13
League position
#2
-4.1
Net rating
+13.0
109.2
Offensive rating
119.4
113.3
Defensive rating
106.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.5%
3-point %
40.8%
60.8%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 119.4Defence113.3 · 106.4Shooting54.8% · 58.8%3-point %35.5% · 40.8%Ball care19.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Hamburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
10
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Ulm v Hamburg82-72
13/02/24Ulm v Hamburg83-70
21/10/23Hamburg v Ulm78-94
09/04/23Ulm v Hamburg112-78
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
03/03/21Ulm v Hamburg89-76
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
24/11/19Ulm v Hamburg102-69
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25HChemnitz88-93
03/05/25ASyntainics MBC81-102
30/04/25HBamberg93-114
26/04/25ALudwigsburg78-89
20/04/25HBayern74-70
09/04/25AGottingen92-75
05/04/25HHeidelberg88-81
29/03/25ABonn96-93
22/03/25HVechta86-73
15/03/25AOldenburg81-99
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/25HBamberg92-77
03/05/25AHeidelberg90-74
21/04/25HOldenburg119-92
14/04/25AWurzburg72-89
08/04/25HBayern109-94
06/04/25HChemnitz117-87
29/03/25ARostock67-85
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88
17/03/25ABayern62-70
14/03/25AVechta84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL48%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game81.783.979.6
Allowed / game83.682.484.8
Point differential-1.9+1.5-5.2
Avg total165.3166.3164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%94%47%
Points / game88.894.682.7
Allowed / game80.577.683.7
Point differential+8.3+17.0-1.1
Avg total169.4172.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%69%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3123874%83.576.4+7.1
2 Ulm3122971%88.880.5+8.3
3 Basketball Braunschweig31191261%84.081.1+2.9
4 Wurzburg31181358%83.480.5+2.9
5 Chemnitz31181358%82.484.5-2.2
6 Alba Berlin32181456%87.079.8+7.2
7 Heidelberg31171455%80.181.0-0.9
8 Ludwigsburg31161552%76.474.6+1.7
9 Rostock31161552%81.380.9+0.4
10 Syntainics MBC31161552%84.685.1-0.5
11 Vechta31161552%80.181.5-1.5
12 Oldenburg31151648%88.888.7+0.1
13 Hamburg31151648%81.783.6-1.9
14 Bonn31141745%83.983.8+0.1
15 Bamberg31112035%83.786.5-2.8
16 Frankfurt3182326%75.682.5-6.9
17 Gottingen312296%80.895.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2116101764
Ulm2521191479
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