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Prienai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-84
23-23 11-16 16-25 20-20
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game83.5
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Prienai v Neptunas
25 Apr 2023
PRI84
NEP94
24 Nov 2022
PRI72
NEP105
17 Oct 2022
PRI92
NEP99
07 Feb 2022
PRI63
NEP73
15 Nov 2021
PRI62
NEP87
28 Oct 2021
PRI70
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
99avg 79
A19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
82avg 79
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
82avg 79
A04/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-92
65
92
-27
69avg 79
H12/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H17/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
89-59
89
59
+30
no box
H21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 79
H23/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-31
21-12
16-27
24-14
16-27
21-23
14-24
18-12
13-26
32-16
20-27
13-13
15-19
26-15
15-25
22-27
23-16
17-20
19-22
22-27
13-22
14-22
16-21
16-13
13-24
16-13
22-17
18-19
21-21
28-21
12-26
15-17
25-16
21-10
28-16
7-16
17-23
22-18
22-25
158.0Avg total
76.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.075.2158.2+7.875%
Season at home (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
Season away (2)81.078.5159.5+2.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.881.2158.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)76.079.2155.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.582.8155.3-10.317%
vs Similar (4)79.889.5169.2-9.80%
vs Weaker (4)91.871.5163.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
76avg 76
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
76avg 76
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 76
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
61avg 76
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
92avg 76
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
94avg 76
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
19-23
23-20
19-23
18-32
13-16
24-13
13-16
17-22
17-24
19-13
12-30
33-22
19-24
19-27
26-20
28-15
163.2Avg total
78.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.583.5172.0+5.075%
Season at home (3)87.382.7170.0+4.767%
Season away (1)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.285.0163.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)76.286.6162.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.387.7161.0-14.46%
vs Similar (10)82.281.3163.5+0.970%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.583.5172.0+5.075%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
PrienaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A04/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H12/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H23/10
LKL
75.7Avg total
35.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.439.977.4-2.536%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.138.376.4-0.157%-
Last 30 away (7)36.741.678.3-4.914%-
Last 10 (10)35.440.375.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.673.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.539.772.2-7.20%-
vs Similar (4)41.544.285.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)40.836.076.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
78.2Avg total
39.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.979.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.237.576.7+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.681.6-3.721%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.441.679.1-4.225%-
vs Similar (10)40.137.777.8+2.470%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.038.581.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.5
51.7%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.9%
34.5%22.0
🏀 Free throws11.78.7
74.3%
74.9%8.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
55.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
74.9%13.6
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LWLWLLLWLL
Neptunas
WLLLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#4
-16.6
Net rating
-13.2
95.1
Offensive rating
105.1
111.7
Defensive rating
118.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
22.6%
Turnover %
23.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.9%
3-point %
35.8%
55.1%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 105.1Defence111.7 · 118.3Shooting50.3% · 54.9%3-point %31.9% · 35.8%Ball care22.6% · 23.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.4%Free throws0.19 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Prienai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
0
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/21HRytas68-82
21/10/21HNevezis89-59
17/10/21HPieno Zvaigzdes79-87
14/10/21ANeptunas79-76 OT
12/10/21HLietkabelis65-92
07/10/21HJonava81-85
04/10/21AAlytaus Dzukija69-72
28/09/21ANevezis83-81
25/09/21AJuventus75-88
19/09/21ANevezis80-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/21AJonava92-86
16/10/21HRytas81-89
14/10/21HPrienai76-79 OT
10/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-98
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.085.081.0
Allowed / game75.272.078.5
Point differential+7.8+13.0+2.5
Avg total158.2157.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game88.587.392.0
Allowed / game83.582.786.0
Point differential+5.0+4.7+6.0
Avg total172.0170.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %50%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus550100%89.283.2+6.0
2 Prienai43175%83.075.2+7.8
3 Neptunas43175%88.583.5+5.0
4 Alytaus Dzukija42250%83.091.0-8.0
5 Jonava52340%78.682.6-4.0
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%82.577.2+5.2
7 Siauliai51420%90.894.6-3.8
8 Nevezis51420%77.283.4-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai2311162070
Neptunas2316252084
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