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Neptunas vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 110-89
19-17 28-24 29-22 34-26
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game88.0
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game101.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Prienai
21 Dec 2022
NEP80
PRI75
03 Nov 2022
NEP110
PRI89
03 Feb 2022
NEP88
PRI82
14 Oct 2021
NEP76
PRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 74
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 74
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 74
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
168.5Avg total
80.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.588.0173.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)86.095.0181.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)80.787.8168.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)88.286.0174.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar (11)77.281.6158.8-4.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.979.4168.2+9.575%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
49avg 63
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
49avg 63
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 63
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
no box
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
no box
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 63
H30/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
20-24
29-25
15-27
14-19
15-14
22-12
16-22
16-24
18-20
22-22
10-25
21-25
14-17
7-22
24-25
25-25
22-25
22-21
20-26
22-19
16-21
20-18
22-22
19-26
10-28
27-30
21-23
23-27
21-24
26-17
20-22
13-33
19-20
23-19
15-23
15-30
21-25
20-18
21-23
177.4Avg total
80.5Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.5101.0174.5-27.50%
Season at home (1)77.0107.0184.0-30.00%
Season away (1)70.095.0165.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)80.596.9177.4-16.40%
Last 5 (5)85.2102.4187.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)77.088.5165.5-11.511%
vs Similar (3)96.3104.7201.0-8.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.4-5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.4-5.4
NeptunasPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
80.6Avg total
37.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.179.7-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.139.680.7+1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.778.6-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.343.380.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.687.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar (11)39.542.281.6-2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.636.180.8+8.575%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H30/10
LKL
83.4Avg total
36.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.344.981.2-8.610%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.644.278.8-9.66%-
Last 30 away (14)38.245.783.9-7.514%-
Last 10 (10)36.447.083.4-10.60%-
Last 5 (5)35.850.686.4-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.444.079.4-8.611%-
vs Similar (3)43.753.096.7-9.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.6
52.7%
55.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.3
34.2%
34.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.315.3
68.6%
75.0%15.3
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.7
51.9%
55.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
34.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
75.0%14.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWWWLLLLL
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
-11.3
Net rating
-18.1
105.3
Offensive rating
102.4
116.6
Defensive rating
120.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
22.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
29.5%
66.0%
Assist %
52.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 102.4Defence116.6 · 120.6Shooting52.1% · 48.6%3-point %34.2% · 29.5%Ball care22.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 24.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
1
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
17/10/22Prienai v Neptunas92-99 OT
07/02/22Prienai v Neptunas63-73
03/02/22Neptunas v Prienai88-82
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/22HLietkabelis77-96
26/10/22ABC Wolves70-95
23/10/22APieno Zvaigzdes110-115 OT
19/10/22HJuventus77-107
17/10/22HNeptunas92-99 OT
10/10/22ASiauliai89-97
01/10/22HRytas66-89
29/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas66-91
24/09/22HJonava74-80 OT
27/04/22AJonava84-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.585.086.0
Allowed / game88.081.095.0
Point differential-2.5+4.0-9.0
Avg total173.5166.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.577.070.0
Allowed / game101.0107.095.0
Point differential-27.5-30.0-25.0
Avg total174.5184.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves32167%92.080.0+12.0
2 Juventus32167%95.787.7+8.0
3 Jonava32167%80.777.7+3.0
4 Siauliai32167%83.080.7+2.3
5 Nevezis32167%97.395.7+1.7
6 Neptunas21150%85.588.0-2.5
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes3030%87.094.0-7.0
8 Prienai2020%73.5101.0-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas19282934110
Prienai1724222689
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