PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevada vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 69-59
28-28 41-31
Position#86
Record16-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#275
Record11-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v Fresno State
07 Feb 2026
NEVA69
FRES59
12 Mar 2025
NEVA86
FRES71
10 Feb 2025
NEVA94
FRES69
01 Mar 2024
NEVA74
FRES66
10 Feb 2023
NEVA77
FRES66
21 Jan 2022
NEVA77
FRES73
17 Jan 2021
NEVA79
FRES65
15 Jan 2021
NEVA73
FRES57
14 Jan 2021
NEVA v FRES
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
NEVA78
FRES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-26
45-39
36-34
32-39
38-39
54-44
23-29
39-42
40-29
41-37
39-26
48-28
35-36
38-44
26-24
27-29
33-28
56-48
28-39
51-40
149.0Avg total
77.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.371.7149.0+5.670%
Season at home (15)78.270.1148.3+8.180%
Season away (8)75.674.6150.2+1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.171.9149.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)80.472.2152.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.878.0148.8-7.20%
vs Similar (19)74.971.9146.8+3.063%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.363.5143.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
36-22
43-47
26-27
37-33
23-36
51-47
19-26
38-42
44-39
35-23
49-50
49-46
140.2Avg total
70.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.371.5144.8+1.950%
Season at home (15)74.769.7144.5+5.060%
Season away (7)70.375.1145.4-4.929%
Last 10 (10)70.070.2140.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)74.273.8148.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.674.0139.6-8.428%
vs Similar (7)79.978.0157.9+1.943%
vs Weaker (4)74.061.5135.5+12.575%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
NevadaFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.665.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.531.567.0+4.163%-
Last 30 away (11)29.534.664.1-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.062.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.230.662.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.437.670.0-5.20%-
vs Similar (19)32.832.565.3+0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.728.864.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
30.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.965.5-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.631.262.8+0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)31.438.069.4-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)30.731.662.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.667.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)27.333.861.1-6.417%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.673.3+2.171%-
vs Weaker (4)37.033.070.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Nevada wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Fresno State v Nevada65-66
12/03/25Nevada v Fresno State86-71
11/02/25Nevada v Fresno State94-69
12/01/25Fresno State v Nevada66-77 OT
02/03/24Nevada v Fresno State74-66
07/01/24Fresno State v Nevada57-72
25/02/23Fresno State v Nevada56-60
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
11/01/26HWyoming92-83
07/01/26HSan Diego State68-73
04/01/26AFresno State66-65
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HUNLV98-96
31/01/26AAir Force79-62
25/01/26HGrand Canyon57-68
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %70%80%50%
Points / game77.378.275.6
Allowed / game71.770.174.6
Point differential+5.6+8.1+1.0
Avg total149.0148.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %13%13%12%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %50%60%29%
Points / game73.374.770.3
Allowed / game71.569.775.1
Point differential+1.9+5.0-4.9
Avg total144.8144.5145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2320387%83.868.5+15.3
2 New Mexico2318578%80.968.8+12.0
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2316770%77.371.7+5.6
5 Grand Canyon2315865%75.068.3+6.7
6 Boise State2314961%78.773.4+5.3
7 Colorado State23131057%75.270.3+4.9
8 Wyoming24131154%77.873.0+4.9
9 Fresno State22111150%73.371.5+1.9
10 UNLV23111248%78.878.7+0.0
11 San Jose State2361726%69.676.4-6.9
12 Air Force2332013%60.877.9-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada284169
Fresno State283159
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.