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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 96-90
27-20 20-18 21-26 28-26
Position#7
Record10-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#9
Record10-20
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 81
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 81
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 81
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 81
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 81
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 81
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 81
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 81
A30/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-14
22-20
29-18
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
177.3Avg total
86.3Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.688.5173.1-3.933%
Season at home (15)81.386.3167.7-5.027%
Season away (15)87.990.7178.6-2.940%
Last 10 (10)86.391.0177.3-4.720%
Last 5 (5)86.695.8182.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.188.8168.9-8.621%
vs Similar (8)83.989.6173.5-5.812%
vs Weaker (8)95.186.5181.6+8.675%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 81
H16/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
81avg 81
H23/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
88avg 81
A29/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-71
101
71
+30
92avg 81
A05/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
99-94
99
94
+5
94avg 81
A12/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
86avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 81
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 81
A22/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
66avg 81
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
78avg 81
A29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
26-20
30-15
26-21
16-21
18-20
26-26
20-17
17-21
20-31
26-20
26-24
22-21
26-18
27-13
26-19
35-22
10-27
24-25
30-20
20-26
32-17
18-12
27-27
26-30
21-22
21-23
23-21
15-28
19-13
25-18
20-12
22-22
19-17
22-30
17-33
18-24
30-27
23-29
17-25
178.4Avg total
90.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)89.389.1178.4+0.233%
Season at home (14)86.187.5173.6-1.429%
Season away (16)92.190.6182.7+1.638%
Last 10 (10)90.987.5178.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)87.091.2178.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.094.5181.5-7.50%
vs Similar (16)90.487.4177.9+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.286.6178.9+5.650%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
87.0Avg total
41.0Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.785.4-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.843.484.2-2.641%-
Last 30 away (13)40.546.486.9-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)41.046.087.0-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.489.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.144.784.9-4.643%-
vs Similar (8)39.846.886.5-7.012%-
vs Weaker (8)42.642.685.2+0.038%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H23/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A29/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H15/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A29/04
LKL
88.0Avg total
43.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.244.289.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.841.387.2+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)44.746.491.1-1.735%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.588.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.289.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.245.791.8+0.533%-
vs Similar (16)43.944.488.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.142.889.9+4.462%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.0
59.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.118.0
77.9%
75.0%18.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.6
58.2%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
75.0%17.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLLWLLLW
Nevezis
LLWLWWWLLW
#7
League position
#9
-6.3
Net rating
+3.6
113.6
Offensive rating
115.9
119.9
Defensive rating
112.3
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
34.3%
70.1%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 115.9Defence119.9 · 112.3Shooting57.7% · 55.3%3-point %37.0% · 34.3%Ball care22.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
06/03/25Nevezis v Neptunas81-83
09/02/25Neptunas v Nevezis94-107
04/12/24Nevezis v Neptunas101-102
16/11/24Nevezis v Neptunas74-83
23/10/24Neptunas v Nevezis86-88
22/04/24Neptunas v Nevezis79-92
04/02/24Nevezis v Neptunas96-92 OT
20/11/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-74
18/04/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-91
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97
12/04/25HRytas92-85
05/04/25HJonava97-98
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91
15/03/25AMazeikiai96-77
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas88-105
26/04/25HJonava80-102
22/04/25ALietkabelis79-71
19/04/25ASiauliai91-96
15/04/25HLietkabelis97-82
12/04/25ABC Wolves99-94
05/04/25AMazeikiai101-71
29/03/25AJonava89-96
23/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-84
16/03/25HJuventus105-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%27%40%
Points / game84.681.387.9
Allowed / game88.586.390.7
Point differential-3.9-5.0-2.9
Avg total173.1167.7178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game89.386.192.1
Allowed / game89.187.590.6
Point differential+0.2-1.4+1.6
Avg total178.4173.6182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3129294%92.174.0+18.1
2 Rytas3125681%92.583.1+9.4
3 Jonava30171357%89.390.0-0.7
4 Lietkabelis31161552%82.881.3+1.5
5 BC Wolves31161552%89.589.0+0.5
6 Juventus31141745%84.086.7-2.8
7 Siauliai30131743%91.194.6-3.6
8 Nevezis30102033%89.389.1+0.2
9 Neptunas30102033%84.688.5-3.9
10 Mazeikiai3132810%79.098.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2720212896
Nevezis2018262690
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