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New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 132-125
30-37 36-25 39-37 27-26
Position#4
Record17-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game112.6
vs
Position#17
Record15-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game117.3
USANBA· Madison Square Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · New York Knicks v Miami Heat
14 Jan 2027
NYK v MIA
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
NYK v MIA
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
NYK132
MIA125
14 Nov 2025
NYK140
MIA132
17 Mar 2025
NYK116
MIA95
27 Jan 2024
NYK125
MIA109
24 Nov 2023
NYK100
MIA98
10 May 2023
NYK112
MIA103
02 May 2023
NYK111
MIA105
30 Apr 2023
NYK101
MIA108
29 Mar 2023
NYK101
MIA92
02 Feb 2023
NYK106
MIA104
25 Feb 2022
NYK100
MIA115
29 Mar 2021
NYK88
MIA98
07 Feb 2021
NYK103
MIA109
05 Apr 2020
NYK v MIA
upcoming
12 Jan 2020
NYK124
MIA121
30 Mar 2019
NYK92
MIA100
27 Jan 2019
NYK97
MIA106
06 Apr 2018
NYK122
MIA98
29 Nov 2017
NYK115
MIA86
29 Mar 2017
NYK88
MIA105
28 Feb 2016
NYK81
MIA98
27 Nov 2015
NYK78
MIA97
20 Feb 2015
NYK87
MIA111
30 Nov 2014
NYK79
MIA86
01 Feb 2014
NYK91
MIA106
09 Jan 2014
NYK102
MIA92
03 Mar 2013
NYK93
MIA99
02 Nov 2012
NYK104
MIA84
06 May 2012
NYK89
MIA87
03 May 2012
NYK70
MIA87
15 Apr 2012
NYK85
MIA93
27 Jan 2011
NYK93
MIA88
17 Dec 2010
NYK91
MIA113
11 Apr 2010
NYK98
MIA111
25 Dec 2009
NYK87
MIA93
29 Oct 2008
NYK120
MIA115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New York Knicks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKnicks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-100
113
100
+13
109avg 106
A25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
129-101
129
101
+28
125avg 106
A27/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
112avg 106
H29/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
116-94
116
94
+22
114avg 106
H30/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-123
117
123
-6
110avg 106
A03/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
119-104
119
104
+15
114avg 106
H04/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
146-112
146
112
+34
146avg 106
H06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
106-100
106
100
+6
100avg 106
H07/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
114-113
114
113
+1
108avg 106
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
107-116
107
116
-9
106avg 106
H20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
27-22
38-27
24-25
37-31
35-16
26-28
31-26
33-37
28-25
31-26
26-21
41-22
18-30
34-25
23-17
32-21
20-37
24-36
41-29
27-12
26-35
37-28
29-29
41-13
27-34
47-30
31-35
35-31
19-24
28-18
24-27
25-36
34-26
27-30
28-21
29-29
30-28
28-31
20-28
225.7Avg total
118.5Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)119.9112.6232.4+7.368%
Season at home (15)122.3109.8232.1+12.587%
Season away (10)116.3116.7233.0-0.440%
Last 10 (10)118.5107.2225.7+11.380%
Last 5 (5)118.4109.0227.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)113.9109.6223.4+4.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)120.3113.9234.2+6.567%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
106-102
106
102
+4
96avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
106-103
106
103
+3
107avg 105
H27/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
135-138
135
138
-3
126avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
140-123
140
123
+17
139avg 105
H02/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 105
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
105-106
105
106
-1
100avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
111-127
111
127
-16
100avg 105
H07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
96-106
96
106
-10
86avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
106-95
106
95
+11
100avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
116-129
116
129
-13
100avg 105
A20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
32-25
28-28
26-30
29-27
24-20
28-30
25-26
23-36
36-35
32-37
44-30
35-24
41-32
38-26
26-41
33-28
21-36
26-29
28-25
28-30
32-27
19-30
26-19
31-34
24-38
23-29
33-26
22-23
30-23
25-28
19-32
30-27
24-22
23-24
29-22
29-30
29-28
31-34
27-37
227.6Avg total
112.9Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)120.5117.3237.8+3.156%
Season at home (14)121.1117.1238.2+4.171%
Season away (13)119.8117.6237.4+2.238%
Last 10 (10)112.9114.7227.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)106.8112.6219.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)119.0122.3241.3-3.333%
vs Similar (15)119.7118.1237.8+1.753%
vs Weaker (9)111.2101.6212.8+9.778%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
New York KnicksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
72-47
72
47
+25
A27/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H29/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H30/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A03/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H04/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H07/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H20/12
NBA
112.3Avg total
58.8Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.656.1115.7+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.454.5115.9+6.976%-
Last 30 away (13)57.258.2115.5-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)58.853.5112.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)58.653.6112.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)56.952.8109.7+4.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)60.857.5118.3+3.262%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H25/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H27/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H02/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H16/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A20/12
NBA
113.7Avg total
57.3Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.357.7118.0+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.154.9113.0+3.181%-
Last 30 away (14)62.960.9123.8+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)57.356.4113.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.4112.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)59.261.8121.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (15)63.461.3124.7+2.167%-
vs Weaker (9)56.048.9104.9+7.178%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.829.1
56.2%
54.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.314.3
38.3%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.517.4
80.9%
78.1%17.4
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.429.8
51.9%
54.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.7
35.1%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
78.1%18.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New York Knicks
LWWWWLWWWW
Miami Heat
LWLLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#17
+11.5
Net rating
-1.7
121.1
Offensive rating
108.7
109.5
Defensive rating
110.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.3%
3-point %
35.1%
63.1%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.1 · 108.7Defence109.5 · 110.4Shooting56.7% · 52.2%3-point %38.3% · 35.1%Ball care13.1% · 13.3%Off. rebounds32.3% · 23.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ New York Knicks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
New York Knicks wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers107-116
19/12/25AIndiana Pacers114-113
07/12/25HOrlando Magic106-100
06/12/25HUtah Jazz146-112
04/12/25HCharlotte Hornets119-104
03/12/25ABoston Celtics117-123
30/11/25HToronto Raptors116-94
29/11/25HMilwaukee Bucks118-109
27/11/25ACharlotte Hornets129-101
25/11/25ABrooklyn Nets113-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ABoston Celtics116-129
19/12/25ABrooklyn Nets106-95
16/12/25HToronto Raptors96-106
07/12/25HSacramento Kings111-127
06/12/25AOrlando Magic105-106
04/12/25ADallas Mavericks108-118
02/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers140-123
30/11/25HDetroit Pistons135-138
27/11/25HMilwaukee Bucks106-103
25/11/25HDallas Mavericks106-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New York Knicks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%87%40%
Points / game119.9122.3116.3
Allowed / game112.6109.8116.7
Point differential+7.3+12.5-0.4
Avg total232.4232.1233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWLWLL71%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%71%38%
Points / game120.5121.1119.8
Allowed / game117.3117.1117.6
Point differential+3.1+4.1+2.2
Avg total237.8238.2237.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)83% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2624292%122.4106.8+15.5
2 Detroit Pistons2822679%118.9112.1+6.8
3 Denver Nuggets2720774%124.7116.1+8.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers2619773%118.0116.3+1.7
5 San Antonio Spurs2518772%119.8113.7+6.1
6 Houston Rockets2517868%120.9111.6+9.2
7 New York Knicks2517868%119.9112.6+7.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves28181064%119.2114.3+4.9
9 Boston Celtics28171161%116.5110.5+6.0
10 Toronto Raptors28171161%115.1112.8+2.3
11 Philadelphia 76ers27161159%117.0115.4+1.5
12 Orlando Magic26151158%118.1114.6+3.5
13 Miami Heat27151256%120.5117.3+3.1
14 Phoenix Suns27151256%115.2113.2+2.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers29151452%118.7117.0+1.7
16 Atlanta Hawks30151550%118.7119.4-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors29141548%114.0112.8+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies28131546%114.7115.7-1.0
19 Chicago Bulls28131546%119.5123.0-3.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers28121643%118.0121.2-3.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks28111739%113.6117.4-3.9
22 Dallas Mavericks29111838%113.0116.9-3.8
23 Utah Jazz27101737%119.9126.8-6.9
24 Charlotte Hornets2891932%114.5118.5-4.0
25 Brooklyn Nets2671927%109.6115.5-5.9
26 Los Angeles Clippers2872125%110.6116.0-5.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans2972224%115.3122.5-7.2
28 Indiana Pacers2862221%110.2118.5-8.2
29 Sacramento Kings2862221%111.0121.9-10.9
30 Washington Wizards2652119%112.7126.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New York Knicks30363927132
Miami Heat37253726125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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