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New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 88-105
22-24 19-25 27-28 20-28
Position#23
Record32-48
FormLLLLW
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#13
Record40-42
FormLWLLW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA· Madison Square Garden
NBA2016-17
Meetings · New York Knicks v Miami Heat
14 Jan 2027
NYK v MIA
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
NYK v MIA
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
NYK132
MIA125
14 Nov 2025
NYK140
MIA132
17 Mar 2025
NYK116
MIA95
27 Jan 2024
NYK125
MIA109
24 Nov 2023
NYK100
MIA98
10 May 2023
NYK112
MIA103
02 May 2023
NYK111
MIA105
30 Apr 2023
NYK101
MIA108
29 Mar 2023
NYK101
MIA92
02 Feb 2023
NYK106
MIA104
25 Feb 2022
NYK100
MIA115
29 Mar 2021
NYK88
MIA98
07 Feb 2021
NYK103
MIA109
05 Apr 2020
NYK v MIA
upcoming
12 Jan 2020
NYK124
MIA121
30 Mar 2019
NYK92
MIA100
27 Jan 2019
NYK97
MIA106
06 Apr 2018
NYK122
MIA98
29 Nov 2017
NYK115
MIA86
29 Mar 2017
NYK88
MIA105
03 Jul 2016
NYK48
MIA74
28 Feb 2016
NYK81
MIA98
27 Nov 2015
NYK78
MIA97
20 Feb 2015
NYK87
MIA111
30 Nov 2014
NYK79
MIA86
01 Feb 2014
NYK91
MIA106
09 Jan 2014
NYK102
MIA92
17 Jul 2013
NYK66
MIA113
03 Mar 2013
NYK93
MIA99
02 Nov 2012
NYK104
MIA84
06 May 2012
NYK89
MIA87
03 May 2012
NYK70
MIA87
15 Apr 2012
NYK85
MIA93
27 Jan 2011
NYK93
MIA88
17 Dec 2010
NYK91
MIA113
11 Apr 2010
NYK98
MIA111
25 Dec 2009
NYK87
MIA93
29 Oct 2008
NYK120
MIA115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New York Knicks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A09/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
92-112
92
112
-20
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
112-120
112
120
-8
A12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
110-121
110
121
-11
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
105-114
105
114
-9
A21/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
101-108
101
108
-7
A23/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
95-110
95
110
-15
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-106
98
106
-8
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
26-23
17-21
20-28
23-35
30-31
28-23
11-23
26-39
23-28
31-24
32-29
18-24
24-28
20-12
25-17
33-28
28-26
26-38
23-29
23-29
30-34
19-34
33-17
34-26
21-25
20-21
26-36
23-37
23-30
22-18
27-25
23-33
20-28
31-17
24-28
34-36
30-23
25-15
20-21
207.3Avg total
100.2Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)105.3108.4213.7-3.040%
Season at home (38)105.7106.2211.9-0.550%
Season away (42)105.0110.3215.3-5.331%
Last 10 (10)100.2107.1207.3-6.920%
Last 5 (5)101.6106.6208.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)101.8108.8210.6-7.010%
vs Similar (20)105.6108.6214.2-3.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
120-112
120
112
+8
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
123-105
123
105
+18
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
112-97
112
97
+15
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
108-112
108
112
-4
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
36-32
27-32
27-15
32-26
27-15
26-22
19-26
22-32
31-28
22-23
23-19
28-21
26-31
31-27
35-33
27-23
37-26
26-32
33-24
29-28
22-24
28-33
25-30
23-26
36-20
25-17
28-34
33-23
14-22
21-30
16-26
27-22
31-31
17-32
33-27
24-24
31-26
23-19
19-27
208.8Avg total
105.8Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)102.9101.7204.6+1.249%
Season at home (42)106.1101.6207.7+4.655%
Season away (40)99.5101.9201.4-2.442%
Last 10 (10)105.8103.0208.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)101.0104.2205.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0102.0207.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (19)108.6100.1208.7+8.579%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)108.7103.7212.4+5.060%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
New York KnicksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A09/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A21/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A23/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H27/03
NBA
111.7Avg total
52.2Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.557.5111.0-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.255.5109.6-1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)52.959.1112.0-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)52.259.5111.7-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)52.260.2112.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.357.2108.5-5.930%-
vs Similar (20)54.557.6112.2-3.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/03
NBA
105.6Avg total
55.4Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.951.9108.9+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.650.4108.0+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)56.253.6109.9+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)55.450.2105.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)54.049.2103.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.048.094.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (19)58.150.9109.0+7.174%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)55.954.2110.1+1.740%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.132.0
49.9%
50.2%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.0
32.1%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.415.2
82.6%
77.0%15.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.729.8
52.6%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
77.0%16.5
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New York Knicks
WLLLLLWLLL
Miami Heat
WLLWLWWLWW
#23
League position
#13
-7.1
Net rating
+2.9
103.1
Offensive rating
109.5
110.2
Defensive rating
106.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
33.9%
58.2%
Assist %
51.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 109.5Defence110.2 · 106.6Shooting49.5% · 52.0%3-point %32.1% · 33.9%Ball care12.9% · 13.3%Off. rebounds20.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ New York Knicks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New York Knicks wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/17HDetroit Pistons109-95
26/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs98-106
24/03/17APortland Trail Blazers95-110
23/03/17AUtah Jazz101-108
21/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers105-114
16/03/17HBrooklyn Nets110-121
14/03/17HIndiana Pacers87-81
12/03/17ABrooklyn Nets112-120
11/03/17ADetroit Pistons92-112
09/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks93-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/17ADetroit Pistons97-96
26/03/17ABoston Celtics108-112
23/03/17HToronto Raptors84-101
21/03/17HPhoenix Suns112-97
19/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers104-115
18/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-105
15/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans120-112
12/03/17AIndiana Pacers98-102
12/03/17HToronto Raptors104-89
09/03/17HCharlotte Hornets108-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New York Knicks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803842
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game105.3105.7105.0
Allowed / game108.4106.2110.3
Point differential-3.0-0.5-5.3
Avg total213.7211.9215.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (27)50% (16)45% (11)
Overtime %5%3%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW49%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824240
Win %49%55%42%
Points / game102.9106.199.5
Allowed / game101.7101.6101.9
Point differential+1.2+4.6-2.4
Avg total204.6207.7201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (20)25% (8)50% (12)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors81661581%115.6104.1+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs79611877%105.697.7+7.8
3 Houston Rockets80552569%115.7109.0+6.7
4 Boston Celtics81532865%107.5104.6+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers79493062%109.4106.8+2.6
6 Washington Wizards81503162%109.1106.1+2.9
7 Toronto Raptors80483260%106.7102.8+3.9
8 Utah Jazz80483260%100.296.6+3.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers81473458%106.7104.3+2.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder78453358%106.8105.9+1.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies80443655%101.2100.3+0.9
12 Atlanta Hawks82443854%102.5103.1-0.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks80413951%103.5103.6-0.1
14 Indiana Pacers80404050%104.6105.3-0.7
15 Portland Trail Blazers81404149%107.6108.4-0.8
16 Miami Heat82404249%102.9101.7+1.2
17 Denver Nuggets82394348%110.7110.5+0.2
18 Chicago Bulls81384347%102.6103.2-0.6
19 Detroit Pistons81374446%100.6101.5-0.9
20 Charlotte Hornets81364544%103.9103.9+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves80344642%104.7104.9-0.3
22 Dallas Mavericks80334741%97.4100.3-2.9
23 New Orleans Pelicans80324840%103.8106.0-2.2
24 New York Knicks80324840%105.3108.4-3.0
25 Sacramento Kings79314839%102.5106.2-3.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers82305237%101.8107.5-5.7
27 Orlando Magic82295335%100.4106.6-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns81265532%106.7112.0-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers82235928%104.8111.7-6.9
30 Brooklyn Nets80176321%105.6113.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New York Knicks2219272088
Miami Heat24252828105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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