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Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 95-106
27-30 22-24 24-23 22-29
Position#28
Record7-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#17
Record14-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game117.8
USANBA· Barclays Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat
25 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
07 Jan 2027
BKN v MIA
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
BKN95
MIA106
07 Feb 2025
BKN102
MIA86
25 Jan 2025
BKN97
MIA106
15 Jan 2024
BKN95
MIA96
25 Nov 2023
BKN112
MIA97
15 Feb 2023
BKN116
MIA105
03 Mar 2022
BKN107
MIA113
27 Oct 2021
BKN93
MIA106
25 Jan 2021
BKN98
MIA85
23 Jan 2021
BKN128
MIA124
10 Jan 2020
BKN117
MIA113
01 Dec 2019
BKN106
MIA109
10 Apr 2019
BKN113
MIA94
14 Nov 2018
BKN107
MIA120
19 Jan 2018
BKN101
MIA95
09 Dec 2017
BKN89
MIA101
10 Feb 2017
BKN99
MIA108
25 Jan 2017
BKN106
MIA109
26 Jan 2016
BKN98
MIA102
16 Dec 2015
BKN98
MIA104
16 Dec 2014
BKN91
MIA95
17 Nov 2014
BKN83
MIA95
12 May 2014
BKN96
MIA102
10 May 2014
BKN104
MIA90
10 Jan 2014
BKN104
MIA95
01 Nov 2013
BKN101
MIA100
30 Jan 2013
BKN85
MIA105
16 Apr 2012
BKN98
MIA101
07 Jan 2012
BKN90
MIA101
03 Apr 2011
BKN94
MIA108
31 Oct 2010
BKN78
MIA101
22 Mar 2010
BKN89
MIA99
17 Feb 2010
BKN84
MIA87
20 Mar 2009
BKN96
MIA88
20 Dec 2008
BKN103
MIA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
109-119
109
119
-10
105avg 96
A23/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
100-113
100
113
-13
84avg 96
H25/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
103-115
103
115
-12
91avg 96
H29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
99-116
99
116
-17
89avg 96
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
116-103
116
103
+13
109avg 96
H02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
113-103
113
103
+10
114avg 96
A04/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
110-123
110
123
-13
100avg 96
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-101
119
101
+18
122avg 96
H06/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
111-119
111
119
-8
105avg 96
A13/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
127-82
127
82
+45
130avg 96
H14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-34
30-31
24-22
27-32
26-24
22-27
27-38
25-24
23-31
25-32
27-24
28-28
29-32
24-39
17-28
29-17
26-27
33-32
29-23
28-21
29-24
25-20
29-31
30-28
29-20
29-29
32-32
20-42
35-24
27-20
34-31
23-26
33-32
28-33
31-25
19-29
37-25
28-23
34-23
28-11
220.1Avg total
110.7Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)110.2115.9226.1-5.728%
Season at home (13)110.8115.1225.8-4.323%
Season away (12)109.6116.8226.3-7.233%
Last 10 (10)110.7109.4220.1+1.340%
Last 5 (5)116.0105.6221.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.0118.7226.7-10.717%
vs Similar (7)115.0109.1224.1+5.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
143-107
143
107
+36
139avg 105
A22/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
127-117
127
117
+10
125avg 105
A23/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
106-102
106
102
+4
96avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
106-103
106
103
+3
107avg 105
H27/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
135-138
135
138
-3
126avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
140-123
140
123
+17
139avg 105
H02/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 105
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
105-106
105
106
-1
100avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
111-127
111
127
-16
100avg 105
H07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
96-106
96
106
-10
86avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-32
34-20
32-23
41-32
37-27
34-40
28-26
28-24
20-19
32-25
28-28
26-30
29-27
24-20
28-30
25-26
23-36
36-35
32-37
44-30
35-24
41-32
38-26
26-41
33-28
21-36
26-29
28-25
28-30
32-27
19-30
26-19
31-34
24-38
23-29
33-26
22-23
30-23
25-28
19-32
232.4Avg total
117.7Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)121.2117.8239.0+3.556%
Season at home (14)121.1117.1238.2+4.171%
Season away (11)121.4118.6240.0+2.736%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.7232.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)112.0116.0228.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)109.7123.9233.6-14.129%
vs Similar (15)119.7118.1237.8+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)111.9102.4214.2+9.575%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Brooklyn NetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A23/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A04/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H06/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A13/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H14/12
NBA
112.5Avg total
56.6Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.060.9116.9-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.059.1114.1-4.129%-
Last 30 away (13)57.363.2120.5-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.9112.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)60.050.0110.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)56.062.3118.2-6.322%-
vs Similar (7)56.156.3112.4-0.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A23/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H25/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H27/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H02/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H16/12
NBA
117.8Avg total
60.2Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.158.6117.7+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.856.3112.1-0.572%-
Last 30 away (12)64.162.1126.2+2.042%-
Last 10 (10)60.257.6117.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)59.459.0118.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)53.163.9117.0-10.729%-
vs Similar (15)63.461.3124.7+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)56.248.9105.1+7.475%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.3
54.8%
54.8%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.515.2
36.6%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws23.118.5
80.1%
78.1%18.5
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.831.5
53.6%
54.8%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.4
35.0%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws26.920.5
76.2%
78.1%20.5
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brooklyn Nets
WLWLWWLLLL
Miami Heat
LLLLWLWWWW
#28
League position
#17
+1.3
Net rating
+2.8
111.4
Offensive rating
111.8
110.1
Defensive rating
108.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
35.0%
69.1%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 111.8Defence110.1 · 108.9Shooting54.9% · 53.2%3-point %36.6% · 35.0%Ball care16.0% · 12.8%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Brooklyn Nets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks127-82
13/12/25ADallas Mavericks111-119
06/12/25HNew Orleans Pelicans119-101
05/12/25HUtah Jazz110-123
04/12/25AChicago Bulls113-103
02/12/25HCharlotte Hornets116-103
30/11/25AMilwaukee Bucks99-116
29/11/25HPhiladelphia 76ers103-115
25/11/25HNew York Knicks100-113
23/11/25AToronto Raptors109-119
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HToronto Raptors96-106
07/12/25HSacramento Kings111-127
06/12/25AOrlando Magic105-106
04/12/25ADallas Mavericks108-118
02/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers140-123
30/11/25HDetroit Pistons135-138
27/11/25HMilwaukee Bucks106-103
25/11/25HDallas Mavericks106-102
23/11/25APhiladelphia 76ers127-117
22/11/25AChicago Bulls143-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW28%
HomeLWLWW23%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%23%33%
Points / game110.2110.8109.6
Allowed / game115.9115.1116.8
Point differential-5.7-4.3-7.2
Avg total226.1225.8226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWLWLL71%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%71%36%
Points / game121.2121.1121.4
Allowed / game117.8117.1118.6
Point differential+3.5+4.1+2.7
Avg total239.0238.2240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)83% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2423196%123.0106.9+16.2
2 Detroit Pistons2621581%119.3113.0+6.3
3 Denver Nuggets2519676%125.6116.2+9.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2418675%118.2116.0+2.2
5 New York Knicks2417771%120.4112.4+8.0
6 Houston Rockets2316770%120.8111.2+9.7
7 San Antonio Spurs2316770%119.6115.3+4.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves27171063%119.4114.6+4.9
9 Toronto Raptors26161062%116.0113.1+2.9
10 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
11 Boston Celtics26151158%116.2110.8+5.3
12 Miami Heat25141156%121.2117.8+3.5
13 Phoenix Suns25141156%115.8113.6+2.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers25141156%116.8115.8+1.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers28151354%118.4116.3+2.1
16 Atlanta Hawks28151354%118.3118.0+0.3
17 Golden State Warriors27131448%114.4113.2+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies27131448%114.4115.2-0.8
19 Chicago Bulls26111542%117.6121.9-4.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks27111641%113.9117.7-3.8
21 Utah Jazz25101540%119.0126.1-7.1
22 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%118.2121.9-3.7
23 Dallas Mavericks27101737%112.9116.8-3.9
24 Charlotte Hornets2791833%115.5118.7-3.2
25 Brooklyn Nets2571828%110.2115.9-5.7
26 Los Angeles Clippers2662023%111.3116.8-5.5
27 Sacramento Kings2662023%110.8122.4-11.5
28 Indiana Pacers2762122%110.3118.1-7.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans2752219%114.2122.8-8.6
30 Washington Wizards2442017%112.8126.7-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brooklyn Nets2722242295
Miami Heat30242329106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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