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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 95-90
26-27 23-20 19-27 27-16
Position#7
Record5-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Position#1
Record7-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game85.8
AustraliaNBLRound 11· Spark Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney
11 Feb 2027
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NEW 62
SYDN103
03 Dec 2025
NEW 95
SYDN90
20 Dec 2024
NEW 84
SYDN92
07 Dec 2024
NEW 83
SYDN98
22 Dec 2023
NEW 109
SYDN101
12 Mar 2023
NEW 80
SYDN70
05 Mar 2023
NEW 74
SYDN81
08 Dec 2022
NEW 81
SYDN88
06 Nov 2022
NEW 77
SYDN81
12 Apr 2022
NEW 70
SYDN76
22 May 2021
NEW 76
SYDN81
20 May 2021
NEW 89
SYDN81
17 Jan 2020
NEW 88
SYDN81
20 Oct 2019
NEW 66
SYDN76
09 Dec 2018
NEW 70
SYDN71
21 Oct 2018
NEW 78
SYDN101
19 Oct 2017
NEW 90
SYDN73
13 Oct 2017
NEW 87
SYDN85
13 Jan 2017
NEW 92
SYDN74
20 Oct 2016
NEW 78
SYDN92
11 Dec 2015
NEW 96
SYDN84
21 Oct 2015
NEW 74
SYDN62
23 Jan 2015
NEW 81
SYDN101
28 Nov 2014
NEW 107
SYDN96
13 Mar 2014
NEW 106
SYDN78
30 Jan 2014
NEW 105
SYDN87
28 Mar 2013
NEW 81
SYDN64
24 Jan 2013
NEW 95
SYDN76
02 Nov 2012
NEW 79
SYDN76
27 Jan 2012
NEW 93
SYDN64
28 Oct 2011
NEW 76
SYDN59
17 Mar 2011
NEW 91
SYDN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 79
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
70avg 79
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
77avg 79
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
62avg 79
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
102-60
102
60
+42
101avg 79
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 79
H06/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 79
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
112avg 79
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
56avg 79
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
100avg 79
A22/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
31-13
19-28
16-25
20-18
20-13
23-11
19-23
17-28
21-28
25-19
25-29
25-11
32-28
15-29
11-16
31-18
21-16
27-10
23-16
14-22
33-21
21-23
11-17
25-17
16-22
13-13
18-27
27-18
41-18
24-21
21-27
14-22
24-21
22-21
15-24
25-17
22-27
30-22
25-30
170.7Avg total
87.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.388.1176.4+0.133%
Season at home (7)87.985.7173.6+2.129%
Season away (8)88.690.2178.9-1.638%
Last 10 (10)87.783.0170.7+4.740%
Last 5 (5)88.286.0174.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.295.6178.8-12.50%
vs Similar (13)88.285.3173.5+2.946%
vs Weaker (4)98.292.0190.2+6.250%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 84
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 84
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 84
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 84
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 84
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 84
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 84
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 84
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 84
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 84
A23/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
177.7Avg total
92.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.185.8176.9+5.254%
Season at home (6)87.782.2169.8+5.550%
Season away (7)94.089.0183.0+5.057%
Last 10 (10)92.085.7177.7+6.360%
Last 5 (5)93.883.6177.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.5103.0194.5-11.50%
vs Similar (5)99.297.6196.8+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.287.0178.2+4.361%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
New Zealand BreakersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A19/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H23/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-36
68
36
+32
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/11
NBL
87.3Avg total
47.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.545.790.2-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.944.990.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.246.489.6-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)47.439.987.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.089.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.647.589.1-5.831%-
vs Similar (13)44.545.289.8-0.746%-
vs Weaker (4)54.041.295.2+12.875%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
94.1Avg total
48.2Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.295.1-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.148.995.0-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)47.947.495.3+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)48.245.994.1+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.694.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.554.0102.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (5)49.456.6106.0-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.345.992.1+0.461%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.224.3
52.6%
54.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
74.8%11.8
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.3
50.0%
54.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.417.3
73.9%
74.8%17.3
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WLWLLWLLWL
Sydney
LWWWWLLWLW
#7
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+6.8
106.4
Offensive rating
112.7
101.1
Defensive rating
105.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.1%
3-point %
32.8%
55.5%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 112.7Defence101.1 · 105.9Shooting49.7% · 49.7%3-point %30.1% · 32.8%Ball care14.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
7
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ACairns Taipans102-96
15/11/25APerth75-88
12/11/25ABrisbane Bullets113-84
09/11/25ASydney72-79
06/11/25HAdelaide79-83
31/10/25AIllawarra Hawks102-60
23/10/25HBrisbane Bullets83-84
19/10/25AMelbourne United88-104
17/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-65
12/10/25HSouth East Melbourne81-87
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game88.387.988.6
Allowed / game88.185.790.2
Point differential+0.1+2.1-1.6
Avg total176.4173.6178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game91.187.794.0
Allowed / game85.882.289.0
Point differential+5.2+5.5+5.0
Avg total176.9169.8183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1513287%97.385.9+11.5
2 Adelaide1411379%91.985.9+5.9
3 South East Melbourne139469%96.588.4+8.2
4 Perth148657%89.086.7+2.3
5 Sydney137654%91.185.8+5.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers156940%85.786.8-1.1
7 New Zealand Breakers1551033%88.388.1+0.1
8 Brisbane Bullets1551033%88.796.1-7.4
9 Illawarra Hawks134931%88.897.2-8.4
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers2623192795
Sydney2720271690
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