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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 62-103
17-23 4-27 19-25 22-28
Position#7
Record8-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game89.4
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record13-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game86.8
AustraliaNBLRound 16· Spark Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney
11 Feb 2027
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NEW 62
SYDN103
03 Dec 2025
NEW 95
SYDN90
20 Dec 2024
NEW 84
SYDN92
07 Dec 2024
NEW 83
SYDN98
22 Dec 2023
NEW 109
SYDN101
12 Mar 2023
NEW 80
SYDN70
05 Mar 2023
NEW 74
SYDN81
08 Dec 2022
NEW 81
SYDN88
06 Nov 2022
NEW 77
SYDN81
12 Apr 2022
NEW 70
SYDN76
22 May 2021
NEW 76
SYDN81
20 May 2021
NEW 89
SYDN81
17 Jan 2020
NEW 88
SYDN81
20 Oct 2019
NEW 66
SYDN76
09 Dec 2018
NEW 70
SYDN71
21 Oct 2018
NEW 78
SYDN101
19 Oct 2017
NEW 90
SYDN73
13 Oct 2017
NEW 87
SYDN85
13 Jan 2017
NEW 92
SYDN74
20 Oct 2016
NEW 78
SYDN92
11 Dec 2015
NEW 96
SYDN84
21 Oct 2015
NEW 74
SYDN62
23 Jan 2015
NEW 81
SYDN101
28 Nov 2014
NEW 107
SYDN96
13 Mar 2014
NEW 106
SYDN78
30 Jan 2014
NEW 105
SYDN87
28 Mar 2013
NEW 81
SYDN64
24 Jan 2013
NEW 95
SYDN76
02 Nov 2012
NEW 79
SYDN76
27 Jan 2012
NEW 93
SYDN64
28 Oct 2011
NEW 76
SYDN59
17 Mar 2011
NEW 91
SYDN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
112avg 81
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
56avg 81
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
100avg 81
A22/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 81
H03/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
93avg 81
H06/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 81
A13/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
95-99
95
99
-4
84avg 81
A19/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-99
85
99
-14
67avg 81
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
66avg 81
A26/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
76avg 81
H04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
41-18
24-21
21-27
14-22
24-21
22-21
15-24
25-17
22-27
30-22
25-30
26-27
23-20
19-27
27-16
28-14
24-27
28-29
19-16
20-26
21-18
21-27
18-21
23-19
20-29
29-21
23-30
20-26
21-30
22-23
22-20
25-18
12-18
14-19
20-16
23-28
22-20
29-32
17-19
182.9Avg total
91.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.689.4178.0-0.836%
Season at home (10)90.087.5177.5+2.540%
Season away (12)87.591.0178.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)91.691.3182.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)86.493.8180.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)84.195.4179.5-11.47%
vs Similar (10)90.981.6172.5+9.370%
vs Weaker (6)95.594.3189.8+1.233%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 85
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 85
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 85
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
74avg 85
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
84avg 85
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
119-77
119
77
+42
119avg 85
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 85
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 85
H30/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 85
A02/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 85
H05/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
27-26
20-23
27-19
16-27
26-25
18-17
32-21
32-16
24-25
21-25
24-20
15-14
23-29
20-27
23-9
19-20
28-23
29-18
34-19
28-17
34-19
28-22
21-17
25-26
24-15
27-15
26-19
18-21
26-19
15-16
18-21
20-29
35-31
25-28
32-36
25-29
188.3Avg total
98.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)95.086.8181.7+8.259%
Season at home (11)96.585.5182.1+11.064%
Season away (11)93.488.0181.4+5.455%
Last 10 (10)98.689.7188.3+8.960%
Last 5 (5)103.688.0191.6+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
vs Similar (3)96.095.3191.3+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)94.387.4181.7+6.958%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
New Zealand BreakersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-36
68
36
+32
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H06/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H04/01
NBL
90.4Avg total
46.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.645.289.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.543.589.9+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)42.747.089.7-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)46.144.390.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.487.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.546.988.4-5.429%-
vs Similar (10)45.643.188.7+2.570%-
vs Weaker (6)50.044.894.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H30/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H05/01
NBL
95.3Avg total
49.0Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.745.693.3+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.945.693.5+2.471%-
Last 30 away (13)47.445.793.1+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)49.046.395.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)54.241.295.4+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (3)50.352.7103.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.744.792.4+3.173%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.225.4
53.8%
54.6%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
74.8%13.1
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.124.8
57.5%
54.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
33.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
74.8%15.6
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLWWWLW
Sydney
LLWWWWWWLL
#7
League position
#1
-1.1
Net rating
+10.7
111.9
Offensive rating
119.7
113.0
Defensive rating
109.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.7%
3-point %
34.5%
53.8%
Assist %
61.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 119.7Defence113.0 · 109.0Shooting51.5% · 55.1%3-point %31.7% · 34.5%Ball care13.3% · 11.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 27.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25New Zealand Breakers v Sydney95-90
09/11/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers79-72
04/10/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers97-75
20/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney84-92
07/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney83-98
27/10/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers89-93
28/02/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers76-83
14/01/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers105-76
22/12/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney109-101
05/11/23Sydney v New Zealand Breakers87-85
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HPerth91-99
26/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-80 OT
22/12/25ABrisbane Bullets85-99
19/12/25ACairns Taipans95-99
13/12/25ASouth East Melbourne80-92
06/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers99-86
03/12/25HSydney95-90
22/11/25ACairns Taipans102-96
15/11/25APerth75-88
12/11/25ABrisbane Bullets113-84
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HSouth East Melbourne117-124
02/01/26AAdelaide79-85
30/12/25HBrisbane Bullets95-70
25/12/25HIllawarra Hawks108-84
21/12/25HCairns Taipans119-77
17/12/25HAdelaide97-93 OT
14/12/25AMelbourne United92-86 OT
12/12/25APerth108-79
03/12/25ANew Zealand Breakers90-95
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game88.690.087.5
Allowed / game89.487.591.0
Point differential-0.8+2.5-3.5
Avg total178.0177.5178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%64%55%
Points / game95.096.593.4
Allowed / game86.885.588.0
Point differential+8.2+11.0+5.4
Avg total181.7182.1181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2319483%92.785.4+7.3
2 South East Melbourne2316770%98.990.6+8.3
3 Melbourne United2415962%93.888.8+4.9
4 Sydney2213959%95.086.8+8.2
5 Perth23131057%89.186.3+2.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers24111346%85.885.4+0.4
7 New Zealand Breakers2281436%88.689.4-0.8
8 Illawarra Hawks2281436%90.196.9-6.8
9 Cairns Taipans2361726%82.596.1-13.6
10 Brisbane Bullets2461825%84.995.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers174192262
Sydney23272528103
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