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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 83-98
14-25 26-27 15-25 28-21
Position#9
Record7-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record8-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game83.3
AustraliaNBLRound 11· Spark Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney
11 Feb 2027
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NEW 62
SYDN103
03 Dec 2025
NEW 95
SYDN90
20 Dec 2024
NEW 84
SYDN92
07 Dec 2024
NEW 83
SYDN98
22 Dec 2023
NEW 109
SYDN101
12 Mar 2023
NEW 80
SYDN70
05 Mar 2023
NEW 74
SYDN81
08 Dec 2022
NEW 81
SYDN88
06 Nov 2022
NEW 77
SYDN81
12 Apr 2022
NEW 70
SYDN76
22 May 2021
NEW 76
SYDN81
20 May 2021
NEW 89
SYDN81
17 Jan 2020
NEW 88
SYDN81
20 Oct 2019
NEW 66
SYDN76
09 Dec 2018
NEW 70
SYDN71
21 Oct 2018
NEW 78
SYDN101
19 Oct 2017
NEW 90
SYDN73
13 Oct 2017
NEW 87
SYDN85
13 Jan 2017
NEW 92
SYDN74
20 Oct 2016
NEW 78
SYDN92
11 Dec 2015
NEW 96
SYDN84
21 Oct 2015
NEW 74
SYDN62
23 Jan 2015
NEW 81
SYDN101
28 Nov 2014
NEW 107
SYDN96
13 Mar 2014
NEW 106
SYDN78
30 Jan 2014
NEW 105
SYDN87
28 Mar 2013
NEW 81
SYDN64
24 Jan 2013
NEW 95
SYDN76
02 Nov 2012
NEW 79
SYDN76
27 Jan 2012
NEW 93
SYDN64
28 Oct 2011
NEW 76
SYDN59
17 Mar 2011
NEW 91
SYDN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 80
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
48avg 80
H24/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 80
A27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
109-82
109
82
+27
110avg 80
H02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
113-79
113
79
+34
121avg 80
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 80
A09/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
77-69
77
69
+8
63avg 80
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
71-109
71
109
-38
56avg 80
A28/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
112-123
112
123
-11
103avg 80
A01/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
70-97
70
97
-27
59avg 80
H05/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-21
27-19
21-27
17-27
18-20
16-18
11-23
18-25
31-20
23-24
21-20
33-19
19-20
34-19
23-24
25-13
30-18
29-21
29-27
27-20
14-25
3-19
20-19
28-23
24-19
11-17
14-10
12-32
17-20
27-20
15-37
24-42
24-27
37-24
27-30
24-28
19-18
7-24
20-27
176.4Avg total
86.0Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.088.8173.8-3.854%
Season at home (6)83.786.3170.0-2.767%
Season away (7)86.190.9177.0-4.743%
Last 10 (10)86.090.4176.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.896.2175.0-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)87.192.2179.2-5.150%
vs Similar (16)89.185.9175.1+3.262%
vs Weaker (2)88.075.5163.5+12.550%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-73
99
73
+26
95avg 83
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 83
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 83
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 83
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-60
88
60
+28
86avg 83
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 83
H08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
63avg 83
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 83
A29/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
89avg 83
A01/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
25-21
23-18
23-16
13-21
20-24
16-8
31-18
21-21
23-20
16-24
24-22
25-18
20-31
24-23
20-21
20-21
23-25
21-20
19-21
27-19
14-14
26-18
21-9
14-22
18-14
17-20
25-13
22-22
13-22
19-23
25-19
20-26
21-16
18-13
22-20
28-27
21-38
26-14
23-22
165.7Avg total
85.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.983.3170.3+3.653%
Season at home (5)87.878.2166.0+9.660%
Season away (10)86.585.9172.4+0.650%
Last 10 (10)85.580.2165.7+5.350%
Last 5 (5)84.078.2162.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)90.490.9181.2-0.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.683.6175.3+8.057%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
New Zealand BreakersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H24/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A28/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A01/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/12
NBL
90.0Avg total
44.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.488.3+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.341.889.2+5.562%-
Last 30 away (17)42.944.687.6-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.650.893.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.844.887.6-2.142%-
vs Similar (16)46.643.289.8+3.456%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A01/12
NBL
85.6Avg total
41.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.744.390.0+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.192.0+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)43.844.588.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.085.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)47.345.092.3+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.743.488.1+1.350%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.0
53.0%
52.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
74.7%13.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.7
48.1%
52.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.615.1
69.9%
74.7%15.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LLLWLWWWLW
Sydney
LWLWWLLLWW
#9
League position
#4
-6.5
Net rating
+6.3
110.6
Offensive rating
107.9
117.1
Defensive rating
101.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.0%
3-point %
35.5%
58.1%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 107.9Defence117.1 · 101.6Shooting52.8% · 50.3%3-point %35.0% · 35.5%Ball care16.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
New Zealand Breakers wins
5
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HMelbourne United70-97
01/12/24APerth112-123
28/11/24AIllawarra Hawks71-109
16/11/24ACairns Taipans77-69
09/11/24ATasmania JackJumpers64-83
04/11/24AMelbourne United113-79
02/11/24HAdelaide109-82
27/10/24ASydney93-89
24/10/24HSouth East Melbourne62-88
19/10/24HPerth89-85
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AMelbourne United98-101
29/11/24ACairns Taipans81-75
16/11/24AIllawarra Hawks79-86
08/11/24HSouth East Melbourne74-69
03/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-60
31/10/24AMelbourne United83-87
27/10/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-93
25/10/24APerth84-87
18/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers80-71
13/10/24HCairns Taipans99-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL54%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game85.083.786.1
Allowed / game88.886.390.9
Point differential-3.8-2.7-4.7
Avg total173.8170.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %53%60%50%
Points / game86.987.886.5
Allowed / game83.378.285.9
Point differential+3.6+9.6+0.6
Avg total170.3166.0172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1612475%95.887.0+8.8
2 Illawarra Hawks149564%98.790.1+8.6
3 New Zealand Breakers137654%85.088.8-3.8
4 Sydney158753%86.983.3+3.6
5 Perth168850%94.295.7-1.4
6 Tasmania JackJumpers157847%80.183.2-3.1
7 Adelaide136746%88.893.6-4.8
8 South East Melbourne146843%87.485.4+2.1
9 Brisbane Bullets125742%91.993.9-2.0
10 Cairns Taipans1431121%82.492.3-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers1426152883
Sydney2527252198
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