New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 106-78

13-13 26-22 28-21 39-22

Position#7

Record10-16

FormLLWLL

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game89.2

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Sydney

Position#6

Record11-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game84.6

NBLRound 22

Other2013-14

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

72-97

-25

A17/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

106-101

106

101

H23/01

NBL

Sydney

105-87

105

+18

H30/01

NBL

Sydney

96-98

-2

A08/02

NBL

Cairns

96-78

+18

H14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

68-88

-20

A21/02

NBL

Adelaide

92-96

-4

A23/02

NBL

Townsville

102-99

102

H27/02

NBL

Cairns

87-92

-5

A01/03

NBL

Melbourne United

84-97

-13

H07/03

NBL

15-28

22-29

16-14

19-26

30-26

25-23

26-29

25-23

27-19

28-17

27-29

23-22

21-26

29-27

27-23

19-22

24-17

19-19

32-19

21-23

16-19

14-16

22-26

16-27

17-26

31-20

21-25

23-25

22-25

23-25

25-25

32-24

25-19

17-25

26-22

19-26

18-20

28-21

21-12

17-44

184.1Avg total

90.8Scored

93.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	87.9	89.2	177.1	-1.3	38%
Season at home (12)	90.7	86.8	177.4	+3.9	58%
Season away (14)	85.5	91.4	176.9	-5.9	21%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	93.3	184.1	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	94.4	181.0	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.5	89.8	168.2	-11.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	88.3	87.2	175.6	+1.1	50%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	76.0	166.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

92-88

A17/01

NBL

Melbourne United

97-84

+13

H19/01

NBL

Adelaide

105-93

105

+12

H26/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-105

105

-18

A30/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

98-96

H08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

84-102

102

-18

H15/02

NBL

Cairns

85-63

+22

A21/02

NBL

Townsville

83-90

-7

A22/02

NBL

Perth

81-85

-4

H02/03

NBL

Melbourne United

82-92

-10

A09/03

NBL

18-24

17-19

31-23

26-22

27-23

21-22

20-18

29-21

19-17

29-27

26-20

31-29

19-27

17-28

29-27

22-23

26-21

27-29

23-27

22-19

27-26

18-22

14-27

25-27

26-18

17-9

21-17

21-19

19-26

20-23

17-16

27-25

15-25

32-23

21-21

13-16

26-25

27-26

9-19

20-22

179.2Avg total

89.4Scored

89.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	82.0	84.6	166.6	-2.6	46%
Season at home (12)	83.8	83.8	167.5	+0.0	50%
Season away (12)	80.2	85.4	165.7	-5.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	89.8	179.2	-0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	86.4	169.4	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.3	88.1	165.4	-10.8	18%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	82.3	81.4	163.7	+0.9	58%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.6	42.2	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.9	40.9	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.3	43.5	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.0	46.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	22.2	19.5	41.6	+2.7	74%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.5	26.8	49.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.4	37%	-
vs Weaker	no games

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

37-57

-20

A17/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

55-49

H23/01

NBL

Sydney

55-36

+19

H30/01

NBL

Sydney

50-53

-3

A08/02

NBL

Cairns

43-36

H14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-35

-5

A21/02

NBL

Adelaide

48-46

A23/02

NBL

Townsville

45-50

-5

H27/02

NBL

Cairns

42-44

-2

A01/03

NBL

Melbourne United

46-41

H07/03

NBL

89.8Avg total

45.1Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	44.0	87.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.7	42.4	87.1	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	45.4	87.3	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	44.7	89.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.2	85.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	50.8	90.8	-10.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	44.0	43.4	87.3	+0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	38.0	78.5	+2.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

35-43

-8

A17/01

NBL

Melbourne United

48-45

H19/01

NBL

Adelaide

48-44

H26/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-55

-19

A30/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-50

H08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-48

-3

H15/02

NBL

Cairns

43-27

+16

A21/02

NBL

Townsville

39-49

-10

A22/02

NBL

Perth

47-48

-1

H02/03

NBL

Melbourne United

53-51

A09/03

NBL

90.7Avg total

44.7Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.1	82.5	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	39.3	83.4	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	42.9	81.7	-4.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	46.0	90.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.6	90.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.5	44.1	83.5	-4.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	42.5	39.4	81.9	+3.1	68%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	22.4	46.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	13.0	35.5	+9.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.3	40.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	21.6	40.2	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	22.1	43.8	-0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	23.2	46.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	26.2	47.6	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	29.2	50.6	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	25.0	52.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.9	42.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	22.4	41.6	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	42.8	86.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	41.4	85.8	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.5	44.1	87.6	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	48.6	94.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	51.2	95.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	44.4	43.9	88.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	49.5	38.0	87.5	+11.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.7	81.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	43.7	83.4	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.7	80.1	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	43.8	88.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.8	79.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.8	44.0	81.8	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.8	41.9	81.7	-2.2	37%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/14	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	98-96
30/01/14	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	105-87
29/12/13	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	83-99
01/04/13	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	88-99
28/03/13	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	81-64
09/02/13	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	94-96 OT
24/01/13	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	95-76
08/12/12	Sydney v New Zealand Breakers	75-62
02/11/12	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	79-76
27/01/12	New Zealand Breakers v Sydney	93-64

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/14	H	Melbourne United	84-97
01/03/14	A	Cairns	87-92
27/02/14	H	Townsville	102-99
23/02/14	A	Adelaide	92-96
21/02/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	68-88
14/02/14	H	Cairns	96-78
08/02/14	A	Sydney	96-98
30/01/14	H	Sydney	105-87
23/01/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	106-101
17/01/14	A	Perth	72-97

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/14	A	Melbourne United	82-92
02/03/14	H	Perth	81-85
22/02/14	A	Townsville	83-90
21/02/14	A	Cairns	85-63
15/02/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	84-102
08/02/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	98-96
30/01/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	87-105
26/01/14	H	Adelaide	105-93
19/01/14	H	Melbourne United	97-84
17/01/14	A	Cairns	92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	38%
Home	WWWWL	58%
Away	LLLLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	38%	58%	21%
Points / game	87.9	90.7	85.5
Allowed / game	89.2	86.8	91.4
Point differential	-1.3	+3.9	-5.9
Avg total	177.1	177.4	176.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (10)	50% (4)	0% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	46%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	WLWLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	50%	42%
Points / game	82.0	83.8	80.2
Allowed / game	84.6	83.8	85.4
Point differential	-2.6	+0.0	-5.2
Avg total	166.6	167.5	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	67% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	26	20	6	77%	86.7	77.3	+9.4
2	Adelaide	25	16	9	64%	89.4	87.8	+1.6
3	Melbourne United	26	14	12	54%	82.0	81.8	+0.2
4	Sydney	24	11	13	46%	82.0	84.6	-2.6
5	Illawarra Hawks	25	11	14	44%	81.4	83.0	-1.6
6	Cairns	26	11	15	42%	82.4	84.3	-1.9
7	New Zealand Breakers	26	10	16	38%	87.9	89.2	-1.3
8	Townsville	26	9	17	35%	84.5	88.4	-4.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	13	26	28	39	106
Sydney	13	22	21	22	78

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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