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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 109-101
29-17 24-36 33-15 23-33
Position#5
Record5-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#7
Record9-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game92.8
AustraliaNBLRound 12· Spark Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney
11 Feb 2027
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NEW 62
SYDN103
03 Dec 2025
NEW 95
SYDN90
20 Dec 2024
NEW 84
SYDN92
07 Dec 2024
NEW 83
SYDN98
22 Dec 2023
NEW 109
SYDN101
12 Mar 2023
NEW 80
SYDN70
05 Mar 2023
NEW 74
SYDN81
08 Dec 2022
NEW 81
SYDN88
06 Nov 2022
NEW 77
SYDN81
12 Apr 2022
NEW 70
SYDN76
22 May 2021
NEW 76
SYDN81
20 May 2021
NEW 89
SYDN81
17 Jan 2020
NEW 88
SYDN81
20 Oct 2019
NEW 66
SYDN76
09 Dec 2018
NEW 70
SYDN71
21 Oct 2018
NEW 78
SYDN101
19 Oct 2017
NEW 90
SYDN73
13 Oct 2017
NEW 87
SYDN85
13 Jan 2017
NEW 92
SYDN74
20 Oct 2016
NEW 78
SYDN92
11 Dec 2015
NEW 96
SYDN84
21 Oct 2015
NEW 74
SYDN62
23 Jan 2015
NEW 81
SYDN101
28 Nov 2014
NEW 107
SYDN96
13 Mar 2014
NEW 106
SYDN78
30 Jan 2014
NEW 105
SYDN87
28 Mar 2013
NEW 81
SYDN64
24 Jan 2013
NEW 95
SYDN76
02 Nov 2012
NEW 79
SYDN76
27 Jan 2012
NEW 93
SYDN64
28 Oct 2011
NEW 76
SYDN59
17 Mar 2011
NEW 91
SYDN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
88avg 79
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 79
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 79
A05/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 79
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
97-92
97
92
+5
81avg 79
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 79
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 79
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 79
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
70avg 79
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
111-82
111
82
+29
110avg 79
A15/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
27-29
20-24
32-19
21-23
16-15
30-17
24-26
21-27
23-28
23-17
18-15
17-34
19-18
22-21
18-21
31-30
25-17
23-19
18-26
12-19
23-17
16-17
14-16
37-17
16-24
24-19
19-23
19-16
26-25
20-25
14-24
24-26
8-23
24-26
24-22
36-18
26-18
29-29
20-17
175.8Avg total
88.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.289.1177.4-0.936%
Season at home (7)85.686.1171.7-0.643%
Season away (7)90.992.1183.0-1.329%
Last 10 (10)88.087.8175.8+0.240%
Last 5 (5)86.284.2170.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.395.3183.7-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)84.182.5166.6+1.647%
vs Weaker (10)85.182.9168.0+2.250%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 89
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 89
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
101avg 89
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 89
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
104-95
104
95
+9
103avg 89
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
82avg 89
A19/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-114
105
114
-9
98avg 89
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
89avg 89
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
83avg 89
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 89
A17/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
20-21
23-18
27-30
20-26
22-25
19-18
19-18
20-17
32-25
32-18
19-23
27-21
28-23
17-23
15-18
20-26
25-25
31-20
28-24
22-21
31-17
19-27
21-40
26-23
31-27
26-33
22-31
33-15
15-22
23-21
15-25
30-32
19-26
22-24
23-22
21-24
18-9
18-19
33-30
188.0Avg total
93.7Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)95.192.8187.9+2.360%
Season at home (6)98.095.8193.8+2.267%
Season away (9)93.190.8183.9+2.356%
Last 10 (10)93.794.3188.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)93.697.6191.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)88.986.7175.6+2.353%
vs Weaker (15)94.993.3188.2+1.760%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
New Zealand BreakersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A05/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A15/12
NBL
90.3Avg total
44.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.485.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.279.4-1.040%-
Last 30 away (15)46.244.690.8+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.590.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.686.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.746.089.7-2.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.241.284.4+2.153%-
vs Weaker (10)41.543.484.9-1.940%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A19/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/12
NBL
94.6Avg total
48.5Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.345.892.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.748.495.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)45.943.489.3+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)48.546.194.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.292.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.343.687.9+0.753%-
vs Weaker (15)48.247.996.1+0.340%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.3%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.7
37.5%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.3
73.3%
73.8%14.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.2
53.2%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.0
34.6%
33.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.4%
73.8%16.3
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WLLWLWLLWL
Sydney
WLWLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#7
-0.3
Net rating
-1.0
109.4
Offensive rating
111.9
109.7
Defensive rating
112.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.5%
3-point %
34.6%
52.8%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 111.9Defence109.7 · 112.9Shooting54.0% · 52.5%3-point %37.5% · 34.6%Ball care15.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds21.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
7
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23ACairns Taipans111-82
09/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers80-97
02/12/23ASouth East Melbourne79-90
30/11/23HAdelaide96-83
19/11/23HIllawarra Hawks65-69
16/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers97-92
10/11/23APerth76-94
05/11/23ASydney85-87
03/11/23HCairns Taipans91-81
28/10/23ASouth East Melbourne100-103
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
10/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-104
07/12/23ACairns Taipans86-83
01/12/23APerth105-114
19/11/23AMelbourne United93-105
12/11/23HBrisbane Bullets104-95
05/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers87-85
03/11/23AIllawarra Hawks103-83
28/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
22/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers95-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game88.285.690.9
Allowed / game89.186.192.1
Point differential-0.9-0.6-1.3
Avg total177.4171.7183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %60%67%56%
Points / game95.198.093.1
Allowed / game92.895.890.8
Point differential+2.3+2.2+2.3
Avg total187.9193.8183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1613381%94.485.0+9.4
2 Sydney159660%95.192.8+2.3
3 Perth159660%90.289.9+0.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers169756%89.383.8+5.5
5 South East Melbourne168850%90.892.3-1.5
6 Cairns Taipans167944%88.690.3-1.8
7 Brisbane Bullets167944%86.489.4-3.0
8 Illawarra Hawks135838%85.188.8-3.8
9 New Zealand Breakers145936%88.289.1-0.9
10 Adelaide1541127%85.092.7-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers29243323109
Sydney17361533101
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