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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 06:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game91.4
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Sydney
Australia
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game89.7
AustraliaNBLRound 21· Spark Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Sydney
11 Feb 2027
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
NEW v SYDN
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NEW 62
SYDN103
03 Dec 2025
NEW 95
SYDN90
20 Dec 2024
NEW 84
SYDN92
07 Dec 2024
NEW 83
SYDN98
22 Dec 2023
NEW 109
SYDN101
12 Mar 2023
NEW 80
SYDN70
05 Mar 2023
NEW 74
SYDN81
08 Dec 2022
NEW 81
SYDN88
06 Nov 2022
NEW 77
SYDN81
12 Apr 2022
NEW 70
SYDN76
22 May 2021
NEW 76
SYDN81
20 May 2021
NEW 89
SYDN81
17 Jan 2020
NEW 88
SYDN81
20 Oct 2019
NEW 66
SYDN76
09 Dec 2018
NEW 70
SYDN71
21 Oct 2018
NEW 78
SYDN101
19 Oct 2017
NEW 90
SYDN73
13 Oct 2017
NEW 87
SYDN85
13 Jan 2017
NEW 92
SYDN74
20 Oct 2016
NEW 78
SYDN92
11 Dec 2015
NEW 96
SYDN84
21 Oct 2015
NEW 74
SYDN62
23 Jan 2015
NEW 81
SYDN101
28 Nov 2014
NEW 107
SYDN96
13 Mar 2014
NEW 106
SYDN78
30 Jan 2014
NEW 105
SYDN87
28 Mar 2013
NEW 81
SYDN64
24 Jan 2013
NEW 95
SYDN76
02 Nov 2012
NEW 79
SYDN76
27 Jan 2012
NEW 93
SYDN64
28 Oct 2011
NEW 76
SYDN59
17 Mar 2011
NEW 91
SYDN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 86
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 86
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 86
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 86
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
92avg 86
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
102-111 OT
102
111
-9
no box
A15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
19-28
20-15
16-27
19-24
19-27
24-16
12-21
22-15
14-24
26-16
20-22
19-17
20-21
25-24
19-20
23-22
183.7Avg total
89.8Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.691.4182.1-0.836%
Season at home (4)97.088.5185.5+8.575%
Season away (10)88.192.6180.7-4.520%
Last 10 (10)89.893.9183.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)89.696.4186.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)89.6101.7191.3-12.120%
vs Similar (13)95.093.2188.2+1.846%
vs Weaker (7)96.189.6185.7+6.657%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 97
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
92avg 97
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
96avg 97
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
108-82
108
82
+26
109avg 97
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
96avg 97
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 97
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
57avg 97
A30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
no box
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A13/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
111-102 OT
111
102
+9
no box
H15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
20-19
28-17
34-16
26-30
31-32
20-24
13-21
31-28
33-17
26-25
21-28
19-21
19-19
18-12
13-24
21-13
28-38
26-13
29-19
27-29
29-12
24-20
14-31
15-21
21-20
24-25
20-19
22-23
185.5Avg total
95.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)98.689.7188.3+8.969%
Season at home (8)103.492.0195.4+11.475%
Season away (5)91.086.0177.0+5.060%
Last 10 (10)95.789.8185.5+5.960%
Last 5 (5)94.688.8183.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)102.689.4192.0+13.283%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
New Zealand BreakersSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A15/11
NBL
90.8Avg total
44.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.493.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.647.193.7-0.545%-
Last 30 away (19)46.347.693.9-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.390.8-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.051.796.7-6.710%-
vs Similar (13)46.544.891.3+1.662%-
vs Weaker (7)48.346.194.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A13/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H15/11
NBL
93.2Avg total
50.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.945.798.6+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.245.8100.0+8.383%-
Last 30 away (12)51.045.596.5+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)50.442.893.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.289.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)51.056.0107.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)53.045.398.3+7.679%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
74.0%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.5
57.8%
56.4%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
74.0%15.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLLWLW
Sydney
WLWWWLWWLL
#8
League position
#1
+3.3
Net rating
+9.9
102.8
Offensive rating
105.0
99.5
Defensive rating
95.0
58.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.3%
3-point %
35.4%
63.3%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 105.0Defence99.5 · 95.0Shooting58.4% · 56.0%3-point %41.3% · 35.4%Ball care14.1% · 11.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
15/11/26Sydney v New Zealand Breakers111-102 OT
14/10/26Sydney v New Zealand Breakers101-102
09/01/26New Zealand Breakers v Sydney62-103
03/12/25New Zealand Breakers v Sydney95-90
09/11/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers79-72
04/10/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers97-75
20/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney84-92
07/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney83-98
27/10/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers89-93
28/02/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers76-83
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASydney102-111 OT
13/11/26HBrisbane Bullets94-90 OT
06/11/26ATasmania JackJumpers77-79
02/11/26AMelbourne United74-94
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers111-102 OT
13/11/26ACairns Taipans82-84
08/11/26HSouth East Melbourne110-99
30/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers71-68
28/10/26APerth99-91
25/10/26AMelbourne United95-105
22/10/26AIllawarra Hawks108-82
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %36%75%20%
Points / game90.697.088.1
Allowed / game91.488.592.6
Point differential-0.8+8.5-4.5
Avg total182.1185.5180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %14%25%10%
Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%75%60%
Points / game98.6103.491.0
Allowed / game89.792.086.0
Point differential+8.9+11.4+5.0
Avg total188.3195.4177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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