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Norrkoping vs Hogsbo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.1
Norrkoping
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Hogsbo
Sweden
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game90.6
SwedenBasketligan· Stadium Arena B
Other2026-27
Meetings · Norrkoping v Hogsbo
23 Mar 2027
NOR v HOGS
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
NOR v HOGS
upcoming
19 Sep 2025
NOR89
HOGS77
21 Mar 2025
NOR122
HOGS93
04 Oct 2024
NOR89
HOGS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 83
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 83
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 83
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
103-80
103
80
+23
80avg 83
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
71avg 83
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 83
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
69avg 83
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-19
25-12
16-28
17-21
19-31
25-19
24-23
21-24
28-15
20-19
28-32
22-24
14-20
38-12
29-24
22-17
33-18
16-22
17-28
23-22
22-25
21-24
17-15
16-28
27-20
13-18
24-26
20-16
22-18
14-18
28-17
25-21
26-27
28-22
21-12
31-23
22-19
22-23
15-28
174.9Avg total
89.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.584.1175.6+7.564%
Season at home (6)93.284.8178.0+8.350%
Season away (5)89.683.2172.8+6.480%
Last 10 (10)89.985.0174.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.593.0175.5-10.50%
vs Similar (9)84.987.1172.0-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.981.9178.8+15.179%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 71
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 71
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 71
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
85avg 71
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 71
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
59avg 71
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 71
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
79-105
79
105
-26
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
17-17
23-25
28-15
17-24
19-29
17-26
26-12
23-26
17-26
21-27
17-15
20-21
20-33
10-21
17-37
24-17
20-20
21-18
20-27
21-19
18-26
26-23
17-16
18-15
16-20
18-22
18-14
17-28
27-25
17-30
26-27
9-23
171.5Avg total
80.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Season at home (5)81.485.6167.0-4.240%
Season away (5)80.495.6176.0-15.20%
Last 10 (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.893.9172.7-15.215%
vs Similar (8)88.289.4177.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
NorrkopingHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A13/11
Basketligan
88.6Avg total
45.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.787.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.541.787.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.541.687.1+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.842.888.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.890.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.550.089.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.840.287.1+6.679%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A13/11
Basketligan
87.6Avg total
40.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.848.087.8-8.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.444.784.1-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.351.391.5-11.013%-
Last 10 (10)40.147.587.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.686.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.648.586.2-10.920%-
vs Similar (8)45.447.192.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.0%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
74.1%16.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.6%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.319.3
73.4%
74.1%19.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
LWWLLWWWLW
Hogsbo
LLLLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#10
+2.8
Net rating
-11.6
101.5
Offensive rating
89.0
98.7
Defensive rating
100.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.44
37.0%
3-point %
30.8%
53.6%
Assist %
66.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 89.0Defence98.7 · 100.6Shooting53.8% · 49.7%3-point %37.0% · 30.8%Ball care13.3% · 16.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Norrkoping wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
06/11/26Hogsbo v Norrkoping69-84
03/02/26Hogsbo v Norrkoping76-87
17/01/26Hogsbo v Norrkoping63-94
19/09/25Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-77
21/03/25Norrkoping v Hogsbo122-93
25/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping74-89
09/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping73-113
04/10/24Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-91
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ANassjo90-93
10/11/26HUppsala100-82
06/11/26AHogsbo84-69
30/10/26HBC Lulea80-92
26/10/26HJamtland83-86
23/10/26ABoras88-85
16/10/26HKoping Stars103-80
13/10/26ASloga Uppsala97-90
09/10/26HSodertalje85-94
29/09/26ANassjo89-79
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AJamtland79-105
06/11/26HNorrkoping69-84
03/11/26ASloga Uppsala79-80
27/10/26HKoping Stars82-84
23/10/26ABC Lulea71-108
16/10/26HJamtland75-89
13/10/26ASodertalje85-93
09/10/26HNassjo85-81
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game91.593.289.6
Allowed / game84.184.883.2
Point differential+7.5+8.3+6.4
Avg total175.6178.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.981.480.4
Allowed / game90.685.695.6
Point differential-9.7-4.2-15.2
Avg total171.5167.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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