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North Carolina vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 92-90
33-51 59-39
Position#111
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game73.0
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Dayton
USA
Position#62
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H14/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H17/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H29/03
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A09/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
107-55
107
55
+52
H16/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-30
46-37
33-35
39-30
40-39
36-45
40-28
50-34
40-31
45-38
54-46
33-43
51-39
39-37
38-53
51-39
43-34
64-21
41-34
46-35
160.3Avg total
87.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.273.0166.2+20.275%
Season at home (2)98.565.5164.0+33.0100%
Season away (2)88.080.5168.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)87.572.8160.3+14.770%
Last 5 (5)92.076.2168.2+15.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.875.8159.5+8.075%
vs Weaker (22)82.067.0149.1+15.082%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-35
51-48
31-38
39-32
28-30
29-35
25-34
38-26
33-40
35-38
40-28
47-29
24-32
47-34
41-26
36-43
41-28
35-27
29-28
45-25
143.6Avg total
76.4Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Season at home (5)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.467.2143.6+9.280%
Last 5 (5)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.078.0146.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.666.8139.4+5.772%
vs Weaker (10)82.364.4146.7+17.9100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +6.5+6.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +6.5+6.5
North CarolinaDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H14/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H29/03
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A09/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/11
NCAA
79.5Avg total
42.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.674.7+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.934.677.5+8.478%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.770.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.636.979.5+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.637.678.2+3.062%-
vs Weaker (22)39.933.573.4+6.468%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H21/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.429.363.7+5.162%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.429.965.3+5.661%-
Last 30 away (11)32.628.360.9+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.966.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.463.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.529.960.5+0.647%-
vs Weaker (10)40.427.267.6+13.290%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24AHawaii87-69
16/11/24HAmerican University107-55
09/11/24AKansas89-92
05/11/24HElon90-76
29/03/24HAlabama87-89
23/03/24HMichigan State85-69
21/03/24HWagner90-62
17/03/24HNC State76-84
15/03/24HPittsburgh72-65
14/03/24HFlorida State92-67
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HNew Mexico State74-53
17/11/24HCapital Crusaders76-55
14/11/24HBall State77-69
10/11/24HNorthwestern71-66
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)87-57
23/03/24AArizona68-78
21/03/24HNevada63-60
14/03/24HDuquesne57-65
09/03/24HVCU Rams91-86 OT
06/03/24ASt. Louis Billikens100-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game93.298.588.0
Allowed / game73.065.580.5
Point differential+20.2+33.0+7.5
Avg total166.2164.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State550100%82.663.0+19.6
2 Stanford660100%79.262.7+16.5
3 Pittsburgh76186%84.363.1+21.1
4 Florida State76186%77.465.0+12.4
5 Wake Forest76186%72.966.3+6.6
6 Clemson65183%79.063.0+16.0
7 Boston College65183%72.766.0+6.7
8 California65183%79.773.8+5.8
9 Duke54180%84.657.4+27.2
10 Notre Dame54180%82.268.4+13.8
11 North Carolina43175%93.273.0+20.2
12 Louisville43175%81.062.8+18.2
13 SMU Mustangs64267%89.772.8+16.8
14 Syracuse53260%80.879.6+1.2
15 Virginia53260%58.861.0-2.2
16 Miami (FL)63350%84.572.7+11.8
17 Virginia Tech63350%70.870.2+0.7
18 Georgia Tech52340%77.277.4-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rhode Island550100%93.866.6+27.2
2 Loyola Chicago660100%84.863.8+21.0
3 Davidson440100%87.067.0+20.0
4 Dayton550100%77.060.0+17.0
5 St. Bonaventure660100%77.262.5+14.7
6 George Washington76186%79.068.3+10.7
7 VCU Rams75271%73.460.3+13.1
8 La Salle75271%78.971.7+7.1
9 Saint Josephs Hawks64267%73.770.8+2.8
10 St. Louis Billikens53260%78.871.0+7.8
11 George Mason74357%81.664.9+16.7
12 Richmond Spiders63350%72.369.2+3.2
13 Fordham73443%72.772.6+0.1
14 Duquesne6060%65.275.2-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina335992
Dayton513990
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