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TX A&M Commerce vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 83-80 (OT)
31-34 26-23 26-23
Position#290
Record11-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#334
Record9-21
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Northwestern St.
01 Feb 2025
TX A72
NORT50
06 Mar 2024
TX A83
NORT80
09 Feb 2023
TX A82
NORT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#343
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
98-85
98
85
+13
A02/03
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
37-33
22-33
35-37
26-30
25-47
41-38
48-45
35-36
31-30
32-44
31-42
36-25
30-41
33-39
37-46
50-40
48-45
27-42
26-28
147.8Avg total
70.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.974.9146.8-2.937%
Season at home (14)83.072.6155.6+10.450%
Season away (16)62.276.9139.1-14.625%
Last 10 (10)70.577.3147.8-6.840%
Last 5 (5)72.079.6151.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)58.477.8136.1-19.414%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.875.3149.1-1.540%
vs Weaker (5)94.670.2164.8+24.480%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A30/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
39-54
33-22
37-35
35-35
31-38
20-30
39-39
34-33
36-26
34-34
47-27
24-38
37-34
44-30
42-43
37-33
33-37
34-37
28-31
140.0Avg total
69.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.475.9146.3-5.530%
Season at home (14)72.671.1143.8+1.543%
Season away (16)68.580.1148.6-11.619%
Last 10 (10)69.770.3140.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)73.471.2144.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.182.7147.8-17.60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.467.2139.7+5.256%
vs Weaker (4)88.866.5155.2+22.2100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +0.5+0.5
TX A&M CommerceNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#343
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A02/03
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H05/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.035.268.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.833.671.4+4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)28.936.765.6-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.636.069.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.073.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)26.037.463.4-11.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.833.466.2-0.640%-
vs Weaker (5)47.235.082.2+12.280%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A30/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/03
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.267.7-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.432.367.7+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)31.935.867.7-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)32.132.764.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.469.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.038.668.6-8.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.329.763.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (4)49.025.574.5+23.5100%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
3
Northwestern St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HLamar53-70
02/03/24AHouston Christian98-85
24/02/24ANicholls State70-85
20/02/24AIncarnate Word76-72 OT
17/02/24ATexas A&M-CC63-86
13/02/24HSE Louisiana77-79 OT
10/02/24HNew Orleans89-83
06/02/24AMcNeese State51-77
03/02/24ANorthwestern St.57-70
01/02/24HIncarnate Word71-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HNicholls State62-68
02/03/24HLamar77-82 OT
24/02/24AHouston Christian86-73
20/02/24ATexas A&M-CC61-72
17/02/24AIncarnate Word81-61
13/02/24HNew Orleans70-59
10/02/24HSE Louisiana59-69
06/02/24ANicholls State66-73
03/02/24HTX A&M Commerce70-57
30/01/24AMcNeese State65-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL37%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %37%50%25%
Points / game71.983.062.2
Allowed / game74.972.676.9
Point differential-2.9+10.4-14.6
Avg total146.8155.6139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %13%21%6%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLLWLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %30%43%19%
Points / game70.472.668.5
Allowed / game75.971.180.1
Point differential-5.5+1.5-11.6
Avg total146.3143.8148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State3128390%80.261.2+19.0
2 Texas A&M-CC30201067%75.866.5+9.3
3 Lamar31181358%78.773.3+5.4
4 Nicholls State30171357%73.474.8-1.4
5 Stephen F. Austin29151452%74.370.9+3.4
6 SE Louisiana30151550%69.670.4-0.8
7 TX A&M Commerce30111937%71.974.9-2.9
8 Northwestern St.3092130%70.475.9-5.5
9 New Orleans3192229%73.980.2-6.2
10 Incarnate Word3082227%72.978.8-5.9
11 UTRGV2962321%70.680.2-9.6
12 Houston Christian2962321%71.583.4-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
TX A&M Commerce31262683
Northwestern St.34232380
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