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Notre Dame vs Stonehill Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#37
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#327
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Notre Dame v Stonehill
28 Nov 2026
NOTR v STON
upcoming
06 Nov 2024
NOTR89
STON60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Villanova
#96
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A01/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
W
99-59
99
59
+40
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
44-41
20-23
48-50
22-54
34-46
38-44
43-37
37-45
41-41
33-30
36-47
31-35
43-37
38-23
45-33
46-33
48-37
50-28
49-31
156.3Avg total
80.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.564.2151.8+23.2100%
Season at home (3)92.061.7153.7+30.3100%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.675.7156.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)83.866.8150.6+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.179.3151.4-7.229%
vs Similar (9)72.973.7146.6-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.560.8150.2+28.8100%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
37-88
37
88
-51
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
21-32
32-24
45-44
54-33
49-44
30-30
32-32
39-32
42-39
19-23
32-33
47-23
37-33
30-30
33-53
36-34
19-41
21-43
16-45
138.7Avg total
67.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)59.875.5135.2-15.825%
Season at home (1)84.056.0140.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)51.782.0133.7-30.30%
Last 10 (10)67.471.3138.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)58.071.6129.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)57.876.2134.0-18.317%
vs Similar (17)61.465.4126.8-4.135%
vs Weaker (6)78.371.2149.5+7.250%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -7.0-7.0
Notre DameStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.835.569.3-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.235.471.6+0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)30.535.666.2-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.870.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.869.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.139.172.1-6.018%-
vs Similar (9)30.732.062.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.828.272.0+15.5100%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A14/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.430.560.9-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.528.663.1+5.958%-
Last 30 away (18)27.631.859.4-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.464.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.661.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.733.861.5-6.217%-
vs Similar (17)28.530.058.5-1.535%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.065.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
0
Stonehill wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Notre Dame v Stonehill89-60
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSouth Carolina St99-59
10/11/26HEastern Illinois94-70
06/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers83-56
01/11/26AVillanova74-72
07/03/26ABoston College69-77
05/03/26HStanford78-86
28/02/26HNC State96-90 OT
25/02/26HDuke56-100
21/02/26APittsburgh68-73
14/02/26HGeorgia Tech89-74
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas Tech37-88
10/11/26AColumbia55-75
06/11/26AFordham63-83
03/11/26HCurry84-56
07/03/26AMercyhurst Lakers51-56
05/03/26ALe Moyne81-71
28/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-75 OT
27/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)103-77
21/02/26HLe Moyne77-68
20/02/26ANew Haven Chargers51-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.592.074.0
Allowed / game64.261.772.0
Point differential+23.2+30.3+2.0
Avg total151.8153.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stonehill
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game59.884.051.7
Allowed / game75.556.082.0
Point differential-15.8+28.0-30.3
Avg total135.2140.0133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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