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Ohrid vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-80
26-20 21-23 12-25 13-12
Position#12
Record5-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#10
Record4-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game92.4
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 3· Biljanini Izvori Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ohrid v Vardar
17 Apr 2024
OHRI72
VARD80
16 Dec 2023
OHRI89
VARD81
01 May 2019
OHRI70
VARD73
08 Dec 2018
OHRI83
VARD80
25 Mar 2017
OHRI65
VARD77
21 Dec 2016
OHRI73
VARD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OhridMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOhrid
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#9
L
86-108
86
108
-22
71avg 64
A27/01
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 64
H07/02
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
55avg 64
A10/02
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 64
H02/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
84avg 64
H09/03
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
100-90
100
90
+10
95avg 64
A17/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
78-89 OT
78
89
-11
no box
H25/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
74-98
74
98
-24
65avg 64
A30/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 64
H05/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
59-91
59
91
-32
38avg 64
A13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
29-27
20-29
20-23
18-25
20-22
19-20
20-18
18-19
17-23
14-17
19-22
14-12
25-27
18-15
20-17
19-20
21-28
21-33
35-30
39-15
19-23
18-28
24-24
14-11
23-26
11-22
24-13
25-29
11-23
20-25
18-21
20-23
21-22
29-24
18-24
13-22
12-31
13-26
21-12
172.0Avg total
80.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.289.4164.6-14.121%
Season at home (12)77.784.9162.6-7.233%
Season away (12)72.893.8166.7-21.08%
Last 10 (10)80.391.7172.0-11.420%
Last 5 (5)79.892.2172.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.589.9161.4-18.415%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.382.6160.9-4.222%
vs Weaker (1)102.077.0179.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 63
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 63
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 63
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 63
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 63
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 63
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 63
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
62avg 63
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 63
A06/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
88avg 63
H13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-22
21-26
22-19
13-15
15-15
17-21
12-16
16-19
20-24
15-15
19-23
24-13
12-26
29-22
160.5Avg total
72.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.492.4166.8-18.017%
Season at home (12)76.892.8169.6-15.925%
Season away (12)72.092.0164.0-20.08%
Last 10 (10)72.188.4160.5-16.310%
Last 5 (5)75.281.6156.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.290.6158.8-22.44%
vs Similar ◀ (5)88.287.0175.2+1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
OhridVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OhridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#9
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A27/01
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H07/02
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/02
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/03
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A17/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A30/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A13/04
Prva Liga
85.2Avg total
39.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.444.381.8-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.441.479.9-3.025%-
Last 30 away (14)36.347.683.9-11.414%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.785.2-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.084.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.646.081.7-10.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.441.480.9-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/04
Prva Liga
76.3Avg total
34.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.845.981.7-10.114%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.746.482.1-10.715%-
Last 30 away (16)35.945.581.4-9.612%-
Last 10 (10)34.441.976.3-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.646.981.5-12.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.841.283.0+0.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ohridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ohrid: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.3
50.4%
53.9%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.8
30.2%
32.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.510.6
60.6%
70.3%10.6
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.5
49.7%
53.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.55.4
22.0%
32.2%16.2
🏀 Free throws19.012.1
63.7%
70.3%12.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ohrid
LLLLWLWLLL
Vardar
WLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#10
-11.8
Net rating
-20.5
99.8
Offensive rating
89.9
111.6
Defensive rating
110.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
43.7%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.2%
3-point %
22.0%
45.0%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 89.9Defence111.6 · 110.4Shooting48.8% · 43.7%3-point %30.2% · 22.0%Ball care16.9% · 21.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Ohrid   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohrid wins
6
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Ohrid v Vardar89-81
30/09/23Vardar v Ohrid90-83
18/05/19Vardar v Ohrid78-70 OT
01/05/19Ohrid v Vardar70-73
23/03/19Vardar v Ohrid76-68
08/12/18Ohrid v Vardar83-80
12/04/17Vardar v Ohrid86-78
25/03/17Ohrid v Vardar65-77
04/03/17Vardar v Ohrid80-93
21/12/16Ohrid v Vardar73-64
Ohridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AKozuv59-91
05/04/24HFMP Akademija88-93
30/03/24ACair 203074-98
25/03/24HTFT Skopje78-89 OT
17/03/24AFeniks 2010100-90
09/03/24HRabotnicki96-111
02/03/24HTikvesh77-71
10/02/24AMZT Skopje68-81
07/02/24HPelister77-85
27/01/24AGostivar86-108
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HFMP Akademija94-92 OT
06/04/24AKozuv63-74
31/03/24HTikvesh67-70
27/03/24AMZT Skopje78-86
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohrid
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game75.277.772.8
Allowed / game89.484.993.8
Point differential-14.1-7.2-21.0
Avg total164.6162.6166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%25%8%
Points / game74.476.872.0
Allowed / game92.492.892.0
Point differential-18.0-15.9-20.0
Avg total166.8169.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki2521484%90.875.7+15.1
2 MZT Skopje2420483%82.869.4+13.5
3 Pelister2519676%84.674.9+9.7
4 Cair 20302516964%83.478.4+5.0
5 TFT Skopje2516964%75.771.4+4.3
6 Tikvesh25141156%83.377.2+6.0
7 Feniks 201025121348%83.582.5+1.0
8 Gostivar2481633%81.085.5-4.5
9 Kozuv2471729%77.779.4-1.7
10 Ohrid2451921%75.289.4-14.1
11 FMP Akademija2451921%77.095.0-18.0
12 Vardar2442017%74.492.4-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ohrid2621121372
Vardar2023251280
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