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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-106
24-22 36-38 28-20 33-26
Position#10
Record21-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game105.3
vs
Position#17
Record14-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-110
108
110
-2
91avg 101
H20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
121-110
121
110
+11
116avg 101
A22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
117-112
117
112
+5
114avg 101
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 101
H26/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
106-94
106
94
+12
100avg 101
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
80-114
80
114
-34
59avg 101
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
114-88
114
88
+26
112avg 101
H01/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
94-98
94
98
-4
85avg 101
A03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
112-123
112
123
-11
101avg 101
A05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
116-118
116
118
-2
104avg 101
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
37-26
25-33
30-29
34-28
29-30
24-26
34-26
25-28
33-26
30-25
29-33
23-27
34-26
29-22
26-25
33-19
28-29
26-21
19-25
21-27
18-28
22-23
19-36
33-12
36-28
27-28
18-20
30-22
26-28
16-29
22-19
22-27
33-33
33-27
24-36
38-33
18-34
27-30
33-21
214.7Avg total
108.0Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)106.5105.3211.7+1.257%
Season at home (19)109.5102.1211.6+7.568%
Season away (18)103.2108.7211.9-5.444%
Last 10 (10)108.0106.7214.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)103.2108.2211.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)106.7107.7214.3-1.033%
vs Similar ◀ (22)106.1106.1212.3+0.055%
vs Weaker (5)113.0110.4223.4+2.640%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 98
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
117-107
117
107
+10
120avg 98
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 98
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 98
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 98
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 98
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 98
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 98
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
227.0Avg total
111.8Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)108.1110.9219.0-2.939%
Season at home (18)111.9113.9225.9-2.039%
Season away (18)104.2107.9212.1-3.739%
Last 10 (10)111.8115.2227.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)111.6120.2231.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.2126.8234.0-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)104.9108.4213.3-3.633%
vs Weaker (8)117.5112.9230.4+4.662%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H26/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
69-40
69
40
+29
H01/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A06/01
NBA
110.0Avg total
56.7Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.053.8107.8+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.751.3106.0+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)53.356.4109.7-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)56.753.3110.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)55.054.4109.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.761.7118.3-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)54.053.3107.4+0.755%-
vs Weaker (5)52.251.4103.6+0.840%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.0Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.8111.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.955.9112.9+1.047%-
Last 30 away (13)54.855.7110.5-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)57.057.2114.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.0114.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.866.0123.8-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.754.0108.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)58.154.9113.0+3.250%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.630.1
53.2%
50.2%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws27.721.1
76.2%
77.0%21.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.430.8
55.6%
50.2%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
77.0%17.8
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWLWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#17
+1.3
Net rating
-3.5
111.7
Offensive rating
113.6
110.4
Defensive rating
117.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
36.0%
51.3%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 113.6Defence110.4 · 117.0Shooting52.0% · 55.0%3-point %33.0% · 36.0%Ball care13.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 25.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/17AHouston Rockets116-118
05/01/17ACharlotte Hornets112-123
03/01/17AMilwaukee Bucks94-98
01/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers114-88
30/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies80-114
28/12/16AMiami Heat106-94
26/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves112-100
24/12/16ABoston Celtics117-112
22/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans121-110
20/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL57%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %57%68%44%
Points / game106.5109.5103.2
Allowed / game105.3102.1108.7
Point differential+1.2+7.5-5.4
Avg total211.7211.6211.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)38% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %11%16%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeLWLLL39%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %39%39%39%
Points / game108.1111.9104.2
Allowed / game110.9113.9107.9
Point differential-2.9-2.0-3.7
Avg total219.0225.9212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%28%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3731684%117.5105.7+11.9
2 San Antonio Spurs3629781%106.197.9+8.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3527877%110.0103.2+6.8
4 Houston Rockets3829976%114.3106.6+7.7
5 Toronto Raptors35241169%110.0103.1+6.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers39251464%108.2102.9+5.3
7 Boston Celtics37231462%106.8104.4+2.4
8 Utah Jazz37221559%99.095.3+3.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies39231659%99.699.1+0.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder37211657%106.5105.3+1.2
11 Atlanta Hawks36201656%102.4103.3-0.9
12 Charlotte Hornets37201754%105.8103.6+2.2
13 Indiana Pacers38201853%105.8106.2-0.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks35181751%105.1102.8+2.3
15 Chicago Bulls36181850%101.2100.7+0.4
16 Washington Wizards35171849%105.4106.1-0.7
17 New York Knicks37172046%105.7108.8-3.1
18 Detroit Pistons38172145%99.699.7-0.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers38162242%107.8111.2-3.4
20 Orlando Magic38162242%99.0103.5-4.5
21 Sacramento Kings36152142%102.2104.6-2.5
22 Denver Nuggets36142239%108.1110.9-2.9
23 New Orleans Pelicans38142437%102.2105.6-3.4
24 Los Angeles Lakers40142635%105.2110.1-4.9
25 Phoenix Suns37122532%105.6111.7-6.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves36112531%103.4105.2-1.8
27 Dallas Mavericks36112531%95.6100.8-5.2
28 Miami Heat38112729%98.4102.4-4.0
29 Philadelphia 76ers3492526%99.1106.2-7.1
30 Brooklyn Nets3582723%105.7114.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder24362833121
Denver Nuggets22382026106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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