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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 132-111
27-27 36-21 41-26 28-37
Position#1
Record21-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game122.3
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#24
Record8-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Dallas Mavericks
17 Mar 2027
OKC v DAL
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
OKC v DAL
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
OKC132
DAL111
23 Jan 2025
OKC115
DAL121
10 Dec 2024
OKC118
DAL104
17 Nov 2024
OKC119
DAL121
15 May 2024
OKC92
DAL104
09 May 2024
OKC110
DAL119
07 May 2024
OKC117
DAL95
14 Apr 2024
OKC135
DAL86
14 Mar 2024
OKC126
DAL119
08 Jan 2023
OKC120
DAL109
02 Jan 2022
OKC86
DAL95
12 Dec 2021
OKC84
DAL103
29 Mar 2021
OKC106
DAL127
11 Mar 2021
OKC116
DAL108
27 Jan 2020
OKC97
DAL107
31 Dec 2019
OKC106
DAL101
31 Mar 2019
OKC103
DAL106
31 Dec 2018
OKC122
DAL102
31 Dec 2017
OKC113
DAL116
12 Nov 2017
OKC112
DAL99
26 Jan 2017
OKC109
DAL98
25 Apr 2016
OKC118
DAL104
18 Apr 2016
OKC84
DAL85
16 Apr 2016
OKC108
DAL70
13 Jan 2016
OKC108
DAL89
22 Nov 2015
OKC117
DAL114
01 Apr 2015
OKC131
DAL135
19 Feb 2015
OKC104
DAL89
16 Mar 2014
OKC86
DAL109
06 Nov 2013
OKC107
DAL93
04 Feb 2013
OKC112
DAL91
27 Dec 2012
OKC111
DAL105
30 Apr 2012
OKC102
DAL99
28 Apr 2012
OKC99
DAL98
05 Mar 2012
OKC95
DAL91
29 Dec 2011
OKC104
DAL102
20 Dec 2011
OKC87
DAL83
23 May 2011
OKC105
DAL112
21 May 2011
OKC87
DAL93
27 Dec 2010
OKC93
DAL103
24 Nov 2010
OKC103
DAL111
16 Feb 2010
OKC99
DAL86
16 Dec 2009
OKC86
DAL100
02 Mar 2009
OKC96
DAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
121-92
121
92
+29
117avg 111
H13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
109-96
109
96
+13
107avg 111
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
126-109
126
109
+17
120avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-99
113
99
+14
105avg 111
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
142avg 111
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
126avg 111
H24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
113-105
113
105
+8
102avg 111
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
123-119
123
119
+4
115avg 111
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
123-115
123
115
+8
118avg 111
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
124-112
124
112
+12
122avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
40-20
30-26
21-28
30-30
25-22
32-18
22-26
49-24
20-32
36-24
21-29
27-25
31-25
25-19
30-30
30-44
37-24
43-20
34-24
39-18
28-28
29-22
26-27
24-17
25-22
29-32
35-34
25-25
31-27
38-30
29-37
24-19
30-36
31-32
38-28
32-26
31-18
28-44
33-24
227.2Avg total
121.8Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)122.3107.0229.2+15.395%
Season at home (10)121.4105.1226.5+16.3100%
Season away (12)123.0108.5231.5+14.592%
Last 10 (10)121.8105.4227.2+16.4100%
Last 5 (5)121.0109.2230.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)119.3106.4225.7+12.987%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
138-133 OT
138
133
+5
132avg 103
H17/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 103
A18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
111-113
111
113
-2
105avg 103
H20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
118-115
118
115
+3
117avg 103
H22/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
96-102
96
102
-6
79avg 103
H23/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
102-106
102
106
-4
89avg 103
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
119-129
119
129
-10
111avg 103
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
114-110
114
110
+4
99avg 103
A30/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
131-121
131
121
+10
130avg 103
A02/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
118-108
118
108
+10
119avg 103
H04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-37
28-24
28-30
33-27
21-34
23-27
22-37
30-22
25-24
25-28
35-35
26-26
25-34
24-29
36-22
33-30
22-21
25-22
26-33
23-26
19-20
25-32
28-28
30-26
22-28
40-32
32-38
25-31
25-28
24-28
34-27
31-27
27-41
42-27
33-36
29-17
28-33
36-21
29-26
25-28
230.0Avg total
114.3Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)111.4115.7227.2-4.335%
Season at home (14)112.4115.8228.2-3.436%
Season away (9)109.9115.7225.6-5.833%
Last 10 (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)116.8114.8231.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)110.8120.2231.0-9.426%
vs Similar (9)108.8108.6217.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (2)109.0111.0220.0-2.050%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
Oklahoma City ThunderDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
70-38
70
38
+32
H13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A03/12
NBA
110.8Avg total
60.8Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.3110.1+7.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.546.7106.2+12.980%-
Last 30 away (15)58.155.9114.0+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)60.850.0110.8+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)57.847.2105.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)58.851.3110.1+7.567%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H17/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H22/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A30/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A02/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H04/12
NBA
110.5Avg total
53.5Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.957.6111.6-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.155.5109.6-1.425%-
Last 30 away (14)53.860.1113.9-6.336%-
Last 10 (10)53.557.0110.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.0115.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)53.259.6112.7-6.421%-
vs Similar (9)55.454.0109.4+1.444%-
vs Weaker (2)54.555.5110.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 121.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.230.4
58.2%
54.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.5
40.4%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws25.320.5
81.0%
78.1%20.5
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.327.6
50.8%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.7
38.0%
35.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws23.518.0
76.6%
78.1%18.0
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#24
+16.1
Net rating
-1.3
119.3
Offensive rating
110.0
103.2
Defensive rating
111.3
59.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.4%
3-point %
38.0%
62.0%
Assist %
62.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 110.0Defence103.2 · 111.3Shooting59.2% · 53.3%3-point %40.4% · 38.0%Ball care12.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds19.6% · 23.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25AGolden State Warriors124-112
30/11/25APortland Trail Blazers123-115
29/11/25HPhoenix Suns123-119
27/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves113-105
24/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers122-95
22/11/25AUtah Jazz144-112
20/11/25HSacramento Kings113-99
18/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans126-109
16/11/25ACharlotte Hornets109-96
13/11/25HLos Angeles Lakers121-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HMiami Heat118-108
02/12/25ADenver Nuggets131-121
30/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers114-110
29/11/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-129
25/11/25AMiami Heat102-106
23/11/25HMemphis Grizzlies96-102
22/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans118-115
20/11/25HNew York Knicks111-113
18/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves96-120
17/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers138-133 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %95%100%92%
Points / game122.3121.4123.0
Allowed / game107.0105.1108.5
Point differential+15.3+16.3+14.5
Avg total229.2226.5231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW35%
HomeWLWLW36%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game111.4112.4109.9
Allowed / game115.7115.8115.7
Point differential-4.3-3.4-5.8
Avg total227.2228.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2221195%122.3107.0+15.3
2 Detroit Pistons2318578%118.5113.3+5.2
3 Houston Rockets2015575%121.5109.7+11.8
4 Denver Nuggets2216673%125.5116.8+8.7
5 Los Angeles Lakers2216673%118.6116.5+2.1
6 New York Knicks2215768%121.4113.0+8.4
7 San Antonio Spurs2215768%118.9114.5+4.4
8 Minnesota Timberwolves2214864%120.8115.5+5.3
9 Toronto Raptors2415962%116.5113.5+3.0
10 Boston Celtics2314961%117.1110.5+6.6
11 Miami Heat2314961%122.8117.9+4.9
12 Orlando Magic2314961%118.6113.9+4.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers2213959%117.3116.3+1.0
14 Cleveland Cavaliers24141058%119.6116.1+3.5
15 Phoenix Suns23131057%116.2113.8+2.4
16 Atlanta Hawks24131154%117.5116.5+1.0
17 Golden State Warriors23111248%113.7113.4+0.3
18 Memphis Grizzlies23101343%113.3116.1-2.8
19 Milwaukee Bucks24101442%115.2117.7-2.5
20 Chicago Bulls2291341%118.5122.5-4.0
21 Portland Trail Blazers2391439%118.3120.7-2.4
22 Utah Jazz2281436%118.4125.6-7.2
23 Dallas Mavericks2381535%111.4115.7-4.3
24 Charlotte Hornets2371630%114.6118.4-3.9
25 Los Angeles Clippers2361726%111.8117.1-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets2251723%109.0118.0-9.0
27 Sacramento Kings2251723%111.0122.8-11.8
28 Indiana Pacers2351822%111.0119.4-8.4
29 Washington Wizards2131814%112.2128.1-15.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2332013%112.7123.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder27364128132
Dallas Mavericks27212637111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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