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Olimpia Milano vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-76
16-17 21-18 23-23 22-18
Position#12
Record8-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.5
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#18
Record3-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin
14 Jan 2025
MIL100
ABE68
09 Jan 2024
MIL82
ABE76
14 Oct 2022
MIL74
ABE80
18 Jan 2022
MIL84
ABE76
01 Dec 2020
MIL75
ABE55
03 Feb 2016
MIL91
ABE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 77
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 77
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
85avg 77
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 77
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 77
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
22-21
17-19
22-27
17-18
22-21
17-18
18-13
22-21
24-15
21-12
17-13
24-22
17-19
15-18
12-17
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
20-12
26-19
14-17
16-19
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
19-12
15-15
16-20
26-15
14-25
24-16
19-14
22-19
145.7Avg total
75.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.676.5155.1+2.242%
Season at home (10)77.070.0147.0+7.060%
Season away (9)80.483.7164.1-3.222%
Last 10 (10)75.969.8145.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)73.870.8144.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.582.0151.5-12.50%
vs Similar (17)79.375.4154.7+3.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.474.1153.5+5.355%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 78
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
71avg 78
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 78
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 78
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
57avg 78
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 78
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
64avg 78
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 78
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 78
A07/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
22-25
20-26
11-20
18-14
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
26-24
21-27
12-21
23-19
25-19
18-21
8-27
16-27
34-19
26-26
20-25
21-20
25-22
16-26
11-13
19-16
9-26
18-22
24-15
17-20
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
162.8Avg total
78.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.385.6160.8-10.316%
Season at home (10)76.884.2161.0-7.430%
Season away (9)73.687.1160.7-13.60%
Last 10 (10)78.684.2162.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)76.888.2165.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.785.9161.6-10.217%
vs Similar (3)95.790.0185.7+5.767%
vs Weaker (9)89.482.2171.7+7.267%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
Olimpia MilanoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Lega A
74.4Avg total
39.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.277.4+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.835.977.7+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.577.1+0.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.074.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.471.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.541.583.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (17)40.537.578.1+3.059%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.435.975.3+3.564%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
86.4Avg total
42.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.185.7-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.185.0-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.345.186.4-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.086.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.885.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.245.183.3-6.911%-
vs Similar (3)55.346.0101.3+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (9)43.941.485.3+2.456%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.510.4
77.0%
77.4%10.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.4
48.5%
53.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.1
38.7%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
77.4%15.5
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWLWWW
Alba Berlin
LLLWLLWWLW
#12
League position
#18
+8.9
Net rating
-7.8
106.5
Offensive rating
105.0
97.5
Defensive rating
112.8
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
38.7%
60.1%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 105.0Defence97.5 · 112.8Shooting53.2% · 52.3%3-point %35.4% · 38.7%Ball care17.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano85-82
10/01/23Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-63
14/10/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin74-80 OT
18/01/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin84-76
03/12/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano81-76
14/01/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano70-84
01/12/20Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin75-55
03/02/16Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin91-78
06/01/16Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-67
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ATrento79-74
05/01/24HBayern76-62
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
28/12/23HBaskonia76-67
24/12/23HCremona74-51
22/12/23HPanathinaikos68-76
20/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne84-61
17/12/23AVarese74-70
15/12/23ABarcelona90-86
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
05/01/24HVirtus Bologna68-83
02/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas71-77
31/12/23HChemnitz101-90
29/12/23HOlympiacos67-94
22/12/23HFenerbahce82-91
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
14/12/23ACrvena zvezda71-85
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game78.677.080.4
Allowed / game76.570.083.7
Point differential+2.2+7.0-3.2
Avg total155.1147.0164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL16%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%30%0%
Points / game75.376.873.6
Allowed / game85.684.287.1
Point differential-10.3-7.4-13.6
Avg total160.8161.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%89.377.3+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%82.679.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1913668%82.879.3+3.5
4 Fenerbahce2012860%83.680.8+2.8
5 Panathinaikos2012860%81.779.2+2.5
6 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
8 Monaco2011955%81.579.9+1.6
9 Valencia1910953%75.975.6+0.4
10 Partizan20101050%84.384.3-0.1
11 Baskonia20101050%82.083.0-1.1
12 Olimpia Milano1981142%78.676.5+2.2
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Bayern2081240%78.581.9-3.5
15 Anadolu Efes2071335%83.589.3-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
18 Alba Berlin1931616%75.385.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1621232282
Alba Berlin1718231876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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