PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-76
22-24 16-16 22-19 24-17
Position#3
Record11-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.9
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#14
Record6-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin
14 Jan 2025
MIL100
ABE68
09 Jan 2024
MIL82
ABE76
14 Oct 2022
MIL74
ABE80
18 Jan 2022
MIL84
ABE76
01 Dec 2020
MIL75
ABE55
03 Feb 2016
MIL91
ABE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 73
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 73
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 73
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 73
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 73
H16/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 73
A19/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
72-60
72
60
+12
69avg 73
H09/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
A11/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
no box
A16/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
18-6
22-13
30-13
26-14
13-13
18-17
14-21
15-12
17-20
20-17
24-13
15-19
18-10
24-13
18-12
19-18
8-17
21-20
25-20
14-16
24-22
21-15
9-18
24-21
30-24
21-20
20-30
4-19
28-12
19-16
21-13
14-14
20-14
13-26
28-19
20-24
18-16
17-12
22-25
147.0Avg total
77.3Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.071.9146.9+3.165%
Season at home (9)76.671.4148.0+5.178%
Season away (8)73.272.5145.8+0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.369.7147.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)79.877.6157.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.372.7147.0+1.767%
vs Similar (10)76.875.9152.7+0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)80.868.3149.1+12.582%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
82avg 78
H05/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
67-82
67
82
-15
53avg 78
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 78
H12/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
50avg 78
A14/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 78
H17/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#14
W
83-81
83
81
+2
82avg 78
A19/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 78
A27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
96-61
96
61
+35
no box
H31/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
89avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
16-20
31-14
19-16
25-30
18-13
9-14
15-25
22-16
16-25
18-19
17-20
16-19
10-24
20-17
18-27
21-23
27-25
25-21
17-24
19-22
21-21
18-20
25-18
23-21
17-9
29-26
23-28
26-20
28-26
26-19
29-14
31-12
24-20
24-11
17-18
26-24
15-22
19-15
28-19
163.4Avg total
84.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.681.1156.6-5.535%
Season at home (9)79.281.3160.6-2.144%
Season away (8)71.580.8152.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)84.578.9163.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)93.677.0170.6+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.284.6160.9-8.425%
vs Similar (8)76.475.6152.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (13)84.172.3156.4+11.877%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
Olimpia MilanoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H16/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/01
Lega A
68.6Avg total
35.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.974.0+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.934.875.7+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.135.172.1+2.043%-
Last 10 (10)35.433.268.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
vs Similar (10)42.336.378.6+6.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.134.572.6+3.653%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H17/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H31/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/01
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.378.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.076.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.580.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.482.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.485.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.042.481.4-3.438%-
vs Similar (8)36.237.273.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker (13)41.338.780.0+2.654%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.6
48.9%
52.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.112.2
75.8%
77.2%12.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.5
36.6%
35.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.511.4
78.6%
77.2%11.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWWWWLLLLW
#3
League position
#14
+7.3
Net rating
+7.3
106.0
Offensive rating
112.8
98.7
Defensive rating
105.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.7%
3-point %
36.6%
51.3%
Assist %
69.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 112.8Defence98.7 · 105.5Shooting49.6% · 54.7%3-point %33.7% · 36.6%Ball care16.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.1% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
03/12/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano81-76
14/01/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano70-84
01/12/20Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin75-55
03/02/16Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin91-78
06/01/16Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-67
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22APesaro82-85 OT
11/01/22ABarcelona75-73
09/01/22HTortona72-60
05/01/22HVirtus Bologna102-99 OT
19/12/21ATrieste68-71
16/12/21HReal Madrid73-75
14/12/21HPanathinaikos75-54
12/12/21HBrescia76-62
10/12/21AMonaco71-65
05/12/21ABrindisi79-53
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/22AHamburg88-80
31/12/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg96-61
27/12/21ABayreuth109-79
22/12/21HMonaco92-84
19/12/21AHeidelberg83-81
17/12/21HCSKA Moscow90-93
14/12/21AReal Madrid64-87
12/12/21HBayern73-80
10/12/21APanathinaikos67-82
05/12/21HChemnitz83-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game75.076.673.2
Allowed / game71.971.472.5
Point differential+3.1+5.1+0.8
Avg total146.9148.0145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW35%
HomeLWWLW44%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game75.679.271.5
Allowed / game81.181.380.8
Point differential-5.5-2.1-9.2
Avg total156.6160.6152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1815383%79.971.9+8.0
2 Barcelona2016480%83.977.0+7.0
3 Olympiacos1812667%81.273.4+7.8
4 Zenit Petersburg1812667%73.871.9+1.9
5 Olimpia Milano1711665%75.071.9+3.1
6 CSKA Moscow1912763%80.778.9+1.8
7 Unics Kazan1811761%79.074.6+4.4
8 Anadolu Efes1991047%82.079.3+2.7
9 Monaco2091145%82.482.4+0.0
10 Fenerbahce1881044%76.974.7+2.3
11 Bayern1981142%74.575.8-1.3
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne1981142%73.980.1-6.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1871139%77.678.7-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda1871139%72.273.7-1.5
15 Baskonia1971237%72.279.1-6.8
16 Alba Berlin1761135%75.681.1-5.5
17 Panathinaikos1841422%72.680.2-7.6
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1731418%70.180.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2216222484
Alba Berlin2416191776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.