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Olimpia Milano vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-74
27-12 16-19 29-19 19-24
Position#2
Record8-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#12
Record5-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.8
ItalyLega ARound 13· Unipol Forum
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Cremona
29 Dec 2025
MIL91
CRE74
18 Apr 2025
MIL118
CRE83
24 Dec 2023
MIL74
CRE51
13 Apr 2022
MIL70
CRE61
10 May 2021
MIL74
CRE66
09 Feb 2020
MIL77
CRE74
25 Nov 2018
MIL76
CRE75
22 Jan 2018
MIL82
CRE80
19 Mar 2017
MIL86
CRE78
24 Sep 2016
MIL109
CRE87
24 Apr 2016
MIL81
CRE77
25 Jan 2015
MIL94
CRE61
26 Dec 2013
MIL81
CRE66
16 Mar 2013
MIL78
CRE81
04 Dec 2011
MIL80
CRE66
12 May 2011
MIL92
CRE74
20 Dec 2009
MIL80
CRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 80
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
102-88
102
88
+14
102avg 80
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 80
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 80
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 80
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 80
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 80
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 80
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 80
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 80
A23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
20-14
24-26
17-16
27-25
27-23
25-14
23-26
20-23
22-26
12-21
24-18
26-23
26-25
16-25
26-17
21-26
33-18
26-15
16-30
21-11
14-24
23-14
16-14
23-21
27-18
16-21
23-22
11-19
21-21
23-16
17-31
29-22
25-25
15-23
25-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
173.4Avg total
87.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.577.6164.1+8.967%
Season at home (6)84.577.3161.8+7.267%
Season away (6)88.577.8166.3+10.767%
Last 10 (10)87.386.1173.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)84.284.0168.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.587.5179.0+4.075%
vs Similar (14)82.483.6166.1-1.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.078.3165.3+8.767%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
87avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
83-91
83
91
-8
66avg 75
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 75
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
83avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
113-94
113
94
+19
110avg 75
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
76-102
76
102
-26
70avg 75
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 75
H21/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-7
32-20
13-19
28-30
26-12
19-15
23-22
24-23
20-24
18-22
21-22
17-24
28-20
24-22
23-17
28-22
20-28
23-26
19-20
27-22
23-24
35-23
28-25
21-23
19-14
14-22
18-24
17-22
22-17
24-18
16-30
17-20
18-34
22-21
19-27
20-22
16-23
14-19
21-12
171.8Avg total
85.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.384.8169.1-0.442%
Season at home (6)88.382.3170.7+6.067%
Season away (6)80.387.2167.5-6.817%
Last 10 (10)85.886.0171.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)82.288.4170.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.287.5165.8-9.219%
vs Similar (13)87.385.8173.2+1.562%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Olimpia MilanoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
91.3Avg total
46.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.685.2+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.385.5+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.084.8+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)46.345.091.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.487.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.590.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)41.441.182.4+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.241.386.6+3.958%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/12
Lega A
86.6Avg total
43.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.083.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.587.5+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.578.6-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.486.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.284.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.442.682.0-3.238%-
vs Similar (13)42.541.984.5+0.654%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.3
50.9%
54.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.3
40.5%
34.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.717.8
82.0%
76.1%17.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.7
55.5%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.7
33.3%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
76.1%14.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWWLWL
Cremona
LLLLWLWLWW
#2
League position
#12
+1.6
Net rating
+2.1
116.8
Offensive rating
111.3
115.2
Defensive rating
109.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.5%
3-point %
33.3%
62.9%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 111.3Defence115.2 · 109.3Shooting55.3% · 52.9%3-point %40.5% · 33.3%Ball care16.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Cremona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ADubai92-99
20/12/25ACantu94-89
18/12/25HFenerbahce72-87
16/12/25HReal Madrid89-82
14/12/25HVirtus Bologna74-63
11/12/25HPanathinaikos96-89
07/12/25HTrento94-90
05/12/25ABaskonia78-88
26/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv102-88
23/11/25ATrieste82-86
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HTortona71-76
14/12/25ABasket Napoli76-102
08/12/25HVarese79-87
21/11/25ABrescia72-83
15/11/25HTrieste113-94
09/11/25ATrapani90-96
06/11/25HTrento92-83
02/11/25ACantu83-91
26/10/25HTreviso96-79
20/10/25AVirtus Bologna86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.584.588.5
Allowed / game77.677.377.8
Point differential+8.9+7.2+10.7
Avg total164.1161.8166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%67%17%
Points / game84.388.380.3
Allowed / game84.882.387.2
Point differential-0.4+6.0-6.8
Avg total169.1170.7167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1311285%90.282.8+7.4
2 Virtus Bologna1210283%86.878.8+8.0
3 Trapani1310377%90.186.3+3.8
4 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
5 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
6 Olimpia Milano128467%86.577.6+8.9
7 Trieste126650%85.290.2-4.9
8 Basket Napoli136746%87.187.1+0.0
9 Cremona125742%84.384.8-0.4
10 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
11 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
12 Sassari135838%86.388.5-2.2
13 Varese135838%82.286.8-4.7
14 Reggiana1331023%79.884.7-4.8
15 Cantu1331023%83.492.2-8.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2716291991
Cremona1219192474
← all games of the day
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