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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-63
21-11 14-24 23-14 16-14
Position#2
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 11· Unipol Forum
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 81
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 81
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
102-88
102
88
+14
102avg 81
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 81
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 81
H11/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
21-16
21-16
20-18
18-9
22-23
16-19
24-21
27-21
20-22
20-13
21-31
15-21
23-23
22-21
20-21
25-25
20-24
19-27
19-29
21-30
20-14
24-26
17-16
27-25
27-23
25-14
23-26
20-23
22-26
12-21
24-18
26-23
26-25
16-25
26-17
21-26
33-18
26-15
16-30
172.4Avg total
87.0Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.077.9164.9+9.160%
Season at home (5)86.680.2166.8+6.460%
Season away (5)87.475.6163.0+11.860%
Last 10 (10)87.085.4172.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)90.488.2178.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.389.3181.7+3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.982.1164.1-0.243%
vs Weaker (12)86.777.2163.9+9.467%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
78avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
99-89
99
89
+10
104avg 79
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
80avg 79
A14/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
101-79
101
79
+22
102avg 79
A17/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
102avg 79
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
64avg 79
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
69avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 79
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-15
21-19
24-27
28-24
20-21
28-28
23-16
19-20
24-25
24-16
14-27
26-25
25-20
18-9
32-25
26-24
30-21
24-21
19-23
24-15
23-20
23-21
19-21
17-15
14-15
16-20
17-16
26-17
13-27
15-12
25-22
20-20
28-15
32-22
12-20
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
165.8Avg total
85.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.379.6168.9+9.790%
Season at home (5)87.280.0167.2+7.280%
Season away (5)91.479.2170.6+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.880.0165.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)79.675.4155.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.879.6157.3-1.844%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.882.8168.6+3.070%
vs Weaker (10)89.379.6168.9+9.790%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/12
Euroleague
88.9Avg total
45.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.384.5+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.986.6+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)42.040.782.7+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)45.943.088.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.646.695.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.746.391.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.940.181.9+1.857%-
vs Weaker (12)44.741.185.8+3.658%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A14/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A17/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
44.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.181.6+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.137.980.9+5.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.382.2+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.283.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.738.978.6+0.856%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.841.784.5+1.140%-
vs Weaker (10)44.436.480.8+8.090%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.2
56.0%
54.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.4
37.5%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
76.1%16.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.619.0
58.3%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.3
40.2%
34.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
76.1%13.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLLLWWW
Virtus Bologna
LWWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#1
+2.7
Net rating
+8.7
117.5
Offensive rating
119.1
114.8
Defensive rating
110.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
59.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
40.2%
67.2%
Assist %
72.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 119.1Defence114.8 · 110.4Shooting56.1% · 59.2%3-point %37.5% · 40.2%Ball care17.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HPanathinaikos96-89
07/12/25HTrento94-90
05/12/25ABaskonia78-88
26/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv102-88
23/11/25ATrieste82-86
20/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv83-105
16/11/25HTrapani80-86
14/11/25HOlympiacos88-87
12/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne80-72
09/11/25HTreviso87-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79
08/12/25HTortona92-77
05/12/25HDubai79-78
25/11/25AFenerbahce64-66
23/11/25ACantu89-77
21/11/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-89
17/11/25ATreviso101-79
14/11/25ABarcelona81-88
11/11/25HAnadolu Efes99-89
09/11/25HReggiana80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game87.086.687.4
Allowed / game77.980.275.6
Point differential+9.1+6.4+11.8
Avg total164.9166.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%80%100%
Points / game89.387.291.4
Allowed / game79.680.079.2
Point differential+9.7+7.2+12.2
Avg total168.9167.2170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1110191%90.381.6+8.6
2 Trapani1110191%91.484.1+7.3
3 Virtus Bologna109190%89.379.6+9.7
4 Venezia118373%92.886.3+6.5
5 Tortona117464%91.091.1-0.1
6 Olimpia Milano106460%87.077.9+9.1
7 Trieste116555%86.790.7-4.0
8 Trento115645%86.783.5+3.3
9 Cremona115645%85.585.5+0.0
10 Basket Napoli115645%85.385.5-0.2
11 Udine113827%79.581.8-2.3
12 Sassari113827%84.489.4-5.0
13 Varese113827%80.888.4-7.5
14 Cantu113827%82.691.5-8.9
15 Reggiana112918%81.386.5-5.3
16 Treviso112918%83.693.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2114231674
Virtus Bologna1124141463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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