PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-78
19-17 21-19 20-25 30-17
Position#11
Record10-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game86.5
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Darussafaka
Position#16
Record3-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game84.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2018
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Darussafaka
08 Feb 2019
MIL90
DAR78
02 Feb 2017
MIL89
DAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
A01/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
21-22
25-11
22-27
16-17
21-19
20-29
28-25
22-23
23-30
23-24
19-16
23-13
13-22
16-21
25-17
21-16
28-26
10-20
16-18
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
–
–
–
–
156.6Avg total
78.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.386.5173.8+0.848%
Season at home (10)86.585.9172.4+0.650%
Season away (11)88.087.0175.0+1.045%
Last 10 (10)78.278.4156.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)74.474.0148.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.091.0176.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)83.383.7167.0-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.379.8167.2+7.569%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A11/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
11-25
18-19
20-24
20-25
23-20
22-17
29-25
16-25
18-19
15-16
16-20
14-16
28-20
11-22
21-17
17-12
15-18
20-24
17-22
14-21
11-24
20-21
23-16
21-29
24-18
18-14
17-14
13-14
17-13
17-19
18-16
16-23
22-30
21-19
23-14
19-23
18-24
18-13
24-19
156.3Avg total
74.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.984.4159.2-9.514%
Season at home (11)76.579.3155.7-2.827%
Season away (10)73.190.0163.1-16.90%
Last 10 (10)74.881.5156.3-6.730%
Last 5 (5)76.280.0156.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.486.9161.3-12.612%
vs Similar (8)76.976.4153.2+0.538%
vs Weaker (5)84.878.2163.0+6.660%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
Olimpia MilanoDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
40.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.240.782.9+1.662%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.438.579.9+2.869%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.485.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (9)40.739.980.6+0.856%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (15)40.739.880.5+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.441.886.2+2.658%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.1Avg total
35.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.479.7-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.382.3-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)35.641.577.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.878.1-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.878.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.144.681.8-7.524%-
vs Similar (8)39.136.575.6+2.650%-
vs Weaker (5)41.238.279.4+3.080%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.2
53.3%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
37.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.119.5
77.7%
76.7%19.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.2
49.1%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.3
32.6%
37.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.2
76.7%
76.7%12.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLWLLW
Darussafaka
LLWWLLLLWL
#11
League position
#16
+3.6
Net rating
-10.0
115.1
Offensive rating
101.0
111.5
Defensive rating
111.0
54.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
32.6%
53.3%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 101.0Defence111.5 · 111.0Shooting54.2% · 49.0%3-point %36.9% · 32.6%Ball care16.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
15/11/18Darussafaka v Olimpia Milano92-98
02/02/17Olimpia Milano v Darussafaka89-87
20/10/16Darussafaka v Olimpia Milano80-81
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/19APistoia0-20
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
18/01/19ABaskonia75-80
13/01/19ATrieste77-73
11/01/19ABayern87-93
09/01/19HBarcelona85-90
06/01/19HTrento86-78
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/19HAnadolu Efes86-95 OT
01/02/19HReal Madrid82-86
28/01/19AGaziantep65-62
25/01/19HBaskonia80-75
18/01/19AAnadolu Efes68-82
14/01/19ABuyukcekmece69-76
11/01/19ABuducnost74-75
09/01/19HCSKA Moscow65-80
07/01/19HTurk Telekom94-87
04/01/19ABarcelona65-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game87.386.588.0
Allowed / game86.585.987.0
Point differential+0.8+0.6+1.0
Avg total173.8172.4175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLWLWL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%27%0%
Points / game74.976.573.1
Allowed / game84.479.390.0
Point differential-9.5-2.8-16.9
Avg total159.2155.7163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)29% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2219386%84.074.9+9.2
2 Real Madrid2217577%85.876.6+9.2
3 CSKA Moscow2217577%86.880.6+6.2
4 Anadolu Efes2214864%85.480.2+5.1
5 Barcelona2213959%78.376.4+1.9
6 Olympiacos22121055%78.376.8+1.5
7 Baskonia22111150%81.780.0+1.7
8 Bayern22111150%79.280.3-1.1
9 Olimpia Milano21101148%87.386.5+0.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.380.1-0.9
11 Khimki M.2291341%77.779.0-1.3
12 Panathinaikos2291341%77.379.7-2.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%77.679.6-2.0
14 Gran Canaria2261627%78.887.8-9.0
15 Buducnost2261627%74.584.4-9.9
16 Darussafaka2131814%74.984.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1921203090
Darussafaka1719251778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.