Olimpia Milano will host Fenerbahce on 19 November 2026 in the EuroLeague, with the model designating Fenerbahce as the favourite and predicting a 63% chance of a win for the Turkish side versus 37% for the Italian club, who are 1-10 in the league with an average of 81.3 points scored and 89.3 allowed; their home record is 1-5, 85.0 points per game and 90.5 allowed, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 88-86 victory over Trento but a 83-86 loss to Zalgiris Kaunas, while Fenerbahce sits 7-4 overall, 82.9 points scored and 78.6 allowed, yet struggles on the road with a 1-4 record, 80.2 points per game and 89.0 allowed, and has won three of their last five, notably a 78-59 win over Bursaspor; the teams have met ten times, with Fenerbahce winning six and the most recent encounter on 20 March 2026 ending 79-75 in favour of the Turkish club. The projected score is 80-84, a total of 164.4 points, and the home team line of 5.5 gives a 56% probability of covering; the over/under line of 167.5 carries a 42% chance of the over, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 81.3 | 89.3 | 170.5 | -8.0 | 9% |
| Season at home (6) | 85.0 | 90.5 | 175.5 | -5.5 | 17% |
| Season away (5) | 76.8 | 87.8 | 164.6 | -11.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.2 | 87.2 | 173.4 | -1.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 84.4 | 167.8 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 81.5 | 89.2 | 170.8 | -7.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 86.2 | 87.8 | 174.0 | -1.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 88.6 | 79.8 | 168.4 | +8.9 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 82.9 | 78.6 | 161.5 | +4.3 | 64% |
| Season at home (6) | 85.2 | 70.0 | 155.2 | +15.2 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 80.2 | 89.0 | 169.2 | -8.8 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.5 | 77.3 | 159.8 | +5.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 81.4 | 168.4 | +5.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 68.5 | 87.0 | 155.5 | -18.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 81.5 | 78.9 | 160.4 | +2.6 | 69% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 90.5 | 77.0 | 167.5 | +13.5 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.6 | 42.5 | 87.1 | +2.2 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 47.7 | 41.9 | 89.6 | +5.8 | 62% | 81% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.1 | 43.1 | 84.3 | -2.0 | 29% | 36% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.8 | 43.9 | 88.7 | +0.9 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 44.8 | 90.6 | +1.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 40.5 | 45.5 | 86.0 | -5.0 | 0% | 62% |
| vs Similar (6) | 43.2 | 42.0 | 85.2 | +1.2 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 47.2 | 41.1 | 88.4 | +6.1 | 69% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 39.9 | 81.6 | +1.8 | 53% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.9 | 37.9 | 78.8 | +3.1 | 64% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.4 | 41.8 | 84.1 | +0.6 | 44% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.3 | 38.1 | 76.4 | +0.2 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 41.6 | 87.0 | +3.8 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 33.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | -7.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (16) | 38.8 | 41.3 | 80.1 | -2.6 | 38% | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 47.1 | 38.1 | 85.2 | +9.0 | 83% | 58% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Milano +10.5 | 73.2% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp |
| Olimpia Milano +11.5 | 76.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp |
| Olimpia Milano +9.5 | 70.1% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.0 | 19.3 | 55.2% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 9.9 | 35.7% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.7 | 18.6 | 77.1% | 18.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.5 | 18.9 | 55.2% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.7 | 9.5 | 35.7% | 28.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.4 | 15.9 | 77.1% | 15.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 | Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano | 79-75 |
| 18/12/25 | Olimpia Milano v Fenerbahce | 72-87 |
| 06/03/25 | Olimpia Milano v Fenerbahce | 76-100 |
| 29/11/24 | Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano | 85-91 |
| 22/03/24 | Olimpia Milano v Fenerbahce | 77-76 |
| 06/10/23 | Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano | 85-82 OT |
| 21/03/23 | Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano | 75-82 |
| 24/11/22 | Olimpia Milano v Fenerbahce | 72-82 |
| 03/02/22 | Olimpia Milano v Fenerbahce | 60-71 |
| 12/11/21 | Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano | 43-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas | 83-86 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Trento | 88-86 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Valencia | 73-84 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Cantu | 95-82 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Olympiacos | 78-84 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Panathinaikos | 75-80 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Virtus Bologna | 94-98 OT |
| 22/10/26 | H | Barcelona | 81-89 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Basket Napoli | 98-82 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Dubai | 97-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Paris | 109-111 OT |
| 07/11/26 | A | Bursaspor | 78-59 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Baskonia | 84-65 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Tofas | 88-77 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Real Madrid | 76-95 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Valencia | 78-86 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Karsiyaka | 97-72 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Olympiacos | 64-61 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Petkim Spor | 77-82 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Partizan | 74-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 9% |
| Home | LLLLL | 17% |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 85.0 | 76.8 |
| Allowed / game | 89.3 | 90.5 | 87.8 |
| Point differential | -8.0 | -5.5 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 170.5 | 175.5 | 164.6 |
| Over 167.5 | 64% | 83% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 64% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 64% | 100% | 20% |
| Points / game | 82.9 | 85.2 | 80.2 |
| Allowed / game | 78.6 | 70.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +4.3 | +15.2 | -8.8 |
| Avg total | 161.5 | 155.2 | 169.2 |
| Over 167.5 | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 45% | 83% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 86.4 | 78.5 | +7.9 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 88.5 | 80.7 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 96.4 | 88.9 | +7.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 89.6 | 87.4 | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 98.5 | 90.1 | +8.4 | |
| 6 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 83.3 | 77.7 | +5.5 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 82.9 | 78.6 | +4.3 | |
| 8 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 85.6 | 82.4 | +3.3 | |
| 9 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 86.5 | 85.6 | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 90.4 | 87.2 | +3.2 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 79.5 | 77.7 | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 85.9 | 87.5 | -1.5 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 88.4 | 90.9 | -2.5 | |
| 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 91.0 | 94.1 | -3.1 | |
| 15 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 88.5 | 93.2 | -4.6 | |
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 86.1 | 90.7 | -4.6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 84.3 | 92.1 | -7.8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 86.8 | 95.2 | -8.4 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 81.3 | 89.3 | -8.0 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 79.9 | 91.9 | -12.0 |
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