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Olimpia Milano vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-77
28-20 21-18 21-19 29-20
Position#1
Record19-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#14
Record12-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game86.1
ItalyLega ARound 28· Unipol Forum
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Scafati
06 Dec 2026
MIL v SKA
upcoming
11 May 2025
MIL100
SKA72
21 Apr 2024
MIL99
SKA77
05 Mar 2023
MIL89
SKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 75
A17/03
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
98-80
98
80
+18
97avg 75
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 75
H22/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
H24/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 75
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
63avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
88avg 75
H05/04
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 75
H07/04
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 75
A11/04
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 75
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
19-15
9-23
23-13
27-20
31-24
18-23
22-13
28-18
15-18
16-15
18-25
28-22
15-20
21-26
22-16
17-14
20-21
17-24
19-28
24-11
15-20
21-15
12-22
22-18
24-16
27-19
17-22
20-33
24-19
25-21
22-13
23-27
29-25
18-25
16-15
17-31
22-9
25-25
27-24
165.1Avg total
83.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.974.4154.3+5.570%
Season at home (13)83.274.0157.2+9.285%
Season away (14)76.874.8151.6+2.057%
Last 10 (10)83.681.5165.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)86.082.0168.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.577.5149.0-6.050%
vs Similar (13)77.780.9158.6-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.974.3157.1+8.686%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
95-93
95
93
+2
94avg 75
H27/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 75
H04/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
60avg 75
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 75
H03/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
94-91
94
91
+3
96avg 75
H17/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-84
76
84
-8
74avg 75
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 75
A07/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
102-90
102
90
+12
102avg 75
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
26-23
23-20
16-33
16-24
24-20
16-20
27-18
21-31
20-18
11-19
15-26
16-21
17-24
18-30
15-20
22-22
26-25
18-19
12-23
31-20
19-23
18-26
26-22
21-24
28-19
14-21
13-20
22-20
20-16
17-19
20-29
17-18
13-17
12-15
21-18
27-17
23-30
23-24
29-19
167.3Avg total
80.3Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.986.1169.0-3.344%
Season at home (14)86.985.4172.2+1.564%
Season away (13)78.687.0165.6-8.423%
Last 10 (10)80.387.0167.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.386.9164.2-9.623%
vs Similar (16)87.986.2174.1+1.762%
vs Weaker (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
Olimpia MilanoScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/03
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H05/04
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H07/04
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A11/04
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/04
Lega A
84.9Avg total
44.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.779.5+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.136.279.3+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.239.579.7+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.884.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.036.574.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (13)42.239.982.2+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.136.979.0+5.164%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H04/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/04
Lega A
86.8Avg total
43.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.783.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.640.285.8+5.480%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.181.5-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.986.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.241.081.2-0.846%-
vs Similar (16)44.640.785.2+3.969%-
vs Weaker (1)53.036.089.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.7
55.5%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
76.3%16.2
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.7
54.0%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.4
36.7%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.4
70.9%
76.3%13.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWLWWWL
Scafati
WLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#14
+1.8
Net rating
-8.0
111.9
Offensive rating
110.2
110.2
Defensive rating
118.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
36.7%
53.4%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 110.2Defence110.2 · 118.1Shooting54.5% · 54.4%3-point %35.6% · 36.7%Ball care17.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Scafati v Olimpia Milano77-68
05/03/23Olimpia Milano v Scafati89-80
09/10/22Scafati v Olimpia Milano66-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24ATreviso91-89
11/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-92
07/04/24HTrento91-86
05/04/24HVirtus Bologna90-75
30/03/24AReggiana72-68
28/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas73-87
24/03/24HBasket Napoli86-84
22/03/24HFenerbahce77-76
20/03/24AMonaco98-80
17/03/24AVenezia72-78
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HVarese102-90
07/04/24ACremona63-68
30/03/24ATrento79-84
24/03/24HBrindisi76-84
17/03/24HTortona94-91
10/03/24ABrescia78-89
03/03/24HVenezia66-95
11/02/24AVirtus Bologna67-94
04/02/24HPesaro83-82
27/01/24HTreviso95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%85%57%
Points / game79.983.276.8
Allowed / game74.474.074.8
Point differential+5.5+9.2+2.0
Avg total154.3157.2151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)80% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%64%23%
Points / game82.986.978.6
Allowed / game86.185.487.0
Point differential-3.3+1.5-8.4
Avg total169.0172.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2820871%87.478.4+9.0
2 Virtus Bologna2719870%88.677.6+11.1
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%79.974.4+5.5
4 Venezia27171063%82.478.3+4.1
5 Reggiana27151256%80.779.8+0.9
6 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
7 Pistoia27141352%80.083.0-3.1
8 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
9 Basket Napoli27131448%85.986.3-0.4
10 Scafati27121544%82.986.1-3.3
11 Cremona28121643%80.379.5+0.8
12 Sassari28121643%78.683.8-5.2
13 Varese28111739%86.790.1-3.5
14 Treviso27101737%80.384.6-4.3
15 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
16 Brindisi2781930%74.881.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2821212999
Scafati2018192077
← all games of the day
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